Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2018

Red Flag Warning 41, NWS Albuquerque, NM

May 12, 20188 counties in New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at May 12, 2018, 6:17 AM MDT for 8 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at May 13, 2018, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 12, 2018, 6:17 AM MDT (12:17 UTC)
In effect from
May 13, 2018, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
May 13, 2018, 9:00 PM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

Counties Bernalillo County, NM, Catron County, NM, Harding County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Socorro County, NM, Union County, NM, Valencia County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2018-05-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2018-05-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3276 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

735 
WWUS85 KABQ 121217
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
617 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM AREAWIDE DUE TO 
STRONG WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...

...RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING
ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN DUE TO STRONG WINDS,
LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH SUNDAY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
EVENING IN THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND WEST CENTRAL 
HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE 
ATMOSPHERE...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS DUE TO
STRONG WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...

.The extended period of critical fire weather conditions will
continue through Monday in some areas as a broad low pressure 
system remains stalled over the Great Basin. This will keep 
stronger winds aloft over New Mexico. A surface trough in the lee 
of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains and strong atmospheric mixing 
will also enhance wind speeds. Minimum humidities will plummet 
below 15 percent each afternoon, and there will be some locally 
poor overnight humidity recoveries. Further, an unstable 
atmosphere is expected as high temperatures climb well above 
normal and Haines Indices reach 6 in many locations.

NMZ103-104-130300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0036.180513T1600Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0038.180514T1700Z-180515T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.180512T1700Z-180513T0300Z/
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains-
617 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday. A
Fire Weather Watch has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch
is in effect from Monday morning through Monday evening. The Fire
Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast Highlands and Northeast Plains from
  late morning through early evening today through Monday.
 
* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph
  today, then 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph Sunday and
  Monday.  

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Dropping between 8 to 12 percent today and 
  Sunday, then 10 to 17 percent Monday.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning for today and Sunday.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the 
field of this Fire Weather Watch for Monday.

&&

$$

NMZ107-108-130300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0036.180513T1600Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.180512T1700Z-180513T0300Z/
Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas Mountains-East Central Plains-
617 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AREA AND TIMING...Along and east of the central mountains from
  late morning through early evening today and Sunday.
 
* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Dropping between 7 to 12 percent each 
  afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning for today and Sunday.

&&

$$

NMZ106-109-130300-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0037.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.180512T1700Z-180513T0300Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley-West Central Highlands-
617 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Fire
Weather Watch...which is in effect from Sunday morning through
Sunday evening. 

* AREA AND TIMING...Middle Rio Grande Valley and West Central
  Highlands from late morning through early evening today and
  Sunday. The most widespread critical conditions will occur
  during the late morning and afternoon each day. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph,
  except only up to 40 mph on Sunday afternoon. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Dropping between 9 to 13 percent each 
  afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning for today.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch for Sunday.

&&

$$

NMZ101-102-105-130300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.180512T1700Z-180513T0300Z/
Northwest Plateau-North Central Mountains-Northwest Highlands-
617 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northwest Plateau, Northwest Highlands and
  North Central Mountains.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.
 
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Dropping between 9 to 13 percent, except 
  locally up to 16 percent on the high peaks of the northern 
  mountains. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning for today.

&&

$$

44
4 follow-up statements
868 
WWUS85 KABQ 122036
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
236 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING
AREA WIDE DUE TO STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE 
AIRMASS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM SUNDAY
ALONG AND EAST OF CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE 
RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG 
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS DUE
TO STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

.Dry south to southwest winds, above average temperatures and
moderate to high Haines persists over most of northern and 
central New Mexico through Sunday before easing somewhat Monday 
as winds diminish. 

NMZ106-109-130300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0037.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180513T0300Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley-West Central Highlands-
236 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AREA AND TIMING...Middle Rio Grande Valley and West Central
  Highlands from late morning through early evening today and
  Sunday. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up 
  to 40 or 45 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Varying between 8 to 15 percent in the
  afternoons. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ103-104-130300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180513T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0038.180514T1700Z-180515T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains-
236 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast Highlands and Northeast Plains in
  the late mornings through the early evenings, today, Sunday and
  Monday. 
 
* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph
  today, not quite as strong Sunday and Monday. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Ranging from 8 to 15 percent this afternoon,
  Sunday and Monday afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

NMZ107-108-130300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180513T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas Mountains-East Central Plains-
236 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...

* AREA AND TIMING...Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas Mountains as well
  as the East Central Plains through this evening and again Sunday
  afternoon and evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up 
  to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Varying from 7 to 12 percent each 
  afternoon.
 
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ101-102-105-130300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180513T0300Z/
Northwest Plateau-North Central Mountains-Northwest Highlands-
236 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northwest Plateau and Highlands, North 
  Central Mountains. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts up 
  to 50 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Ranging from around 9 to 15 percent. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$
423 
WWUS85 KABQ 130243
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
843 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT SUNDAY FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM ALONG AND
EAST OF CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE 
VALLEY AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS, LOW 
HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS DUE
TO STRONG WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

.Breezy to windy conditions, very low humidity, above average 
temperatures and moderate to high Haines indices will be observed
again on Sunday over portions of northern and central New Mexico.
While Monday is overall not expected to be as windy, some critical
fire weather conditions could resurface in the northeast highlands
and northeastern plains.

NMZ103-104-131300-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180513T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0038.180514T1700Z-180515T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains-
843 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast Highlands and Northeast Plains from
  the late morning through the early evening on both Sunday and
  Monday. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 40 to 45
  mph on Sunday. Southwest 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts to
  35 mph on Monday. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Ranging from 9 to 15 percent Sunday
  afternoon and between 11 and 15 percent Monday afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning for Sunday.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch for Monday.

&&

$$

NMZ106>109-131300-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180513T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley-Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas Mountains-
East Central Plains-West Central Highlands-
843 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SUNDAY...

* AREA AND TIMING...Middle Rio Grande valley, Sandia, Manzano and
  Gallinas Mountains as well as the East Central Plains late
  Sunday morning through the evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South southwest 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35
  to 40 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Dropping to 9 to 15 percent Sunday
  afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning for Sunday.

&&

$$

NMZ101-102-105-130345-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0040.000000T0000Z-180513T0300Z/
Northwest Plateau-North Central Mountains-Northwest Highlands-
843 PM MDT Sat May 12 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

Winds are subsiding in north central to northwestern New Mexico, 
allowing critical fire weather conditions to abate this evening.
thus the Red Flag Warning will be allowed to expire.

$$
671 
WWUS85 KABQ 131218
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
618 AM MDT Sun May 13 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM ALONG AND EAST OF 
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN, AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY 
AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS, DUE TO STRONG WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND
AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH MONDAY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
EVENING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS DUE
TO STRONG WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

.The extended period of critical fire weather conditions will 
continue through Monday in some areas as a broad low pressure 
system stalled over the Great Basin keeps winds strong over
portions of New Mexico. A surface trough in the lee of the Sangre
de Cristo Mountains and strong atmospheric mixing will also 
enhance wind speeds. Minimum humidities will plummet below 15 
percent each afternoon, and there will be some locally poor 
overnight humidity recoveries. Further, an unstable atmosphere is 
expected as high temperatures climb above normal with moderate to
high Haines Indices.

NMZ103-104-140300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0038.180514T1700Z-180515T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains-
618 AM MDT Sun May 13 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast Highlands and Northeast Plains from
  the late morning through the early evening today and Monday.
 
* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph today.
  Southwest 15 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph on Monday.
 
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Ranging from 10 to 15 percent each
  afternoon, except near 18 percent on the eastern border of Union
  County Monday afternoon.
 
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning for Sunday.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch for Monday.

