Gale Warning 321, NWS Anchorage, AK

900 
FZAK51 PAFC 152350
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-161300-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1018 mb low 110 nm Southwest of Yakutat exits the Southeast 
Gulf Mon afternoon. A front enters the Western Gulf Mon morning 
and swings across the Gulf through Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-161300-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-161300-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-161300-
Resurrection Bay-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-161300-
Prince William Sound-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-161300-
Port Valdez-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-161300-
Valdez Narrows-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-161300-
Valdez Arm-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-161300-
Passage Canal-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-161300-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-161300-
Barren Islands East-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas 5 ft.
Rain.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-161300-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-161300-
Chiniak Bay-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-161300-
Marmot Bay-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-161300-
Shelikof Strait-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-161300-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-161300-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-161300-
Kachemak Bay-
350 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

254 
FZAK51 PAFC 160735 AAA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

Updated Zones 119 120 121 125

Coastal waters forecast for the 
Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak 
Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-162030-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1018 mb low 110 nm Southwest of Yakutat exits the Southeast 
Gulf Mon afternoon. A front enters the Western Gulf Mon morning 
and swings across the Gulf through Tue afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-162030-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 
NM. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-162030-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 
NM. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-162030-
Resurrection Bay-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft.
Areas of fog.  
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt becoming N after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-162030-
Prince William Sound-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 
NM. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-162030-
Port Valdez-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less 
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-162030-
Valdez Narrows-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt
after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-162030-
Valdez Arm-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-162030-
Passage Canal-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-162030-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-162030-
Barren Islands East-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt after midnight. Seas
5 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-162030-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ136-162030-
Chiniak Bay-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.

$$

PKZ137-162030-
Marmot Bay-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain. 
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-162030-
Shelikof Strait-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.THU...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ139-162030-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. 
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-162030-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-162030-
Kachemak Bay-
1135 PM AKDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 15 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming variable 10 kt in the afternoon.
Seas  2 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

361 
FZAK51 PAFC 161202
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170100-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A front associated with a 1005 mb low near Akhiok will move into 
the northern Gulf Tue night. A second front associated with a 972
mb low in the central Bering will enter the southwestern Gulf Tue
morning then it will move into the central Gulf Wed. 

$$

PKZ119-170100-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170100-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Patchy morning fog. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170100-
Resurrection Bay-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming S 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than 
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170100-
Prince William Sound-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170100-
Port Valdez-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170100-
Valdez Narrows-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170100-
Valdez Arm-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170100-
Passage Canal-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170100-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the morning. Seas 11 
ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170100-
Barren Islands East-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the morning. Seas 7 ft.
Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170100-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170100-
Chiniak Bay-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170100-
Marmot Bay-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170100-
Shelikof Strait-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt, except 15 kt S of Cape Kuliak. Seas 6 ft. 
Rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt, except variable 10 kt S of Cape Kuliak. 
Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170100-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170100-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-170100-
Kachemak Bay-
402 AM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

220 
FZAK51 PAFC 162253
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171200-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A front over the western Gulf will swing across the southern Gulf
and dissipate by Wed afternoon. A second front will enter the
western Gulf Tue afternoon and moves into the central Gulf by Wed
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-171200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171200-
Resurrection Bay-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt or less. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171200-
Prince William Sound-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 6 ft after
midnight. Snow and rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171200-
Port Valdez-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt or less. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171200-
Valdez Narrows-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171200-
Valdez Arm-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171200-
Passage Canal-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171200-
Barren Islands East-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171200-
Chiniak Bay-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft after midnight. Rain and snow.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171200-
Marmot Bay-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 4 ft building to 9 ft after midnight. Rain with snow.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171200-
Shelikof Strait-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. Seas 3
ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ141-171200-
Kachemak Bay-
253 PM AKDT Mon Apr 16 2018

.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
432 PM AKDT Sat Apr 14 2018

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
An amplifying upper level ridge continues to build over the
Southwest mainland and Southcentral Alaska today. The 250 mb jet
stream is running up and over this ridge (and down the other side)
which is causing very different weather for areas east and west of
it. The upper-left exit region of this jet is over the central
Bering Sea and continues to feed the strong surface low in the
western Bering which has strengthened to under 970 mb today.
Conversely, the strong northerly flow and subsidence over Southcentral
Alaska is bringing warm and sunny weather to that region. There
has been enough warming the past couple of days in Southcentral to
start some afternoon and evening sea breezes in the typical
coastal locations.

Southwest Alaska mainland, while mostly under the surface ridge,
is seeing some widespread fog and stratus due to the southwest
flow associated with the pressure rises and subsequent onshore
flow under the upper level subsidence.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
It is actually a little difficult to discuss much with the models
today as they are in staunch agreement though the middle of next
week. About the only reoccurring question is the strength of the
sea breeze which is beginning to develop in the coastal areas
during the afternoons and evening. Even the hi-resolution NAMnest
is having a difficult time picking these out as the effect is
still weak.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A weak shortwave will continue to bring some areas of light snow
to the Copper River Basin, which will be reinforced and become
more widespread this evening as the stronger shortwave moves
overhead. The most widespread shower activity should occur near
the Wrangell Mountains. Another impact from this shortwave will
be from cooler air and increased gap winds out of the Copper River
Basin beginning the evening. The strongest winds are expected to
blow out of the Matanuska Valley and through Thompson Pass tonight
and into Sunday morning, though we are confident that these winds
will remain well below advisory criteria. The coldest
temperatures into the teens from this system are still expected to
occur in the low elevations of the Copper River Basin where
little wind is expected, though overnight lows in the 20's are
also expected in the Susitna Valley this weekend.

