Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2018

Red Flag Warning 19, NWS Albuquerque, NM

March 16, 2018Harding County, San Miguel County, Union County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at Mar 16, 2018, 2:41 PM MDT for Harding County, San Miguel County, Union County, New Mexico. It took effect at Mar 17, 2018, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 16, 2018, 2:41 PM MDT (20:41 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 17, 2018, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Mar 17, 2018, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Albuquerque, NM

Counties Harding County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2589 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

664 
WWUS85 KABQ 162041
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
241 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND
EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO THROUGH 8 PM TODAY DUE TO STRONG 
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND 
NORTHEAST PLAINS FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM SATURDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS 
AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.Critical fire weather conditions will continue through the early
evening today across the northeast highlands and northeast to 
east central plains. On Saturday, south southwest winds will turn
gusty again in northeastern New Mexico along with continued low 
relative humidity. This will once again produce critical fire 
weather conditions across the northeast highlands and northeast 
plains Saturday afternoon through early evening.

NMZ103-104-170200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0016.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180317T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains-
241 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Saturday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast highlands and northeast plains will
  observe critical conditions through early this evening. Critical
  fire weather will once again redevelop Saturday afternoon 
  through the early evening.
 
* 20 FOOT WINDS...West northwest winds today with speeds ranging
  from 20 to 30 mph with occasional gusts of 40 to 45 mph. On
  Saturday winds will be out of the south southwest at 15 to 25
  mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent both today and 
  on Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ108-170200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180317T0200Z/
East Central Plains-
241 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...East Central Plains through early this 
  evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Westerly winds with speeds ranging from 20 to 30
  mph with occasional gusts of 40 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Minimums between 7 and 11 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
313 
WWUS85 KABQ 170219
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
819 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND 
NORTHEAST PLAINS FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM SATURDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS 
AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.On Saturday, south southwest winds will turn gusty again in 
northeastern New Mexico along with continued low relative 
humidity. This will once again produce critical fire weather 
conditions across the northeast highlands and northeast plains 
Saturday afternoon through early evening.

NMZ103-104-171300-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180317T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains-
819 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
SATURDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR FRIDAY...

* AREA AND TIMING...Northeast highlands and northeast plains 
  will observe critical conditions through early this evening. 
  Critical fire weather will once again redevelop Saturday 
  afternoon through the early evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...West northwest winds today with speeds ranging 
  from 20 to 30 mph with occasional gusts of 40 to 45 mph. On 
  Saturday winds will be out of the south southwest at 15 to 25 
  mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent both today and 
  on Saturday. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ108-170330-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180317T0200Z/
East Central Plains-
819 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...


$$
966 
WWUS85 KABQ 170805
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
205 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND
NORTHEAST PLAINS FROM NOON TO 8 PM TODAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND 
LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS FROM NOON TO
8 PM SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.South to southwest winds will become gusty today in northeastern
New Mexico along with continued low relative humidity. This will 
once again produce critical fire weather conditions across the 
northeast highlands and northeast plains this afternoon through 
early this evening. Very strong west winds will develop across the
eastern plains Sunday. These winds combined with low relative 
humidity will likely produce critical fire weather conditions 
across the eastern plains Sunday afternoon through early evening. 

NMZ104-171615-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/
Northeast Plains-
205 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Fire
Weather Watch...which is in effect from Sunday afternoon through
Sunday evening. 

* AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Plains will observe critical 
  conditions through early this evening. Critical fire weather 
  conditions will once again redevelop Sunday afternoon through 
  the early evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds today with speeds 
  ranging from 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts of 35 mph. On 
  Sunday winds will be out of the west at 25 to 35 mph with gusts 
  to 50 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 to 15 percent this afternoon
  and to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

NMZ103-171615-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-
205 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Highlands will observe critical
  conditions this afternoon through early this evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with 
  occasional gusts to 35 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent today. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ108-171615-
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
East Central Plains-
205 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Fire
Weather Watch...which is in effect from Sunday afternoon through
Sunday evening. 

* AREA AND TIMING...The East Central Plains are expected to 
  observe critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon 
  through early evening.
  

* 20 FOOT WINDS...West winds at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 
  mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday  
  afternoon. 


* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

28
317 
WWUS85 KABQ 171150
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
550 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND
NORTHEAST PLAINS FROM NOON TO 8 PM TODAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND
LOW HUMIDITY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS FROM NOON
TO 8 PM SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.South to southwest winds will become gusty today in northeastern
New Mexico along with continued low relative humidity. This will
once again produce critical fire weather conditions across the
northeast highlands and northeast plains this afternoon through
early this evening. Very strong west winds will develop across
the eastern plains Sunday. These winds combined with low relative
humidity will likely produce critical fire weather conditions
across the eastern plains Sunday afternoon through early evening.

NMZ104-172200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
Northeast Plains-
550 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Plains will observe critical 
  conditions through early this evening. Critical fire weather 
  conditions will once again redevelop Sunday afternoon through 
  the early evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds today with speeds
  ranging from 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts of 35 mph. On
  Sunday winds will be out of the west at 25 to 35 mph with gusts
  to 55 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 to 15 percent this afternoon 
  and to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

NMZ103-172200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-
550 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Highlands will observe 
  critical conditions this afternoon through early this evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with 
  occasional gusts to 35 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent today.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ108-172200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
East Central Plains-
550 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...The East Central Plains are expected to 
  observe critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon 
  through early evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...West winds at 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 
  mph.
  

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday 
  afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Fire Weather Watch.

&&

$$

28
665 
WWUS85 KABQ 172115
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
315 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING FOR
THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND 
AND LOW HUMIDITY...

...RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR 
THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.Surface winds will continue to strengthen this afternoon across
northeast areas, and humidities should reach critical thresholds 
in many locations, as an upper level trough approaches the Four 
Corners from the west. Critical fire weather conditions are 
expected until around 8 pm this evening across portions of the 
northeast. 

Conditions will become much more critical across more of the
eastern plains on Sunday as the upper level trough forms a closed
low pressure system while passing eastward along the Colorado and
New Mexico border. The storm system will steer a strong jet stream
over the state, and form a potent lee trough across the plains.
West wind gusts across the plains will vary from 45 to over 60 
mph on Sunday with widespread humidities below 15 percent and 
above normal temperatures. Strong winds will linger through Sunday
evening, but a Pacific cold front and a back door cold front 
should lower temperatures and raise humidities enough to ease 
critical fire weather conditions by 8 pm.

NMZ104-180200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0020.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180318T0200Z/
Northeast Plains-
315 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Sunday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Plains will observe critical 
  conditions through early this evening. Critical fire weather 
  conditions will once again redevelop Sunday afternoon through 
  the early evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds today with speeds 
  ranging from 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts of 35 mph. On 
  Sunday winds will be out of the west at 25 to 35 mph with 
  gusts to 55 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 to 15 percent this afternoon 
  and to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ108-180200-
/O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0020.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
East Central Plains-
315 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag
Warning...which is in effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Sunday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AREA AND TIMING...The East Central Plains are expected to 
  observe critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon 
  through early evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...West winds at 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 
  mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday 
  afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ103-180200-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180318T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-
315 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Highlands will observe 
  critical conditions this afternoon through early this evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with 
  occasional gusts to 35 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent today.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$
078 
WWUS85 KABQ 180211
RFWABQ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
811 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR 
THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.Conditions will become much more critical across more of the 
eastern plains on Sunday as the upper level trough forms a closed 
low pressure system while passing eastward along the Colorado and 
New Mexico border. The storm system will steer a strong jet stream
over the state, and form a potent lee trough across the plains. 
West wind gusts across the plains will vary from 45 to over 60 mph
on Sunday with widespread humidities below 15 percent and above 
normal temperatures. Strong winds will linger through Sunday 
evening, but a Pacific cold front and a back door cold front 
should lower temperatures and raise humidities enough to ease 
critical fire weather conditions by 8 pm.

NMZ104-181300-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180318T0200Z/
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0020.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
Northeast Plains-
811 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
SUNDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED SATURDAY EVENING...

* AREA AND TIMING...Critical fire weather conditions in the
  Northeast Plains will once again redevelop Sunday afternoon
  through the early evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...Winds will be out of the west at 25 to 35 mph 
  with gusts to 55 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday  
  afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

NMZ103-180315-
/O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180318T0200Z/
Northeast Highlands-
811 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...


$$

NMZ108-181300-
/O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0020.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/
East Central Plains-
811 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
SUNDAY...

* AREA AND TIMING...The East Central Plains are expected to 
  observe critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon 
  through early evening. 

* 20 FOOT WINDS...West winds at 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 
  mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday 
  afternoon. 

* IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the
field of this Red Flag Warning.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 16, 12:03 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 12:03 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1203 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
VFR conditions will persist through the next 24 hours with just mid
to high clouds (FL150-250) increasing today and tonight. Breezy to
windy conditions will persist through the afternoon with strongest
gusts of 35 to 45 kt found east of the Sangre de Cristo mountains
into the northeastern plains of New Mexico. Winds should decrease in
speed into the late afternoon and more-so after sunset. Breezy to
windy conditions will redevelop Saturday afternoon, but overall
speeds should be less than today.

52

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...1151 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018...
.UPDATE...
Extended Wind Advisory for lower elevations until 4 pm this
afternoon. Also, expanded it to include Curry County which is already
reaching criteria. Dropped the highest terrain zones of the Sangre de
Cristos. Winds aloft will continue to gradually weaken this
afternoon, but the surface pressure gradient is expected to remain
strong. This should allow at least intermittent strong wind gusts
until mid to late afternoon in most places.

44

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...525 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018...
.UPDATE...
As low pressure pulls away from NM into central KS this morning,
winds in western NM, the Sandia and Manzano Mountains, the west
slopes of the Sangre de Cristos and the south central mountains will
diminish. Wind advisories for these areas will be allowed to expire
at 6 AM. High wind warnings across the south central mountains,
eastern Lincoln County and southwest Chaves County will also be
allowed to expire at 6 AM. High wind warnings for the central
highlands eastward to the east central plains and for the remainder
of the Sangre de Cristos will be converted to wind advisories through
12 PM. Wind advisories have also been added to include the northeast
highlands and northeast plains through 12PM.

28

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...324 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018...
.SYNOPSIS...
Windy conditions will persist today across eastern portions of the
state in the wake of the departing system, with speeds peaking during
the morning hours. Look for some warming Saturday with winds picking
back up in the afternoon in advance of another strong Pacific system,
forecast to push through Sunday. This next system will bring more
strong to potentially damaging winds back to the state, but with
improved chances for precipitation. Windy conditions will persist
across eastern portions of the state into Monday as the system pulls
away from the area. After a cool day Monday, look for a multi day
warming trend to send temperatures back above normal most areas by
Wednesday. More unsettled weather with windy conditions are likely to
return to New Mexico by the end of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Impressive winds persisting overnight as the Pacific system pulls
away to the northeast and continues to deepen over the central Great
Plains. A gust to 60mph was observed at the Raton airport at 1250AM.
Mountain wave clouds noted in the nighttime microphysics RGB
satellite imagery across the west central mountains an indication of
strong winds persisting in the low/mid levels of the atmosphere.
Added a few NE zones to a Wind Advisory and will continue it through
noon, when winds should be on the downtrend. Will consider letting
the High Wind Warning expire at 6AM and replacing it with a Wind
Advisory for some central/northern zones through noon. Likely still
some snow flying across the higher terrain of the Tusas Mountains, so
will allow the advisory there to continue and then expire at 6 AM.
Otherwise, today will be dry with near/below normal temperatures
central and west and above normal temperatures east, where a Red Flag
Warning is in effect (see Fire Weather Discussion below for
details).

Look for some warming on Saturday, with a deepening lee side trough
in response to the next Pacific trough/low on approach and forecast
to push through Sunday. This system looks to come through New Mexico
further south than yesterday's system, so the strongest winds will be
focused further south and precipitation will likely impact a larger
portion of central and western New Mexico. The trough will race east
across the state Sunday, which will limit snow amounts, but we're
forecasting accumulations over much of the western and northern high
terrain including a few lower elevation locales such as Gallup and
Dulce. Strong to potentially damaging winds will persist across the
peaks and portions of eastern New Mexico overnight into Monday
morning in the wake of the departing system, which will close-off a
low and deepen to near 540dam at 500mb over northern Oklahoma by 12Z
Monday.

Cooler conditions on Monday will be followed by a warming trend
through Thursday as an upper level ridge moves overhead, with
daytime temperatures back above normal most areas by Wednesday. Both
the 00z operational runs of the ECMWF and GFS show an upper level
trough moving through the region toward the end of next week,
bringing windy conditions with limited chances for precipitation back
to much of our area.

11

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO
TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...

As low pressure in western KS pulls away to the east today, drier
air from the west and downsloping west winds will produce minimum
relative humidity in the single digits to around 12 percent across
the eastern plains. Stronger winds this morning in the eastern
plains will weaken this afternoon, as the core of strongest winds
aloft moves to the east. Even so, with a lee surface trough forming
in NW TX and SE CO, west winds will be in the 20 to 25 mph range
this afternoon. Red Flag Warnings will remain in effect for FWZ103,
FWZ104, and FWZ108 from 10 AM today through 8 PM this evening.
Relative humidity across the eastern plains will increase slightly
Saturday, but minimum values will still be near or below 15 percent.
Winds Saturday will be around 5 mph less than Friday across the
eastern plains. A lee surface trough in eastern CO Saturday
afternoon will produce southwest winds near 20 mph during the
afternoon in FWZ103 and FWZ104, where a Fire Weather Watch has been
posted for 12 noon through 8 PM.

A progressive, but fairly potent, trough will move across the
northern half of NM Sunday with a strong Pacific cold front expected
to sweep across the state Sunday morning and early afternoon. The
combination of the strong cold front and a deep surface low in
southeastern CO will bring strong west winds to all of northern and
central NM. Many locations will see sustained west winds of 20 to 30
mph with gusts to around 40 mph east of the central mountains. Light
snow and a mix of rain and snow will move from west to east Sunday
with several inches of snow expected in the higher elevations of
north central and western NM. Near critical relative humidity in the
far eastern plains Sunday afternoon and strong winds will likely
create critical fire weather conditions.

A backdoor cold front will move southward across the eastern plains
Monday. Cooler than normal temperatures will prevail across the
entire area Monday with a few hours of near critical fire weather
possible in the west central highlands and in the far northeast
plains. Lighter winds and a warming trend will follow Tuesday
through Wednesday.

28

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for the following
zones... NMZ103-104-108.

Wind Advisory until 4 PM MDT this afternoon for the following
zones... NMZ515-523-527>535.

Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening
for the following zones... NMZ103-104.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 16, 4:19 AM MDT, 10 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
419 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

NMZ501>540-171100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
419 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central
New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong winds will persist this morning across northeast New Mexico.
Critical fire weather conditions are forecast across portions of
eastern New Mexico for much of the day.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Critical fire weather conditions are likely across portions of
eastern New Mexico again on Saturday.

Strong to potentially damaging winds will return to much of the area
Sunday as another potent Pacific system races east across the state.
Minor impacts from snow accumulation and blowing snow are possible
across the western and northern high terrain.

Strong to potentially damaging winds will persist Sunday night into
early Monday across much of eastern New Mexico.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report strong winds through the National
Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq or by calling
1.888.386.7637. You can also submit storm reports and photos on our
Facebook page or via Twitter using the hashtag nmwx.

11

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 16, 8:44 AM MDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
844 AM MDT FRI MAR 16 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW RUIDOSO           33.35N 105.69W
03/15/2018  M62 MPH          LINCOLN            NM   PARK/FOREST SRVC

            SMOKEY BEAR RAWS.

0115 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  2 SSW FORT STANTON      33.47N 105.54W
03/15/2018  M42 MPH          LINCOLN            NM   AWOS

            KSRR AWOS.

0344 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E BERNALILLO          35.31N 106.51W
03/15/2018  M58 MPH          SANDOVAL           NM   APRSWXNET/CWOP

0416 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE CLINES CORNERS    35.00N 105.66W
03/15/2018  M75 MPH          TORRANCE           NM   ASOS

            KCQC ASOS.

0533 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 18 NNE ENCINOSO         33.92N 105.33W
03/15/2018  M59 MPH          LINCOLN            NM   APRSWXNET/CWOP

0550 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 18 NNE ENCINOSO         33.92N 105.34W
03/15/2018  M60 MPH          LINCOLN            NM   MESONET

            CSBF TRANSWESTERN PUMP.

0645 PM     SNOW             10 SSE ANGEL FIRE       36.27N 105.18W
03/15/2018  M1.5 INCH        COLFAX             NM   COCORAHS

0800 PM     SNOW             11 NNW CANON PLAZA      36.70N 106.25W
03/15/2018  E5.0 INCH        RIO ARRIBA         NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            HOPEWELL SNOTEL.

0800 PM     SNOW             11 ENE RED RIVER        36.78N 105.23W
03/15/2018  E2.0 INCH        COLFAX             NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            SHUREE SNOTEL.

0800 PM     SNOW             8 NE ARROYO SECO        36.58N 105.45W
03/15/2018  E5.0 INCH        TAOS               NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            TAOS POWDERHORN SNOTEL.

0800 PM     SNOW             12 SSE COYOTE           36.01N 106.55W
03/15/2018  E4.0 INCH        RIO ARRIBA         NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            GARITA PEAK SNOTEL.

0800 PM     SNOW             7 E CANJILON            36.50N 106.31W
03/15/2018  E2.0 INCH        RIO ARRIBA         NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            BATEMAN SNOTEL.

0800 PM     SNOW             8 SSW SAN MIGUEL        36.87N 106.23W
03/15/2018  E3.0 INCH        RIO ARRIBA         NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            SAN ANTONIO SINK SNOTEL.

0800 PM     SNOW             8 SE EAGLE NEST         36.46N 105.17W
03/15/2018  E2.0 INCH        COLFAX             NM   OTHER FEDERAL

            TOLBY SNOTEL.

0900 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSW RED RIVER         36.59N 105.45W
03/15/2018  M61 MPH          TAOS               NM   PUBLIC

            KACHINA PEAK AT TAOS SKI AREA.

0332 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST RATON CREWS AIRPORT     36.73N 104.50W
03/16/2018  M66 MPH          COLFAX             NM   ASOS

            KRTN ASOS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800321 ABQ201800320 ABQ201800322 ABQ201800336
ABQ201800323 ABQ201800333 ABQ201800324 ABQ201800325 ABQ201800326
ABQ201800327 ABQ201800328 ABQ201800329 ABQ201800330 ABQ201800331
ABQ201800332 ABQ201800335

SHOEMAKE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 16, 3:34 AM MDTFire Weather WatchABQHarding, San Miguel, Union11 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2018Every red flag warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.