Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Rapid City, SD

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
146 PM MDT Tue Jul 11 2017

.DISCUSSION...(This Evening Through Tuesday)
Issued at 133 PM MDT Tue Jul 11 2017

Upper level analysis has mainly zonal flow across the northern
Rockies and northern Plains. Skies are clear with the exception of
some cumulus development and towering cumulus over the Black
Hills. At the surface, low pressure was located across southwest
Manitoba, with a cold front running south through central ND and
western SD. Temperatures at 2PM across the forecast area are in
the mid 80s to upper 90s, and winds are breezy northwest behind
the front, and breezy west to southwest ahead.

Tonight into Wednesday...There will be a better chance for
showers and a few storms tonight and early Wednesday as the next
disturbance passes over the area. With instability relatively low
across much of the the area overnight, shower activity should be
on the light side.

Wednesday will be a little cooler behind the front, with highs in
the mid 80s to lower 90s. After morning shower activity tapers
off, there will be a chance for afternoon and evening
thunderstorms across much of the area. A few storms could be on
the strong side, with gusty winds and hail, especially across the
Black Hills and adjacent plains.

The rest of the week and the weekend look to be on the drier side,
with mostly isolated thunderstorm activity expected at times,
especially over the Black Hills. The heat will return as the ridge
and high pressure rebuild over the intermountain west and the
Rockies. Highs will be back in the 90s to around 100 from Thursday
through the weekend, with triple digit highs a good possibility
across much of the plains early next week.

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Wednesday)
Issued At 133 PM MDT Tue Jul 11 2017

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the period. Another
impulse will bring SCT-ISOLD TS to the area this evening and
overnight. Gusty winds can be expected in/near any TS.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for SDZ049.

WY...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...15
AVIATION...13

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
533 AM MDT Tue Jul 11 2017

SDZ001-002-012>014-024>032-041>044-046-047-072>074-WYZ054>058-071-
121300-
Harding-Perkins-Butte-Northern Meade Co Plains-Ziebach-
Northern Black Hills-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City-
Southern Foot Hills-Central Black Hills-Southern Black Hills-
Custer Co Plains-Pennington Co Plains-Haakon-Fall River-
Oglala Lakota-Jackson-Bennett-Mellette-Todd-
Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills-Southern Meade Co Plains-
Hermosa Foot Hills-Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-
Western Crook-Wyoming Black Hills-Weston-Northeastern Crook-
533 AM MDT Tue Jul 11 2017 /633 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2017/

This Hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
South Dakota...the Black Hills of South Dakota...western South
Dakota...northeast Wyoming...and the Black Hills of Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Hot temperatures will continue with highs in the 90s to around
100.

The grassland fire danger index will reach the high to very high
categories this afternoon on the South Dakota Plains.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible mainly this evening and
overnight. Strong winds will be the main threat from
thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Hot and mainly dry weather will continue. Isolated thunderstorms
are possible at times. Isolated strong to severe storms will be
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

SDZ049-121300-
Tripp-
633 AM CDT Tue Jul 11 2017

This Hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A heat advisory is in effect today as heat indices of 100 to 103
are expected this afternoon.

The grassland fire danger index will reach the high category this
afternoon.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible mainly tonight. Strong
winds will be the main threat from thunderstorms

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Hot and mainly dry weather will continue. Isolated thunderstorms
are possible at times. Isolated strong to severe storms will be
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>