&&

$$

NMZ106>109-140300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0041.180513T1700Z-180514T0300Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley-Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas Mountains-
East Central Plains-West Central Highlands-
618 AM MDT Sun May 13 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...West Central Highlands; Middle Rio Grande
  Valley; Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas Mountains; as well as the
  East Central Plains late this morning through early evening.

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.
 
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Ranging from 9 to 15 percent this afternoon.
 
* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning for Sunday.

&&

$$

44
160 
WWUS85 KABQ 131957
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
157 PM MDT Sun May 13 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH 9 PM TODAY ALONG AND EAST 
OF CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN, AS WELL AS THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS, DUE TO STRONG WINDS, LOW HUMIDITY AND
AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT BETWEEN NOON AND 8 PM MONDAY ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WINDS,
LOW HUMIDITY AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS...

.The extended period of critical fire weather conditions will
continue through Monday in some areas as a broad low pressure
system stalled over the Great Basin keeps winds strong over
portions of New Mexico. A surface trough in the lee of the Sangre
de Cristo Mountains and strong atmospheric mixing will also
enhance wind speeds. Minimum humidities will plummet below
15 percent, except across far northeast Union County where a 
front may sag into the area overnight and linger through Monday. 
Poor to fair overnight humidity recoveries are expected tonight 
south and west of the front. Further, an unstable atmosphere is 
expected as high temperatures climb above normal with moderate to 
high Haines Indices.

NMZ103-104-140300-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0038.180514T1700Z-180515T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0042.180514T1800Z-180515T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180514T0300Z/
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains-
157 PM MDT Sun May 13 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Monday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast Highlands and Northeast Plains
  during the afternoon and evening hours today and Monday. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph
  today. Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph on Monday. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Ranging from 8 to 15 percent each afternoon,
  except across far northeast Union County where higher humidity
  will preclude critical fire weather conditions Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ106>109-140300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0041.000000T0000Z-180514T0300Z/
Middle Rio Grande Valley-Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas Mountains-
East Central Plains-West Central Highlands-
157 PM MDT Sun May 13 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...This includes the West Central Highlands, 
  Middle Rio Grande Valley, Sandia, Manzano and Gallinas 
  Mountains, as well as the East Central Plains through this 
  evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Ranging from 9 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

34

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 12, 5:46 AM MDT, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 12, 5:46 AM MDT, 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
546 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE
Southwest winds will become breezy to windy again on today. An
Airport Weather Warning may again be needed for the Albuquerque
International Sunport on Saturday afternoon, where there is the
potential for wind gusts to reach 35 knots. Otherwise, VFR conditions
are expected areawide. High temperatures will fall a few to 6 degrees
below yesterday's readings across central and western areas.

44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...328 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018...
.SYNOPSIS...
A low pressure system centered over Nevada will continue spreading
very dry, southwest winds over New Mexico through early next week.
Temperatures this weekend will trend slightly cooler than the past
several days however readings will still be above normal. Low level
moisture will slosh westward near the Texas state line beginning
Tuesday and introduce slight chances for showers and thunderstorms
each afternoon through Thursday. Meanwhile, central and western New
Mexico will remain very dry, warm, and breezy next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A quasi-stationary upper level low pressure system over the Great
Basin will continue a persistence pattern across NM thru early next
week. 00Z guidance agrees that the 555dm H5 low over NV today will
wobble around the area while filling to near 570dm thru Tuesday. At
the surface, a low pressure center will wander between southeastern
CO and northeastern NM thru Monday. This will allow winds to remain
elevated over the entire area. A dry slot focused over AZ and NM
ahead of the upper low will combine with elevated winds to create
daily bouts of critical fire weather conditions.

Minor change is noted beginning Tuesday as low level moisture begins
sloshing westward over eastern NM. This introduces potential for a
few showers and storms near the TX state line each afternoon through
Thursday. Shallow moisture may progress westward to the central mt
chain Wednesday and Thursday depending on the strength of convective
outflows. Meanwhile, central and western NM will remain very dry and
breezy with gradually warming temps.

