Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Albuquerque, NM

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SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
714 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMC009-041-240145-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-180524T0145Z/
Roosevelt-Curry-
714 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM MDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL ROOSEVELT AND SOUTHEASTERN CURRY COUNTIES...

At 714 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Clovis, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Clovis, Farwell, Texico, Portair, Oasis State Park and Cannon Air
Force Base.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3415 10316 3422 10336 3451 10327 3443 10304
      3431 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 218DEG 21KT 3434 10315 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
734 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMC009-041-240144-
/O.CAN.KABQ.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-180524T0145Z/
Roosevelt-Curry-
734 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL ROOSEVELT AND
SOUTHEASTERN CURRY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
east central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3415 10316 3422 10336 3451 10327 3443 10304
      3431 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0132Z 218DEG 21KT 3443 10306 

$$

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Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
521 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
SHRA/TSRA will continue to move northeast around 20 kt as they
progress across the eastern plains this evening. TSRA will be strong
to locally severe with large hail, high winds, torrential rainfall,
and frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes. Low clouds will
redevelop again tonight along and east of the central mt chain in the
wake of the storm activity. Confidence however is not as high on
coverage of clouds and potential IFR impacts.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...221 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018...
.SYNOPSIS...
Another round of afternoon thunderstorm activity has begun across
eastern New Mexico today with several storms becoming severe
producing large hail. A few storms could become tornadic across the
southeast. Storm activity will gradually move east into Texas this
evening. Thursday will see lesser thunderstorm activity with the main
focus starting over the Sacramento Mountains moving over southeastern
NM. Drier air and warmer temperatures move in across the state Friday
and through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today's crop of afternoon t-storm activity has begun to fire off the
eastern slopes of the ctrl mtn chain. SW flow aloft remains with sfc
Gulf moisture remaining, allowing for plenty of MLCAPE upwards of
3000 J/kg. The one limiting factor will be the bulk shear only
reaching up to about 30 kts, while still strong enough to allow for
severe, storms today will once again likely be pulsy. Directional
shear will be such to allow for the potential of an isolated tornado
or two in the strongest cells across the southeast. The HRRR has
continued to show the strongest cells remaining over the eastern
third of the state, moving into Texas sunset. Areas that have
already received good rainfall amounts in the previous days will be
at risk for localized flash flooding from strong downpours.

SW flow will will weaken Thursday with ridging starting to build
over southern NM. Enough Gulf moisture will still linger over the far
SE to allow for a few more storms firing off the Sacramento Mtns and
Chaves County. The rest of the state will continue to see drier air
moving in with warmer temperatures. All areas will see PoPs fall to
nil Friday with well above normal temperatures. Temperatures continue
to rise Saturday before falling across the west Sunday as a large
upper low moves into the Great Basin. SW flow will strengthen across
the east Sunday increasing the risk of critical fire weather.
Temperatures trend back up across the west, while remaining well
above normal across the east early next week. Increased chances for
precipitation may return by mid next week as another trough looks to
move across the central Rocky Mtns.

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&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
...RETURN OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LATE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND...

Very dry air has spread farther east today into the Rio Grande
Valley. Marginal critical conditions are expected for parts of
central and western NM through the remainder of today. Deeper
moisture remains in place across eastern NM where the threat of
strong storms with locally heavy rainfall continues. Recoveries
overnight will be fair across central and western NM and very good
to excellent across the east with more low clouds.

A ridge of high pressure will build northward into NM Thursday and
Friday with above normal temperatures and lighter winds. The focus
for isolated storms will continue over eastern NM Thursday then
mainly over far southeastern NM Friday. The west will remain very
dry with single digit min humidities and poor recoveries. Haines
values of 6 will be common with super Haines for parts of the Rio
Grande Valley and western NM both days.

The upper ridge will break down quickly Saturday and lead to more
widespread strong southwest winds across NM. Critical fire weather
conditions Saturday will be followed by poor overnight recoveries,
then another round of critical fire weather Sunday for central and
eastern NM. Critical conditions may occur through Monday as an upper
wave ejects slowly northeastward across Colorado.

Guyer

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
235 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018

NMZ501>540-241100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
235 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across eastern New
Mexico this afternoon until 9 pm this evening. Severe storms will be
capable of producing large hail and strong gusty winds, with the
potential for tornadic activity across southeastern New Mexico.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time. However, weather can
change very rapidly. Always use the latest forecasts, watches and
warning for planning purposes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should report severe weather through the National Weather
Service Albuquerque web site or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
643 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             4 SW PORTALES           34.14N 103.39W
05/23/2018  M1.75 INCH       ROOSEVELT          NM   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800662

TRM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
644 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMZ534-240115-
Quay County-
644 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN QUAY COUNTY UNTIL
715 PM MDT...

At 644 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southeast of Logan, or 22 miles southwest of Nara Visa, moving
northeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Heavy rain will also be possible with this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Quay
County.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor your preferred
media outlets and NOAA Weather Radio for additional information and
possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
east central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3521 10311 3528 10340 3555 10330 3554 10304
      3533 10304
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 213DEG 10KT 3532 10326

24

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
645 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0641 PM     HAIL             PORTALES                34.18N 103.34W
05/23/2018  M0.88 INCH       ROOSEVELT          NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800663

TRM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
650 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMZ536-240115-
Roosevelt County-
650 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROOSEVELT COUNTY
UNTIL 715 PM MDT...

At 650 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of Milnesand, or 28 miles west of Morton, moving
northeast at 20 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dora, Causey, Lingo and Pep.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
east central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3363 10318 3370 10338 3395 10331 3387 10305
      3386 10305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 203DEG 18KT 3374 10325

40

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
653 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMZ529-532-240130-
Eastern San Miguel County-Northeast Highlands-
653 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY
UNTIL 730 PM MDT...

At 653 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 15
miles south of Trujillo, or 26 miles north of Santa Rosa, moving east
at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Heavy rain will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Variadero and Trementina.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
northeastern New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3522 10504 3540 10502 3553 10438 3522 10429
TIME...MOT...LOC 0053Z 258DEG 16KT 3532 10473

24

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
659 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             2 SW PORTALES           34.16N 103.37W
05/23/2018  M1.75 INCH       ROOSEVELT          NM   PUBLIC

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800662

TRM