Alert archive / South Dakota / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Aberdeen, SD

August 3, 2018Codington County, South Dakota

NWS Aberdeen, SD issued this special weather statement at Aug 3, 2018, 12:49 PM CDT for Codington County, South Dakota. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2018, 12:49 PM CDT (17:49 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2018, 1:30 PM CDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Aberdeen, SD

County Codington County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2018-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1530 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2018-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 157 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1530 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-435 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1675 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Aberdeen, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 3, 12:38 PM CDT, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 3, 12:38 PM CDT, 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1238 PM CDT Fri Aug 3 2018

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Fri Aug 3 2018

Shower and thunderstorm activity has been a little easier to time
since 1630Z, when a more defined line of showers and a few
embedded thunderstorms developed from McPherson County down
through Stanley County. Still looks like most of the stronger
storms will hold off until closer to 21Z this afternoon across our
eastern counties, when surface temperatures are able to warm into
the mid 80s and higher. While hail and damaging winds will remain
the main threat, a tornado will be possible. The tornado risk is
mainly across our far northeast counties.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Fri Aug 3 2018

Strong to severe storms are possible this afternoon through this
evening in eastern SD and western MN.

An upper level ridge along with southerly flow in the lower levels
will bring heat and humidity into the region today with highs in the
80s and 90s. Dewpoints should reach the upper 60s, to perhaps the
low 70s in western MN. Surface base CAPE values will exceed 2500
J/KG by this afternoon, mainly along and east of the James River
Valley. A surface trough and weak front will cross the region later
this afternoon and should become the focal point for convective
development. Marginal shear could result in severe storms with
hail and damaging winds the main threats. The lack of upper level
support will limit the overall convective potential. The day one
outlook from SPC has the eastern portion of the CWA under a
slight risk, which looks reasonable. The severe threat should push
east of the CWA by 6Z with perhaps dry conditions the rest of the
night. Will maintain pops further west as some CAMS bring weak
convection into north central SD with an upper level trough.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 347 AM CDT Fri Aug 3 2018

Saturday shows an upper level low pressure trough across the border
into Canada sliding east while strong westerly flow continues off
the Pacific over our region. Upper level forcing/cooling from the
trough in Canada along with a surface frontal boundary will keep
chances of thunderstorms in the forecast for Saturday and Saturday
night. The weak surface frontal boundary will remain across the
region into Monday night with weak short waves coming in from the
west. The best chances of storms will be mostly across the southern
part of the region as northwest flow strengthens possibly keeping
the northern cwa on the dry side. Otherwise, the models all show
upper level ridging building over the western U.S. through Thursday.
This should keep us on the eastern/subsident side of the ridge with
dry conditions expected from Tuesday through Thursday. Temperatures
through the long term are expected to be near to around 5 degrees
above normal from Saturday through Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Fri Aug 3 2018

VFR ceiling and vis will start the period. However, afternoon
showers and a few thunderstorms may lower those to MVFR early this
afternoon at both ABR and ATY. ATY has the higher chance of
getting to MVFR ceilings through the early evening hours, as
additional showers and storms develop ahead of a cold front across
the western Dakotas.

&&

.ABR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
&&

UPDATE...KF
SHORT TERM...SD
LONG TERM...Mohr
AVIATION...KF
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 3, 4:38 AM CDT, 8 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
438 AM CDT Fri Aug 3 2018

MNZ039-046-SDZ006>008-011-018>023-040945-
Traverse-Big Stone-Brown-Marshall-Roberts-Day-Spink-Clark-
Codington-Grant-Hamlin-Deuel-
438 AM CDT Fri Aug 3 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Minnesota and northeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe storms are possible later this afternoon through
this evening. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Strong storms are possible Saturday afternoon. Hail and damaging
winds will be the main threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested. Weather spotters are
encouraged to submit reports to the National Weather Service in
Aberdeen. The public can submit reports on our web page, Facebook
page, or our Twitter feed.

SDZ003>005-009-010-015>017-033>037-045-048-051-040945-
Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Walworth-Edmunds-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-
Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
438 AM CDT Fri Aug 3 2018 /338 AM MDT Fri Aug 3 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central South
Dakota and north central South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong storms are possible this afternoon with hail and damaging
winds the main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Strong storms are possible Saturday afternoon. Hail and damaging
winds will be the main threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested. Weather spotters are
encouraged to submit reports to the National Weather Service in
Aberdeen. The public can submit reports on our web page, Facebook
page, or our Twitter feed.

SD

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 3, 12:49 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1249 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2018

SDZ019-020-022-031830-
Hamlin SD-Clark SD-Codington SD-
1249 PM CDT FRI AUG 3 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HAMLIN...EAST
CENTRAL CLARK AND SOUTHWESTERN CODINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CDT...

At 1248 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Henry, or 13 miles east of Clark, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Henry, Hazel, Thomas, Kellerton Church, Long Lake, Goose Lake and
Tinkertown.

LAT...LON 4468 9733 4488 9762 4502 9745 4480 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 1748Z 241DEG 12KT 4485 9747

Serr

The office that day

Everything else NWS Aberdeen, SD issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 8:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementABRJones30 min
Aug 3, 1:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementABRCodington42 min
Aug 3, 1:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCodington, Deuel, Grant46 min
Aug 3, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCodington, Deuel, Grant37 min
Aug 3, 4:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementABRGrant35 min
Aug 3, 4:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementABRBig Stone44 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in South Dakota, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.