Wind Advisory 29, NWS Albuquerque, NM

281 
WWUS75 KABQ 242031
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
231 PM MDT Tue Apr 24 2018

...STRONG EAST WINDS THROUGH PASSES IN THE SANDIA AND MANZANO 
MOUNTAINS AND STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS FOCUSED OVER THE EAST CENTRAL
PLAINS THIS EVENING...

.A strong cold front draped along the east slopes of the central
mountain chain will surge westward this evening, resulting in 
gusty easterly winds through passes in the central mountain chain,
and into the Rio Grande Valley stretching from the Socorro to 
Taos areas. The strongest of these winds are expected from the 
Albuquerque Metro Area to Santa Fe after sunset. The front will 
also produce strong northeast winds over the eastern plains, 
particularly from Tucumcari to Clovis and Portales.

NMZ518-519-250900-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0029.180425T0000Z-180425T0900Z/
Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
231 PM MDT Tue Apr 24 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
MDT WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...Albuquerque and Santa Fe Metro areas, especially
  along the eastern foothills. 

* WINDS...East to southeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* TIMING...Winds will begin to strengthen around 6 pm this 
  evening, peak between 9 pm and 3 am then gradually diminish 
  toward sunrise Wednesday. 

* VISIBILITY...Locally reduced in areas of blowing dust.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong winds will create hazardous driving
  conditions, especially through and immediately below canyons and
  along Interstate 25.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

NMZ534>536-250900-
/O.CON.KABQ.WI.Y.0029.180425T0000Z-180425T0900Z/
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-
231 PM MDT Tue Apr 24 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM
MDT WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...Quay, Curry, and Roosevelt Counties.

* WINDS...Northeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 50 
  mph.

* TIMING...Winds will strengthen by 6 pm, peak between 9 pm and
  midnight, then gradually diminish early Wednesday morning.
 
* VISIBILITY...Locally reduced from areas of blowing dust.

* LOCAL IMPACTS...Strong winds will make for hazardous driving
  conditions, especially along east-west oriented highways
  including Interstate 40 and Highway 60. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should exercise caution while travelling. Sudden gusts
of wind may cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Extra
attention should be given to cross winds.

&&

$$

984 
WWUS75 KABQ 250855
NPWABQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
255 AM MDT Wed Apr 25 2018

NMZ518-519-251000-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-180425T0900Z/
Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
255 AM MDT Wed Apr 25 2018

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

Winds are slowly beginning to decrease in speed, and this trend is
expected to continue through the early morning hours. Therefore,
the wind advisory will be allowed to expire.

$$

NMZ534>536-251000-
/O.EXP.KABQ.WI.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-180425T0900Z/
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-
255 AM MDT Wed Apr 25 2018

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

Winds are slowly beginning to decrease in speed, and this trend is
expected to continue through the early morning hours. Therefore,
the wind advisory will be allowed to expire.

$$

52

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1144 PM MDT Mon Apr 23 2018

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE
VFR cigs and calm conditions can be expected over much of NM tonight,
with the exception of far NE New Mexico where the long advertised
backdoor front will reach KCAO and KRTN by 10Z-11Z. MVFR/IFR cigs
could impact KCAO and KRTN before the night is out. The front and
subsequent N/NE wind shift will reach KLVS by 15Z, KTCC by 13Z, KLVS
by 15Z, and KROW by 17Z-18Z. Strong NE/E winds will following the
frontal progression at all eastern TAF sites, including KCVN, and
KCVS. The front will slow somewhat Tue afternoon, then surge through
the central mtn chain Tue evening bringing strong gap winds 30-40kts
to KSAF and KABQ by 00Z-03Z. Cigs are expected to start lowering to
MVFR/IFR across the NE toward the end of the TAF cycle, including
KRTN, KCAO, KLVS, and KTCC.