This shortwave will dive south into the Gulf on Sunday, leaving
much of the area under the influence of a shortwave ridge ahead of
an incoming front to the Western Gulf/Kodiak Island into early
next week. This front is expected to primarily impact the western
Gulf and extreme southern Kenai Peninsula, leaving the remainder
of the region with typically dry spring time conditions and
seasonable temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Monday)
The front along the west coast remains stationary through the
evening hours bringing steady light snow, rain and gusty
southeasterly flow to the coast before moving inland Sunday
morning. Southeasterly flow is expected to gust along the frontal
boundary as it moves slowly to the Alaska and Aleutian Ranges on
Monday. Precipitation will mainly be rain for inland locations,
however brief snow is possible during the early morning morning
hours on Sunday when temperatures hover near the freezing mark.

Moderate rain develops across the Western Capes of Bristol Bay
Sunday afternoon through Monday night as a strong upper level wave
rotates through and stretches along the west coast. Rainfall
amounts up to one half of an inch are possible along the coasts
with localized higher amounts. The upper level wave shears apart
Monday afternoon as it runs into the interior ridge, leading to
rapid dissipation of the front during the evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
(Tonight through Monday)
The stacked storm system currently over the western Bering deepens
through this evening as it lifts across the northwestern Bering,
then begins to fill after midnight. A broad swath of southerly
gales across the eastern waters continues as the associated frontal
boundary stalls along the west coast through early Sunday. Across
the western waters, strong westerly gales increase tonight on the
south side of the low core due to a colder air mass wrapping
around the base of the storm system. A few storm force gusts are
likely to mix down to the surface as a strong short wave rounds
the base after midnight. Winds should taper down quickly as the
front pulls inland Sunday afternoon.

Precipitation will primarily be rain with the current storm
system mixed with snow at times as cooler air wraps around the
storm core. A pulse moving through the upper trough brings
moderate rainfall tonight across the Central Aleutians to the
Pribilof Islands and then across the Eastern Aleutians and Alaska
Peninsula on Sunday.

This system weakens as it continues on a northward track late
Sunday with the next system quickly following into the western
Aleutians Sunday night.

The second storm system takes a faster track as the upper jet
stream ridge pattern de-amplifies and allows a 150+ knot
jetstreak to nose across the Aleutian Chain. This storm system
should be monitored as it is likely to be stronger than currently
projected as it moves up from a data void area across the North
Pacific.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7: Tuesday through Saturday)...

Tuesday: Tuesday's weather picture starts out with a strong,
sprawling area of low pressure centered to the west of the
Pribilofs over the central Bering Sea. The remnants of the
occluded front are primarily over the waters of the eastern
Bering, extending southward from the central Alaska Peninsula into
the Pacific. With broad, moist southeasterly flow over Southwest
Alaska, there is steady rain and snow from about Koliganek
westward into the Kuskokwim Mountains. Downsloping off those
mountains will be keeping the Kuskokwim Delta dry. Meanwhile all
of Southcentral except Kodiak and possibly the southernmost areas
of the Kenai Peninsula are dry under strong ridging. As the front
moves into Southwest Alaska on Tuesday, precipitation will break
out further and further north in Southwest Alaska. It also moves
into the southern Kenai.

On Wednesday, the front will swing across the remainder of the
Gulf Coast, but makes very little progress moving north with both
the parent low slowly moving southeastward and the high topography
of the coastal Chugach blocking it. Strong southeast to east winds
will leave most of the Cook Inlet region downsloped, as is very
typical in this pattern. With a lack of northward progress, the
precipitation, perhaps heavy at times, will remain confined to
both the Gulf Coast and the east facing slopes of most of the
mountains of southern Alaska. This pattern will favor the
development and maintenance of the Turnagain Arm wind.

Thursday will largely be a continuation of Wednesday as far as
Southcentral's weather is concerned. Another disturbance moves
northward through the Gulf from the Pacific, nearing the coast
late in the day. The models disagree primarily on the strength of
this disturbance, from the GFS which is fastest and weakest, to
the EC which has a concentrated closed low moving through the
northern Gulf Thursday afternoon. Other than differences in the
strength and wind direction however, the end result weatherwise
regardless will be a reinvigoration of the precipitation rates at
the coast. For Southwest Alaska, Thursday should be a drier day,
though there are model disagreements on that as well.

By Friday and beyond, the model disagreements only further
increase, both at how the low behaves, and how a new strong low
along the Aleutians behaves. However, the pattern remains
unsettled, so a cloudy, seasonable period for much of southern
mainland Alaska appears on tap going into next weekend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale 155 165 170 172-175 177-181 185 411-414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...JW