Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2018

Gale Warning 327, NWS Anchorage, AK

April 17, 2018

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Apr 17, 2018, 3:19 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 17, 2018, 3:19 PM AKDT (23:19 UTC)
Expired
Apr 19, 2018, 3:42 AM AKDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

116 
FZAK51 PAFC 172319
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-181215-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the Central Gulf dissipates by Wed morning. A second
front enters the Western Gulf and moves to the north Gulf Coast 
Thu afternoon. A 994 mb low forms on the front 275 nm southeast 
of Kodiak City then deepens to 987 mb 90 nm southeast of 
Middleton Island Thu morning...then moves over Middleton Island 
at 990 mb by Thu afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-181215-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Near
the coast, E wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-181215-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ121-181215-
Resurrection Bay-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N in the evening. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED...N wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT... N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-181215-
Prince William Sound-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft building to 7 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-181215-
Port Valdez-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

.TONIGHT...SW wind less than 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 
2 ft. Rain with snow.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-181215-
Valdez Narrows-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind less than 10 knot becoming N 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain with snow.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-181215-
Valdez Arm-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain with snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-181215-
Passage Canal-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 
ft. Rain and snow.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-181215-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft subsiding to 5 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-181215-
Barren Islands East-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-181215-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt except SE wind 25 kt in the
morning N of Dangerous Cape. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-181215-
Chiniak Bay-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-181215-
Marmot Bay-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 
ft building to 10 ft after midnight. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-181215-
Shelikof Strait-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt except E 25 kt through bays and passes. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. 
Rain.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-181215-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-181215-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-181215-
Kachemak Bay-
319 PM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 3 ft. 
Rain.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Gusts to 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
3 follow-up statements
764 
FZAK51 PAFC 181150
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-190045-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front in the central Gulf will move into the northeastern Gulf
tonight then it will dissipate Fri morning. A 994 mb low develops
in the southern Gulf late tonight then it will move over Middleton
Island at 986 mb Thu afternoon. The low will then move inland 
over Prince William Sound Fri morning. 

$$

PKZ119-190045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Near 
the coast, E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-190045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-190045-
Resurrection Bay-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.THU...N wind 10 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-190045-
Prince William Sound-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-190045-
Port Valdez-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-190045-
Valdez Narrows-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 20 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft. Rain 
with snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-190045-
Valdez Arm-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 15 kt in the morning. Seas 3 ft. Rain
and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-190045-
Passage Canal-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-190045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
4 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-190045-
Barren Islands East-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-190045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-190045-
Chiniak Bay-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-190045-
Marmot Bay-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-190045-
Shelikof Strait-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-190045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ140-190045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the
afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-190045-
Kachemak Bay-
350 AM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
143 
FZAK51 PAFC 182316
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-191200-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 mb low Wed night 100 nm southwest of Middleton Island will 
move to 25 nm north of Middleton Island at 989 mb by Thu 
afternoon and then move inland over Prince William Sound by Thu 
night. 

$$

PKZ119-191200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.THU...E wind 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-191200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU...W wind 20 kt...except NE 20 kt near the coast. Seas 7 ft. 
Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-191200-
Resurrection Bay-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.THU...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread
rain and snow showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-191200-
Prince William Sound-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-191200-
Port Valdez-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain and snow showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-191200-
Valdez Narrows-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain with snow.
.THU...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain and snow
showers.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-191200-
Valdez Arm-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-191200-
Passage Canal-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.THU...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Widespread snow and rain showers.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-191200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 6 
ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 3 
ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-191200-
Barren Islands East-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt.
Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ132-191200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ136-191200-
Chiniak Bay-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-191200-
Marmot Bay-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-191200-
Shelikof Strait-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-191200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft 
subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-191200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon.
.THU NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming S 20 kt. 
Seas 5 ft.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-191200-
Kachemak Bay-
316 PM AKDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2
ft. Rain.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
498 
FZAK51 PAFC 191142
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-200045-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 mb low 160 nm southeast of Middleton Island will move over 
Middleton Island at 988 mb this afternoon. The low will then move 
inland over Prince William Sound Fri morning. A front will approach 
the southwestern Gulf Sat morning. 

$$

PKZ119-200045-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ120-200045-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ121-200045-
Resurrection Bay-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt becoming variable in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers
and snow showers.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-200045-
Prince William Sound-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming NW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3
ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-200045-
Port Valdez-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and widespread snow showers.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-200045-
Valdez Narrows-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers and widespread
snow showers.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain
showers.
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-200045-
Valdez Arm-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt becoming Variable wind 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-200045-
Passage Canal-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft. Rain showers and snow showers.
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-200045-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable 10 kt. Seas 
7 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-200045-
Barren Islands East-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-200045-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ136-200045-
Chiniak Bay-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ137-200045-
Marmot Bay-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming W 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-200045-
Shelikof Strait-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ139-200045-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7
ft subsiding to 4 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-200045-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft in the
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ141-200045-
Kachemak Bay-
342 AM AKDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Apr 17, 5:19 AM AKDT, 10 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 17, 5:19 AM AKDT, 10 hours before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
519 AM AKDT Tue Apr 17 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Two dominant features stand out on water vapor satellite this
morning. The first is the remnants of a front stretching from the
Seward Peninsula southeastward through the Gulf of Alaska,
ultimately connecting to a compact upper-level low pressure in the
north Pacific. The other is a mature, stacked low pressure system
over the central Bering Sea. The jet stream is running parallel to
the Aleutians and is beginning to shift southward as the Bering
system moves eastward, we can expect no further development of
this front and low. Those two features will control the active
weather in the short term, but another feature will come into play
as well. A shortwave trough is dropping southward along the Al-Can
border, the net effect of this feature should be to stop the
northward progression of the two fronts approaching the north
Gulf coast.

