Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 180, NWS Albuquerque, NM
NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 31, 2018, 5:53 PM MDT for Mora County, San Miguel County, New Mexico. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 31, 2018, 5:53 PM MDT (23:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 31, 2018, 6:15 PM MDT
- In force
- 22 min
- Issued by
- NWS Albuquerque, NM
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
Counties Mora County, NM, San Miguel County, NM
The radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 169 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 294 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1345 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 17 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 31, 5:51 PM MDT, 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 5:51 PM MDT, 2 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 551 PM MDT Tue Jul 31 2018 .AVIATION... 00Z TAF CYCLE Showers and thunderstorms, some severe, will continue to track southward around 10-15kt across northern NM through the evening hours. Hail, gusty winds, and heavy rain can be expected. MVFR vsbys are possible with these storms. KLVS and KSAF have the greatest chances to be impacted, however, outflow boundary collisions may result in storms near KABQ once again tonight. Some storms may linger throughout the overnight hours. Another round of thunderstorms can be expected Wednesday afternoon, favoring northeast NM. 34 && .PREV DISCUSSION...228 PM MDT Tue Jul 31 2018... .SYNOPSIS... The active weather pattern will continue through the forecast period with daily rounds of showers and thunderstorms each day and night, mostly in the afternoons and evenings. High pressure remains near the UT/NV/AZ borders. It will drift southeast into AZ Wednesday and approach the AZ/NM border Thursday. It quickly reforms off the CA coast Friday, remains there Saturday then it's centered over NM Sunday. The high will strengthen early next week while remaining close to NM. A couple of short wave troughs will slip into northeast NM the remainder of this week, one Wednesday evening and another Friday evening. These will provide a fresh batch of deep moisture to much of the state. The second half of the week will be very active with widespread showers and thunderstorms. The storm activity will diminish some over the weekend into early next week. && .DISCUSSION... A slow start to the showers and thunderstorms this afternoon with pretty much just the Southwest Mountains getting any decent lightning. Things will pick up late this afternoon and this evening with isolated showers and storms everywhere but the far northwest, closest to the upper high pressure area. A few storms could become severe in central NM. The convection will be slow to diminish after midnight tonight. High pressure aloft will drift into AZ Wednesday while a short wave trough approaches from the northwest. This trough will drop into eastern NM and bring enhanced moisture and convection Wednesday night, with western areas active as well. Western and central areas will be favored for storms Thursday into Thursday night, while the east stabilizes some. The nearby high pressure area will quickly retreat off the west coast Friday as the next short wave trough moves in from the northwest. Late Friday and Friday night will again be very active with plenty of showers and thunderstorms. The upper high will move back over NM this coming weekend and strengthen nearby early next week. This will result in less convection, with scattered storms over the mountains and isolated over the valleys and eastern highlands. The eastern plains will see less storm coverage over the weekend and may be completely dry early next week. CHJ && .FIRE WEATHER... Deep layer moisture will continue increasing over New Mexico through the remainder of this week. High pressure over eastern Arizona will drift eastward and weaken through late week. This will set the stage for north to south steering flow to become very light and elevate the flash flood threat. Friday to Saturday currently appears to be the most active period with near record precipitable water values. Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal in this pattern for the entire area. Min humidity will range from near 20% across western NM to near 40% along the TX border. Overnight max humidity recoveries will be good to excellent areawide. An overall decrease in the coverage of showers and storms is possible by Sunday as upper level high pressure strengthens over NM. && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 3:05 AM MDT, 14 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 305 AM MDT Tue Jul 31 2018 NMZ501>540-011130- Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands- Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains- West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains- San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains- West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains- Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River- Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley- Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area- Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley- Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley- South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa- Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County- Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County- Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County- Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County- 305 AM MDT Tue Jul 31 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central New Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight A round of afternoon and evening thunderstorms will develop over the northern and western mountains early this afternoon, moving south over the lower elevations during late afternoon and early evening.. A few strong storms are possible this afternoon and evening with locally heavy rainfall, small hail and gusty winds. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday Storm coverage is forecast to increase Wednesday and remain active Thursday through the weekend. Strong to severe storms are possible in eastern New Mexico Wednesday afternoon and evening. Additionally, localized flash flooding, especially over and near recent burn scars, is possible each afternoon and evening. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. 33
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 4:22 PM MDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 422 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 NMZ526-539-312245- Eastern Lincoln County-South Central Mountains- 422 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM MDT... At 422 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Lincoln State Monument, or 23 miles northeast of Ruidoso, moving southeast at 20 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Lincoln, Hondo, Arabela, Lincoln State Monument and San Patricio. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3354 10553 3369 10541 3355 10508 3333 10527 TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 304DEG 16KT 3358 10541 28
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 4:33 PM MDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
433 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018
NMZ510-312300-
San Juan Mountains-
433 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL RIO ARRIBA COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM MDT...