Guyer

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
...EXTENDED STRETCH OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
AREAWIDE TODAY, THEN THROUGH MONDAY IN PARTS OF THE EAST...

A broad upper level low pressure system will remain stalled over the
Great Basin and gradually fill today through Monday, then weaken
further as it shifts slowly northeastward across the northern
Rockies Tuesday through Wednesday night. Winds aloft will remain
strong today and tonight, before weakening some Sunday. Some
stronger flow aloft will then persist across northeast areas on
Monday. A surface trough will also persist the lee of the Sangre de
Cristo Mountains today through Monday, and there will be strong
atmospheric mixing in above normal temperatures helping to enhance
surface winds each day. Haines Indices will generally vary from 5 to
6 each day, except for some 4s along the AZ border today and Sunday.
With widespread sub-15% humidities and the ongoing drought, the
needed ingredients will be in place for daily rounds of critical
fire weather conditions. There will also be areas of poor humidity
recovery tonight, and locally poor recoveries Sunday night.

Red Flag conditions will be most widespread today, when they will
reach all zones. Winds will also be strongest today, when gusts will
vary from 40 to 50 mph. Relatively strong winds have been forecast
to persist along and east of the central mountain chain on Sunday,
with weakening winds expected in the west.  However, the latest
model runs show some of the strongest winds aloft (700-500 mb layer
average speeds in the 30-37 kt range) over south central to
southwest parts of the fire weather forecast area.  Thus, with this
morning's forecast package, we are upgrading eastern areas to a Red
Flag Warning for Sunday, and issuing a Fire Weather Watch for the
Middle Rio Grande Valley and West Central Highlands. We are also
issuing a Fire Weather Watch for northeast areas on Monday, where
lingering (but weakening) stronger flow aloft and lee side troughing
are forecast to persist. Weaker but still gusty winds elsewhere on
Monday will bring a long awaited reprieve from critical fire weather
conditions.

Tuesday, winds will be weaker overall, but a weak upper level trough
crossing from the southwest could spark some high based, gusty virga
showers. It may also draw the dry line into eastern parts of the
state with some thunderstorms. Wednesday, a back door cold front is
forecast to sag into the northeast and possibly the east central
plains with better moisture and a better chance for thunderstorms.

The latter part of the work week will feature strengthening winds
and well above normal high temperatures again as an upper level low
pressure system moves into the Desert Southwest from the west.
Another round of critical fire weather conditions will be possible.

44

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 9 PM MDT this evening
for the following zones... NMZ101>109.

Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Sunday for the following
zones... NMZ103-104-107-108.

Fire Weather Watch from Sunday morning through Sunday evening for
the following zones... NMZ106-109.

Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening for
the following zones... NMZ103-104.

Wind Advisory from noon today to 8 PM MDT this evening for the
following zones... NMZ502-505-527>529-531-532.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 3:30 AM MDT, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
330 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018

NMZ501>540-131100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
330 AM MDT Sat May 12 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A red flag warning is in effect today for all of northern and central
New Mexico. Very low humidity will combine with strong winds, above
normal temperatures, and an unstable airmass to create critical fire
weather conditions. Southwest winds of 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to
45 mph will impact the area around Gallup and parts of northeastern
NM from near Las Vegas to Raton Pass.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A red flag warning is in effect Sunday for all of eastern NM and a
fire weather watch is in effect for the Rio Grande Valley and the
west central mountains. Very low humidity will combine with strong
winds, above normal temperatures, and an unstable airmass to create
critical fire weather conditions. A fire weather watch is in effect
Monday across northeastern NM.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Contact your local law enforcement at 911 and the National Weather
Service at 1.888.386.7637 to report wildfire outbreaks.

Guyer

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 12, 3:38 AM MDTWind AdvisoryABQ16 hr
May 12, 6:17 AM MDTFire Weather WatchABQBernalillo, Catron, Sandoval, Socorro, Valencia8 hr
May 12, 6:17 AM MDTFire Weather WatchABQHarding, San Miguel, Union32 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2018Every red flag warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.