Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Albuquerque, NM

108 
WWUS55 KABQ 240031 RRA
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
631 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMC047-240100-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-180524T0100Z/
San Miguel-
631 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL COUNTY...

At 629 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles north of
Dilia, or 21 miles southeast of Las Vegas, moving northeast at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 70 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Tecolotito.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. People 
outside should move to a shelter, inside a strong building and away 
from windows.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3522 10517 3528 10521 3552 10503 3553 10476
      3522 10504
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 221DEG 11KT 3533 10505 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

DPorter

933 
WWUS55 KABQ 240051
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
651 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMC047-240101-
/O.EXP.KABQ.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-180524T0100Z/
San Miguel-
651 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL SAN MIGUEL
COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM MDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
and gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
northeastern New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3522 10517 3528 10521 3552 10503 3553 10476
      3522 10504
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 221DEG 15KT 3539 10498 

$$

DPorter

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
521 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
SHRA/TSRA will continue to move northeast around 20 kt as they
progress across the eastern plains this evening. TSRA will be strong
to locally severe with large hail, high winds, torrential rainfall,
and frequent cloud to ground lightning strikes. Low clouds will
redevelop again tonight along and east of the central mt chain in the
wake of the storm activity. Confidence however is not as high on
coverage of clouds and potential IFR impacts.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...221 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018...
.SYNOPSIS...
Another round of afternoon thunderstorm activity has begun across
eastern New Mexico today with several storms becoming severe
producing large hail. A few storms could become tornadic across the
southeast. Storm activity will gradually move east into Texas this
evening. Thursday will see lesser thunderstorm activity with the main
focus starting over the Sacramento Mountains moving over southeastern
NM. Drier air and warmer temperatures move in across the state Friday
and through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Today's crop of afternoon t-storm activity has begun to fire off the
eastern slopes of the ctrl mtn chain. SW flow aloft remains with sfc
Gulf moisture remaining, allowing for plenty of MLCAPE upwards of
3000 J/kg. The one limiting factor will be the bulk shear only
reaching up to about 30 kts, while still strong enough to allow for
severe, storms today will once again likely be pulsy. Directional
shear will be such to allow for the potential of an isolated tornado
or two in the strongest cells across the southeast. The HRRR has
continued to show the strongest cells remaining over the eastern
third of the state, moving into Texas sunset. Areas that have
already received good rainfall amounts in the previous days will be
at risk for localized flash flooding from strong downpours.

SW flow will will weaken Thursday with ridging starting to build
over southern NM. Enough Gulf moisture will still linger over the far
SE to allow for a few more storms firing off the Sacramento Mtns and
Chaves County. The rest of the state will continue to see drier air
moving in with warmer temperatures. All areas will see PoPs fall to
nil Friday with well above normal temperatures. Temperatures continue
to rise Saturday before falling across the west Sunday as a large
upper low moves into the Great Basin. SW flow will strengthen across
the east Sunday increasing the risk of critical fire weather.
Temperatures trend back up across the west, while remaining well
above normal across the east early next week. Increased chances for
precipitation may return by mid next week as another trough looks to
move across the central Rocky Mtns.

24

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
...RETURN OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LATE WEEK AND INTO
THE WEEKEND...

Very dry air has spread farther east today into the Rio Grande
Valley. Marginal critical conditions are expected for parts of
central and western NM through the remainder of today. Deeper
moisture remains in place across eastern NM where the threat of
strong storms with locally heavy rainfall continues. Recoveries
overnight will be fair across central and western NM and very good
to excellent across the east with more low clouds.

A ridge of high pressure will build northward into NM Thursday and
Friday with above normal temperatures and lighter winds. The focus
for isolated storms will continue over eastern NM Thursday then
mainly over far southeastern NM Friday. The west will remain very
dry with single digit min humidities and poor recoveries. Haines
values of 6 will be common with super Haines for parts of the Rio
Grande Valley and western NM both days.

The upper ridge will break down quickly Saturday and lead to more
widespread strong southwest winds across NM. Critical fire weather
conditions Saturday will be followed by poor overnight recoveries,
then another round of critical fire weather Sunday for central and
eastern NM. Critical conditions may occur through Monday as an upper
wave ejects slowly northeastward across Colorado.

Guyer

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
235 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018

NMZ501>540-241100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
235 PM MDT Wed May 23 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms across eastern New
Mexico this afternoon until 9 pm this evening. Severe storms will be
capable of producing large hail and strong gusty winds, with the
potential for tornadic activity across southeastern New Mexico.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time. However, weather can
change very rapidly. Always use the latest forecasts, watches and
warning for planning purposes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters should report severe weather through the National Weather
Service Albuquerque web site or by calling 1.888.386.7637.

24

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
437 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             2 SE SEDAN              36.12N 103.11W
05/23/2018  M0.88 INCH       UNION              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800655

GUYER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
442 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             2 E MORA                35.97N 105.29W
05/23/2018  E1.75 INCH       MORA               NM   TWITTER FEED

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800656

RJH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
522 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 N DILIA               35.28N 105.06W
05/23/2018                   SAN MIGUEL         NM   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800657

RJH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
525 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0523 PM     HAIL             3 ENE TECOLOTITO        35.25N 105.11W
05/23/2018  E1.50 INCH       SAN MIGUEL         NM   STORM CHASER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800658

RJH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
549 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

NMZ536-240015-
Roosevelt County-
549 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ROOSEVELT COUNTY
UNTIL 615 PM MDT...

At 549 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Pep, or 24 miles south of Portales, moving northeast at
25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dora and Rogers.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT for
east central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3372 10346 3383 10364 3415 10345 3400 10318
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 213DEG 22KT 3385 10351

40

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
552 PM MDT WED MAY 23 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             16 E ELKINS             33.69N 103.78W
05/23/2018  M1.00 INCH       CHAVES             NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800659

TRM