At 432 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Canjilon, or 16 miles southeast of Tierra Amarilla, moving south at
20 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Canjilon and Cebolla.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Heavy rains will cause water to pond on roads and in low spots. Fast
running water will quickly fill arroyos and ditches.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 10629 3635 10624 3636 10651 3638 10650
3636 10653 3636 10662 3661 10651
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 001DEG 17KT 3649 10640
40Special weather statement, Jul 31, 4:38 PM MDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 438 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 NMZ525-312315- Upper Tularosa Valley- 438 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL 515 PM MDT... At 438 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8 miles northwest of Carrizozo, moving southeast at 10 mph. Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Carrizozo. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3372 10608 3379 10598 3369 10583 3358 10599 TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 319DEG 10KT 3372 10599 28
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 4:48 PM MDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 448 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 NMZ526-312315- South Central Mountains- 448 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL 515 PM MDT... At 448 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over Fort Stanton, or 13 miles northeast of Ruidoso, moving southwest at 15 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Ruidoso, Ruidoso Downs, Capitan, Bonito Lake, Alto, Fort Stanton, Smokey Bear Historical Park and Angus. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Accumulations of small hail on roads can create very slick and hazardous driving conditions. && LAT...LON 3360 10557 3349 10539 3331 10554 3344 10576 TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 034DEG 14KT 3349 10554 40
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:02 PM MDT, 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 502 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 NMZ530-312330- Union County- 502 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL UNION COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM MDT... At 502 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Clayton Lake State Park, or 9 miles north of Clayton, moving south at 35 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Clayton, Clayton Lake State Park and Seneca. Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Motorists can expect brief but sudden changes in visibility and ponding of water on highways as storms move through the area. && LAT...LON 3667 10333 3667 10311 3634 10305 3637 10342 TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 354DEG 30KT 3659 10322 40
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:16 PM MDT, 37 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 516 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 NMZ530-312345- Union County- 516 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2018 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL UNION COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM MDT... At 516 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near Mount Dora, or 19 miles west of Clayton, moving south at 15 mph. Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Mount Dora. && LAT...LON 3647 10367 3655 10346 3631 10328 3621 10359 TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 337DEG 12KT 3645 10353 28
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 6:17 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Colfax | 13 min |
| Jul 30, 6:18 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Bernalillo | 27 min |
| Jul 30, 6:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Bernalillo, Sandoval | 50 min |
| Jul 30, 6:36 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | Bernalillo, Sandoval | 114 min |
| Jul 30, 7:13 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | Bernalillo | 2 hr |
| Jul 30, 7:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Bernalillo, Valencia | 44 min |
| Jul 30, 7:36 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Bernalillo | 24 min |
| Jul 30, 7:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Bernalillo, Sandoval | 48 min |
| Jul 30, 7:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Bernalillo, Torrance, Valencia | 52 min |
| Jul 30, 7:56 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | Sandoval | 64 min |
| Jul 30, 7:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 39 min |
| Jul 30, 8:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Bernalillo, Valencia | 40 min |
| Jul 30, 8:55 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | 35 min | |
| Jul 30, 10:47 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Bernalillo | 28 min |
| Jul 30, 11:19 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Bernalillo | 26 min |
| Jul 31, 1:20 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Torrance | 25 min |
| Jul 31, 2:41 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Torrance | 34 min |
| Jul 31, 3:17 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Lincoln | 28 min |
| Jul 31, 4:15 AM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Lincoln | 30 min |
| Jul 31, 3:40 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Taos | 35 min |
| Jul 31, 4:01 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | ABQ | Colfax | 3 hr |
| Jul 31, 4:22 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Lincoln | 23 min |
| Jul 31, 4:33 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Rio Arriba | 27 min |
| Jul 31, 4:38 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Lincoln | 37 min |
| Jul 31, 4:48 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Lincoln | 27 min |
| Jul 31, 4:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Lincoln | 13 min |
| Jul 31, 4:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Rio Arriba | 62 min |
| Jul 31, 5:02 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Union | 28 min |
| Jul 31, 5:13 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | Lincoln | 2 hr |
| Jul 31, 5:16 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | ABQ | Union | 29 min |
| Jul 31, 5:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Harding, Union | 50 min |
| Jul 31, 5:28 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | ABQ | Rio Arriba | 2 hr |
| Jul 31, 5:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Los Alamos, Rio Arriba, Sandoval | 42 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2018Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.