From a sensible weather perspective, the first front over the
southwest mainland is rapidly falling apart this morning, only
leaving an area of light rain from Kodiak through Aniak. Middle
and high clouds in advance of the front are draped over
Southcentral. The front associated with the Bering low is
currently over the Alaska Peninsula, bringing moderate southerly
winds to the area along with rain.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Synoptically, guidance is in pretty good agreement through
Thursday, or longer for that matter. High resolution guidance was
utilized for this forecast package. The general theme between
guidance is developing a basal shortwave trough as it interacts
with the front approaching the Gulf of Alaska.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and generally light winds will persist. Turnagain
Arm wind should make it into the airport this afternoon as
warming in the Susitna Valley pulls it northward. However, a
down-Inlet gradient will simultaneously be developing, which will
try to pull the wind the other way. Either way, some light to
moderate southeasterly winds can be expected today.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...
The remnants of the front that has been slowly weakening over the
Western Gulf over the past few days will become reinvigorated by
an upper trough moving into the Eastern Bering. This will not
cause winds to increase to gale force as it develops a barrier jet
along the North Gulf Coast, but also will drag precipitation that
for the most part has been limited to Kodiak and the Southern
Kenai Peninsula lately northward into Prince William Sound. It
still appears that temperatures will remain just cool enough to
support snow down to the road system of the Kenai Peninsula but
with just a few inches of accumulations expected, while the coast
should remain as a rain/snow mix and minimal accumulation. For the
lee side of the Chugach from the Kenai Peninsula northward into
the Anchorage Bowl/Matanuska Valley, widespread and strong cross-
barrier flow and very dry low levels will provide for widespread
downsloping, and instead will bring gusty winds through Turnagain
Arm. For the most part these winds should remain away from the
lower elevations of the Anchorage Bowl, with the exception of a
few hours this afternoon/early evening when gusty southeasterly
winds will briefly move into town.

This front will then stall out over the North Gulf Coast into
Wednesday ahead of yet another Gulf low that will develop under
broad cyclonic flow aloft, leaving much of the area under a
persistent weather pattern that looks to last through the day
Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Today through Thursday)

Rain chances will be on the increase over the next 24 hours.
Currently, an area of showers persists of an Egigik to Aniak
line, in an area of weak left courtesy of a leftover inverted
trough (the remnant cold front that stalled and washed out 2 days
ago). However, another low slowly churning towards the Pribilof
Islands is sending another front towards the coast of Southwest
Alaska. This front will make landfall tonight while slowing its
progression on Wednesday and occluding as frontolysis begins on
Wednesday along a Nunivak Island to just northeast of King Salmon
line. Widespread precipitation will accompany it for this evening,
becoming more showery in nature on Wednesday. Relatively warm
temperatures in the lowest layers of the atmosphere will mitigate
any snowfall concerns, with the best potential being at the onset
near the coast tonight, and at the higher elevations overnight.

As the low continues to fill on Thursday, the remainder of whats
left of the Bering low will get absorbed by a developing Kodiak
low. With the decrease in ascent and the region becoming further
removed from the best upper-level dynamics, showers coverage will
dwindle, with perhaps some lingering activity possible through the
evening for locations east of a King Salmon to lime Village line.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days through 3)...
(Today through Thursday)

A slow-moving area of low pressure continues its trek towards the
Pribilof Islands, with the associated surface front on the
doorstep of False Pass and Cold Bay. The parent low is about to
begin a filling process, as the system is expected to occlude/fill
over the next 24 hours. As such, decreasing dynamics will allow
for precipitation to become less in coverage and intensity, with
the same holding true for the winds. Still, some gale force winds
are likely near the front through the evening, and along the
southern/southwestern periphery of the low through Wednesday, as
additional vort maxes drop southeast across central portions of
the chain and its adjacent waters.

Heading into Thursday, the weakening low will move southeast of
the region which will really put the ki-bosh to shower potential
for much of the area, especially by evening as weak ridging builds
across the region. Seas and winds will remain near small craft
criteria through the evening near the central Aleutians, with no
headline criteria expected for the remainder of the chain.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Thursday through Monday)...
Southeast flow and wet weather will continue on Thursday across
the Gulf coastal areas, with persistent cloudcover across interior
areas and parts of Southwest Alaska. On Friday and Saturday, an
upper low will start to dig down from the northeast across the
mainland, which will pull shower activity inland across Cook Inlet
and perhaps even into Southwest Alaska as the upper low drops
into the longwave trough that will be persisting over the eastern
Bering. A storm on Sunday will approach the state and, depending
on the strength of the aforementioned upper low, will start to be
pulled northward toward southern Alaska. There is still quite a
bit of uncertainty with where this low will end up, but its likely
the Gulf Coastal areas will see another round of steady rain
develop on Sunday and continue through the start of next week.
Overall, the forecast for most of the state is fairly cloudy with
near-normal temperatures, which will be a change from the endless
sunshine Southcentral has had recently.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 155 165 170 172 173 174 175 176 177 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MTL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PD
LONG TERM...AD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 17, 3:51 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Apr 17, 3:51 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Apr 17, 4:02 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Apr 17, 3:19 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Apr 17, 3:32 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Apr 17, 3:32 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Apr 17, 3:32 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2018Every gale warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.