Severe Thunderstorm Warning 178, NWS Rapid City, SD

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
257 PM MDT Sat Aug 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...(This Evening Through Saturday)
Issued at 257 PM MDT Sat Aug 26 2017

Current surface analysis shows cold front now across far western
SD to southeast WY, moving southeastward. Upper level analysis
shows northwesterly flow across the region, with an embedded
shortwave disturbance moving southeast across the western Dakotas.
Strong to severe storms have developed over the eastern slopes of
the Black Hills early this afternoon, moving south- southeast
across parts of southwest SD. Other activity is beginning to
develop over the rest of western SD. Temps are mostly in the 80s
to around 90 degrees, except cooler across rain soaked areas.
Winds are north-northwest behind the cool front, south to
southeast ahead of it.

Active weather will continue across mainly western SD over the next
few hours as showers and storms move southeast across western SD,
where MLCAPE of 1000 to 2000 j/kg resides near and ahead of the cold
front. A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect through the early
evening for much of western and south central SD, with large hail
and eventually strong wind gusts the main threats. Activity will end
from northwest to southeast across the area later this evening and
overnight.

Sunday will be sunny and warm with highs in the 80s, 70s over the
Black Hills. Winds will be northerly early, switching to the east
and southeast in the afternoon and early evening. Next week still
looks to be warm and mainly dry as ridge builds north across the
western US. Isolated storms could return by late in the week,
especially across the Black Hills area. Temperatures will be near to
slightly above average.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Sunday)
Issued At 1156 AM MDT Sat Aug 26 2017

Another round of thunderstorms expected this afternoon, esp from
the Blkhls eastward. Local MVFR-IFR conds, hail, and gusty winds
possible in TS. VFR conditions expected late tonight as
thunderstorms push to the east. Some thunder may linger in south
central SD into early Sunday morning.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
WY...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...15

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
602 AM MDT Sat Aug 26 2017

SDZ001-002-012>014-024>032-041>044-046-047-049-072>074-WYZ057-071-
271300-
Harding-Perkins-Butte-Northern Meade Co Plains-Ziebach-
Northern Black Hills-Northern Foot Hills-Rapid City-
Southern Foot Hills-Central Black Hills-Southern Black Hills-
Custer Co Plains-Pennington Co Plains-Haakon-Fall River-
Oglala Lakota-Jackson-Bennett-Mellette-Todd-Tripp-
Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills-Southern Meade Co Plains-
Hermosa Foot Hills-Wyoming Black Hills-Northeastern Crook-
602 AM MDT Sat Aug 26 2017 /702 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017/

This Hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
South Dakota...the Black Hills of South Dakota...western South
Dakota...northeast Wyoming...and the Black Hills of Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

There is a chance of thunderstorms today. Severe thunderstorms
will be possible with large hail and damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

WYZ054>056-058-271300-
Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-Western Crook-Weston-
602 AM MDT Sat Aug 26 2017

This Hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

JC

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
505 PM MDT SAT AUG 26 2017

SDZ024-025-072-073-262345-
Northern Black Hills SD-Northern Foot Hills SD-
Southern Meade Co Plains SD-Sturgis/Piedmont Foot Hills SD-
505 PM MDT SAT AUG 26 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MEADE AND EAST
CENTRAL LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM MDT...

At 505 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Apple Springs, or near Sturgis, moving southeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Southeastern Sturgis, