Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2018
Red Flag Warning 19, NWS Albuquerque, NM
NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at Mar 16, 2018, 2:41 PM MDT for Harding County, San Miguel County, Union County, New Mexico. It took effect at Mar 17, 2018, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 16, 2018, 2:41 PM MDT (20:41 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 17, 2018, 12:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Mar 17, 2018, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albuquerque, NM
Counties Harding County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM
The radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2589 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 120 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
664 WWUS85 KABQ 162041 RFWABQ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 241 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO THROUGH 8 PM TODAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM SATURDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .Critical fire weather conditions will continue through the early evening today across the northeast highlands and northeast to east central plains. On Saturday, south southwest winds will turn gusty again in northeastern New Mexico along with continued low relative humidity. This will once again produce critical fire weather conditions across the northeast highlands and northeast plains Saturday afternoon through early evening. NMZ103-104-170200- /O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0016.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180317T0200Z/ Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains- 241 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY... The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Saturday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * AREA AND TIMING...Northeast highlands and northeast plains will observe critical conditions through early this evening. Critical fire weather will once again redevelop Saturday afternoon through the early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...West northwest winds today with speeds ranging from 20 to 30 mph with occasional gusts of 40 to 45 mph. On Saturday winds will be out of the south southwest at 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent both today and on Saturday. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$ NMZ108-170200- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180317T0200Z/ East Central Plains- 241 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * AREA AND TIMING...East Central Plains through early this evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...Westerly winds with speeds ranging from 20 to 30 mph with occasional gusts of 40 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Minimums between 7 and 11 percent. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$
5 follow-up statements
313 WWUS85 KABQ 170219 RFWABQ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 819 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM SATURDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .On Saturday, south southwest winds will turn gusty again in northeastern New Mexico along with continued low relative humidity. This will once again produce critical fire weather conditions across the northeast highlands and northeast plains Saturday afternoon through early evening. NMZ103-104-171300- /O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180317T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/ Northeast Highlands-Northeast Plains- 819 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR FRIDAY... * AREA AND TIMING...Northeast highlands and northeast plains will observe critical conditions through early this evening. Critical fire weather will once again redevelop Saturday afternoon through the early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...West northwest winds today with speeds ranging from 20 to 30 mph with occasional gusts of 40 to 45 mph. On Saturday winds will be out of the south southwest at 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent both today and on Saturday. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$ NMZ108-170330- /O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-180317T0200Z/ East Central Plains- 819 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... $$
966 WWUS85 KABQ 170805 RFWABQ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 205 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS FROM NOON TO 8 PM TODAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS FROM NOON TO 8 PM SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .South to southwest winds will become gusty today in northeastern New Mexico along with continued low relative humidity. This will once again produce critical fire weather conditions across the northeast highlands and northeast plains this afternoon through early this evening. Very strong west winds will develop across the eastern plains Sunday. These winds combined with low relative humidity will likely produce critical fire weather conditions across the eastern plains Sunday afternoon through early evening. NMZ104-171615- /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/ Northeast Plains- 205 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Fire Weather Watch...which is in effect from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening. * AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Plains will observe critical conditions through early this evening. Critical fire weather conditions will once again redevelop Sunday afternoon through the early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds today with speeds ranging from 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts of 35 mph. On Sunday winds will be out of the west at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 to 15 percent this afternoon and to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Fire Weather Watch. && $$ NMZ103-171615- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/ Northeast Highlands- 205 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Highlands will observe critical conditions this afternoon through early this evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent today. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$ NMZ108-171615- /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ East Central Plains- 205 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Fire Weather Watch...which is in effect from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening. * AREA AND TIMING...The East Central Plains are expected to observe critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon through early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...West winds at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Fire Weather Watch. && $$ 28
317 WWUS85 KABQ 171150 RFWABQ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 550 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS FROM NOON TO 8 PM TODAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS FROM NOON TO 8 PM SUNDAY DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .South to southwest winds will become gusty today in northeastern New Mexico along with continued low relative humidity. This will once again produce critical fire weather conditions across the northeast highlands and northeast plains this afternoon through early this evening. Very strong west winds will develop across the eastern plains Sunday. These winds combined with low relative humidity will likely produce critical fire weather conditions across the eastern plains Sunday afternoon through early evening. NMZ104-172200- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ Northeast Plains- 550 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Plains will observe critical conditions through early this evening. Critical fire weather conditions will once again redevelop Sunday afternoon through the early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds today with speeds ranging from 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts of 35 mph. On Sunday winds will be out of the west at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 to 15 percent this afternoon and to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Fire Weather Watch. && $$ NMZ103-172200- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.180317T1800Z-180318T0200Z/ Northeast Highlands- 550 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Highlands will observe critical conditions this afternoon through early this evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent today. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$ NMZ108-172200- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ East Central Plains- 550 AM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * AREA AND TIMING...The East Central Plains are expected to observe critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon through early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...West winds at 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Fire Weather Watch. && $$ 28
665 WWUS85 KABQ 172115 RFWABQ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 315 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING FOR THE NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS AND NORTHEAST PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY... .Surface winds will continue to strengthen this afternoon across northeast areas, and humidities should reach critical thresholds in many locations, as an upper level trough approaches the Four Corners from the west. Critical fire weather conditions are expected until around 8 pm this evening across portions of the northeast. Conditions will become much more critical across more of the eastern plains on Sunday as the upper level trough forms a closed low pressure system while passing eastward along the Colorado and New Mexico border. The storm system will steer a strong jet stream over the state, and form a potent lee trough across the plains. West wind gusts across the plains will vary from 45 to over 60 mph on Sunday with widespread humidities below 15 percent and above normal temperatures. Strong winds will linger through Sunday evening, but a Pacific cold front and a back door cold front should lower temperatures and raise humidities enough to ease critical fire weather conditions by 8 pm. NMZ104-180200- /O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0020.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180318T0200Z/ Northeast Plains- 315 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY... The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Plains will observe critical conditions through early this evening. Critical fire weather conditions will once again redevelop Sunday afternoon through the early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds today with speeds ranging from 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts of 35 mph. On Sunday winds will be out of the west at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 to 15 percent this afternoon and to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$ NMZ108-180200- /O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0017.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0020.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ East Central Plains- 315 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY... The National Weather Service in Albuquerque has issued a Red Flag Warning...which is in effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Sunday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * AREA AND TIMING...The East Central Plains are expected to observe critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon through early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...West winds at 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$ NMZ103-180200- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180318T0200Z/ Northeast Highlands- 315 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... * AREA AND TIMING...The Northeast Highlands will observe critical conditions this afternoon through early this evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...South to southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph with occasional gusts to 35 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 5 and 15 percent today. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$
078 WWUS85 KABQ 180211 RFWABQ URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 811 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR THE EASTERN PLAINS DUE TO STRONG WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY... .Conditions will become much more critical across more of the eastern plains on Sunday as the upper level trough forms a closed low pressure system while passing eastward along the Colorado and New Mexico border. The storm system will steer a strong jet stream over the state, and form a potent lee trough across the plains. West wind gusts across the plains will vary from 45 to over 60 mph on Sunday with widespread humidities below 15 percent and above normal temperatures. Strong winds will linger through Sunday evening, but a Pacific cold front and a back door cold front should lower temperatures and raise humidities enough to ease critical fire weather conditions by 8 pm. NMZ104-181300- /O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180318T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0020.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ Northeast Plains- 811 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED SATURDAY EVENING... * AREA AND TIMING...Critical fire weather conditions in the Northeast Plains will once again redevelop Sunday afternoon through the early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...Winds will be out of the west at 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$ NMZ103-180315- /O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-180318T0200Z/ Northeast Highlands- 811 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... $$ NMZ108-181300- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0020.180318T1800Z-180319T0200Z/ East Central Plains- 811 PM MDT Sat Mar 17 2018 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY... * AREA AND TIMING...The East Central Plains are expected to observe critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon through early evening. * 20 FOOT WINDS...West winds at 30 to 40 mph with gusts to 60 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Falling to 10 to 15 percent Sunday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Please advise the appropriate officials or fire crews in the field of this Red Flag Warning. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 16, 12:03 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 16, 12:03 PM MDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 1203 PM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 .AVIATION... 18Z TAF CYCLE VFR conditions will persist through the next 24 hours with just mid to high clouds (FL150-250) increasing today and tonight. Breezy to windy conditions will persist through the afternoon with strongest gusts of 35 to 45 kt found east of the Sangre de Cristo mountains into the northeastern plains of New Mexico. Winds should decrease in speed into the late afternoon and more-so after sunset. Breezy to windy conditions will redevelop Saturday afternoon, but overall speeds should be less than today. 52 && .PREV DISCUSSION...1151 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018... .UPDATE... Extended Wind Advisory for lower elevations until 4 pm this afternoon. Also, expanded it to include Curry County which is already reaching criteria. Dropped the highest terrain zones of the Sangre de Cristos. Winds aloft will continue to gradually weaken this afternoon, but the surface pressure gradient is expected to remain strong. This should allow at least intermittent strong wind gusts until mid to late afternoon in most places. 44 && .PREV DISCUSSION...525 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018... .UPDATE... As low pressure pulls away from NM into central KS this morning, winds in western NM, the Sandia and Manzano Mountains, the west slopes of the Sangre de Cristos and the south central mountains will diminish. Wind advisories for these areas will be allowed to expire at 6 AM. High wind warnings across the south central mountains, eastern Lincoln County and southwest Chaves County will also be allowed to expire at 6 AM. High wind warnings for the central highlands eastward to the east central plains and for the remainder of the Sangre de Cristos will be converted to wind advisories through 12 PM. Wind advisories have also been added to include the northeast highlands and northeast plains through 12PM. 28 && .PREV DISCUSSION...324 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018... .SYNOPSIS... Windy conditions will persist today across eastern portions of the state in the wake of the departing system, with speeds peaking during the morning hours. Look for some warming Saturday with winds picking back up in the afternoon in advance of another strong Pacific system, forecast to push through Sunday. This next system will bring more strong to potentially damaging winds back to the state, but with improved chances for precipitation. Windy conditions will persist across eastern portions of the state into Monday as the system pulls away from the area. After a cool day Monday, look for a multi day warming trend to send temperatures back above normal most areas by Wednesday. More unsettled weather with windy conditions are likely to return to New Mexico by the end of next week. && .DISCUSSION... Impressive winds persisting overnight as the Pacific system pulls away to the northeast and continues to deepen over the central Great Plains. A gust to 60mph was observed at the Raton airport at 1250AM. Mountain wave clouds noted in the nighttime microphysics RGB satellite imagery across the west central mountains an indication of strong winds persisting in the low/mid levels of the atmosphere. Added a few NE zones to a Wind Advisory and will continue it through noon, when winds should be on the downtrend. Will consider letting the High Wind Warning expire at 6AM and replacing it with a Wind Advisory for some central/northern zones through noon. Likely still some snow flying across the higher terrain of the Tusas Mountains, so will allow the advisory there to continue and then expire at 6 AM. Otherwise, today will be dry with near/below normal temperatures central and west and above normal temperatures east, where a Red Flag Warning is in effect (see Fire Weather Discussion below for details). Look for some warming on Saturday, with a deepening lee side trough in response to the next Pacific trough/low on approach and forecast to push through Sunday. This system looks to come through New Mexico further south than yesterday's system, so the strongest winds will be focused further south and precipitation will likely impact a larger portion of central and western New Mexico. The trough will race east across the state Sunday, which will limit snow amounts, but we're forecasting accumulations over much of the western and northern high terrain including a few lower elevation locales such as Gallup and Dulce. Strong to potentially damaging winds will persist across the peaks and portions of eastern New Mexico overnight into Monday morning in the wake of the departing system, which will close-off a low and deepen to near 540dam at 500mb over northern Oklahoma by 12Z Monday. Cooler conditions on Monday will be followed by a warming trend through Thursday as an upper level ridge moves overhead, with daytime temperatures back above normal most areas by Wednesday. Both the 00z operational runs of the ECMWF and GFS show an upper level trough moving through the region toward the end of next week, bringing windy conditions with limited chances for precipitation back to much of our area. 11 && .FIRE WEATHER... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND... As low pressure in western KS pulls away to the east today, drier air from the west and downsloping west winds will produce minimum relative humidity in the single digits to around 12 percent across the eastern plains. Stronger winds this morning in the eastern plains will weaken this afternoon, as the core of strongest winds aloft moves to the east. Even so, with a lee surface trough forming in NW TX and SE CO, west winds will be in the 20 to 25 mph range this afternoon. Red Flag Warnings will remain in effect for FWZ103, FWZ104, and FWZ108 from 10 AM today through 8 PM this evening. Relative humidity across the eastern plains will increase slightly Saturday, but minimum values will still be near or below 15 percent. Winds Saturday will be around 5 mph less than Friday across the eastern plains. A lee surface trough in eastern CO Saturday afternoon will produce southwest winds near 20 mph during the afternoon in FWZ103 and FWZ104, where a Fire Weather Watch has been posted for 12 noon through 8 PM. A progressive, but fairly potent, trough will move across the northern half of NM Sunday with a strong Pacific cold front expected to sweep across the state Sunday morning and early afternoon. The combination of the strong cold front and a deep surface low in southeastern CO will bring strong west winds to all of northern and central NM. Many locations will see sustained west winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts to around 40 mph east of the central mountains. Light snow and a mix of rain and snow will move from west to east Sunday with several inches of snow expected in the higher elevations of north central and western NM. Near critical relative humidity in the far eastern plains Sunday afternoon and strong winds will likely create critical fire weather conditions. A backdoor cold front will move southward across the eastern plains Monday. Cooler than normal temperatures will prevail across the entire area Monday with a few hours of near critical fire weather possible in the west central highlands and in the far northeast plains. Lighter winds and a warming trend will follow Tuesday through Wednesday. 28 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for the following zones... NMZ103-104-108. Wind Advisory until 4 PM MDT this afternoon for the following zones... NMZ515-523-527>535. Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening for the following zones... NMZ103-104. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 16, 4:19 AM MDT, 10 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albuquerque NM 419 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 NMZ501>540-171100- Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands- Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains- West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains- San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains- West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains- Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River- Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley- Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area- Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area- Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley- Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley- South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa- Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County- Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County- Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County- Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County- 419 AM MDT Fri Mar 16 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of north and central New Mexico. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Strong winds will persist this morning across northeast New Mexico. Critical fire weather conditions are forecast across portions of eastern New Mexico for much of the day. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Critical fire weather conditions are likely across portions of eastern New Mexico again on Saturday. Strong to potentially damaging winds will return to much of the area Sunday as another potent Pacific system races east across the state. Minor impacts from snow accumulation and blowing snow are possible across the western and northern high terrain. Strong to potentially damaging winds will persist Sunday night into early Monday across much of eastern New Mexico. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report strong winds through the National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq or by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit storm reports and photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using the hashtag nmwx. 11
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 16, 8:44 AM MDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
844 AM MDT FRI MAR 16 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNW RUIDOSO 33.35N 105.69W
03/15/2018 M62 MPH LINCOLN NM PARK/FOREST SRVC
SMOKEY BEAR RAWS.
0115 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 2 SSW FORT STANTON 33.47N 105.54W
03/15/2018 M42 MPH LINCOLN NM AWOS
KSRR AWOS.
0344 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E BERNALILLO 35.31N 106.51W
03/15/2018 M58 MPH SANDOVAL NM APRSWXNET/CWOP
0416 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE CLINES CORNERS 35.00N 105.66W
03/15/2018 M75 MPH TORRANCE NM ASOS
KCQC ASOS.
0533 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 18 NNE ENCINOSO 33.92N 105.33W
03/15/2018 M59 MPH LINCOLN NM APRSWXNET/CWOP
0550 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 18 NNE ENCINOSO 33.92N 105.34W
03/15/2018 M60 MPH LINCOLN NM MESONET
CSBF TRANSWESTERN PUMP.
0645 PM SNOW 10 SSE ANGEL FIRE 36.27N 105.18W
03/15/2018 M1.5 INCH COLFAX NM COCORAHS
0800 PM SNOW 11 NNW CANON PLAZA 36.70N 106.25W
03/15/2018 E5.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL
HOPEWELL SNOTEL.
0800 PM SNOW 11 ENE RED RIVER 36.78N 105.23W
03/15/2018 E2.0 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL
SHUREE SNOTEL.
0800 PM SNOW 8 NE ARROYO SECO 36.58N 105.45W
03/15/2018 E5.0 INCH TAOS NM OTHER FEDERAL
TAOS POWDERHORN SNOTEL.
0800 PM SNOW 12 SSE COYOTE 36.01N 106.55W
03/15/2018 E4.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL
GARITA PEAK SNOTEL.
0800 PM SNOW 7 E CANJILON 36.50N 106.31W
03/15/2018 E2.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL
BATEMAN SNOTEL.
0800 PM SNOW 8 SSW SAN MIGUEL 36.87N 106.23W
03/15/2018 E3.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL
SAN ANTONIO SINK SNOTEL.
0800 PM SNOW 8 SE EAGLE NEST 36.46N 105.17W
03/15/2018 E2.0 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL
TOLBY SNOTEL.
0900 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSW RED RIVER 36.59N 105.45W
03/15/2018 M61 MPH TAOS NM PUBLIC
KACHINA PEAK AT TAOS SKI AREA.
0332 AM NON-TSTM WND GST RATON CREWS AIRPORT 36.73N 104.50W
03/16/2018 M66 MPH COLFAX NM ASOS
KRTN ASOS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ201800321 ABQ201800320 ABQ201800322 ABQ201800336
ABQ201800323 ABQ201800333 ABQ201800324 ABQ201800325 ABQ201800326
ABQ201800327 ABQ201800328 ABQ201800329 ABQ201800330 ABQ201800331
ABQ201800332 ABQ201800335
SHOEMAKEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 3:34 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | ABQ | Harding, San Miguel, Union | 11 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2018Every red flag warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.