24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...218 PM MDT Mon Apr 23 2018...
.SYNOPSIS...
The warming trend continues today, with high temperatures reaching
above normal areawide. A few showers or storms across northern
portions of the area may produce strong and gusty winds late this
afternoon and evening. Warming will continue Tuesday as well, except
for across the Northeast and East Central Plains where a backdoor
cold front will provide some cooling. The backdoor front will create
strong and gusty east canyon winds into the Rio Grande and Upper
Tularosa Valley Tuesday night. A few storms are possible with the
front, mainly over the Sangre De Cristo Mountains. Another backdoor
front will push in Thursday and set the state for an increase in
shower and thunderstorm activity going into Friday and Saturday. Many
central and western locales may see the most significant rainfall in
a long time by early this weekend. Look for drying and warming by
Sunday, with southwest winds on the uptrend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A slight uptick in PWATs, combined with daytime heating and a
shortwave trough moving across the central/southern Rockies, is
producing a round of high-based convection this afternoon across
northern New Mexico. Very little measurable rainfall is expected,
with strong/gusty winds and dry lightning the more likely weather
phenomena. Otherwise, the warming trend continues with temperatures
5-10 degrees warmer than yesterday at this time. Warming will persist
into Tuesday most areas, except for across the Northeast and East
Central Plains where 15-20 degrees of cooling is forecast thanks to a
backdoor cold front. Ahead of the front, highs will be above to well
above normal, likely reaching 90 degrees at Roswell. A few showers
or storms are possible with the front, focusing over the Sangres.
Areas of blowing dust may develop as well, although rainfall from
last Fri/Sat may put a damper on the extent. The backdoor front will
create strong/gusty east canyon/gap winds into the Rio Grande and
Upper Tularosa Valleys Tuesday night. A Wind Advisory will likely be
required. Daytime heating and limited moisture will combine to
produce a few showers or storms Wednesday afternoon from Mt. Taylor
northeast to the Jemez and Sangres.

Another backdoor front will push through Thursday, with PWATs
climbing behind it into Friday as Gulf moisture gets pulled into the
state head of an approaching Pacific trough/low. PoPs ramp-up
Thursday night through Saturday, with many central and western
locales likely to see the 1st significant rainfall in a long time. A
few strong storms are possible Friday, but the threat for stronger
storms trends up Saturday as the westerlies increase providing
improved storm structure. All that said, the latest GFS and ECMWF are
still at odds with the approaching Pacific trough and our forecast
leans much closer to the GFS. Forecast confidence is still generally
low beyond Thursday.

11

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
There will be no significant, widespread critical fire weather
conditions through the next week.

Upper level disturbance well to our north will bring a weak short
wave trough across northern NM this pm and evening. Just enough
moisture and instability will be present to spark a few showers and
thunderstorms over the northern mountains and northeast. Some of the
storms will be mostly or all dry, with dry lightning and strong,
gusty winds possible. It will be dry everywhere later tonight except
in the far northeast where a shower could occur, just ahead of a
potent back door cold front. This front will reach Clayton before
sunrise, and continue south and west during the day, although
slowing some. Winds will be a concern Tuesday into Tuesday night
across the Northeast and East Central Plains, perhaps kicking up
some dust. It will be much cooler in the northeast Tuesday, with
highs 20 degrees lower than today, while highs will be similar to
today elsewhere. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to favor
the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and far northeast Tuesday.

The front will continue south and west Tuesday night, pouring into
the Rio Grande Valley early Tuesday night and reaching the AZ border
Wednesday morning. Strong wind gusts will be possible in the Middle
Rio Grande Valley. Showers and thunderstorms will expand south
across the eastern plains Tuesday night, with lingering showers and
storms over the northern mountains Wednesday. It will be a cool day
Wednesday.

Another short wave trough will pass to our northeast Thursday and
bring a back door cold front down the east side of the mountains
late Thursday and Thursday night, again squeezing into the Rio
Grande Valley and moving over the Continental Divide by Friday
morning. Meanwhile a potent storm system will be taking shape off
the West Coast Friday. It will draw moisture north into NM, with a
decent outbreak of showers and thunderstorms possible from Friday
through Saturday. Drier air will move in Sunday. Another storm could
impact the state early next week, including severe weather on the
eastern plains.

Ventilation will not be a big concern through the next week. There
will be some poor rates in the Middle Rio Grande Valley the east
slopes of the central mountains Wednesday.

CHJ

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
404 AM MDT Mon Apr 23 2018

NMZ501>540-241000-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
404 AM MDT Mon Apr 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern and
central New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few high-based showers and thunderstorms will be possible over the
higher terrain of western, central, and northeastern New Mexico this
afternoon and evening. While very little rainfall is expected, some
dry lightning strikes and gusty winds will be possible under and near
any of these showers or storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Strong winds will accompany a cold front on Tuesday. Gusts of 45 to
perhaps 50 mph will be possible in far northeastern New Mexico
Tuesday morning. The front will surge through the central mountain
chain Tuesday evening, causing easterly winds to accelerate and
possibly gust as high as 45 to 50 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

52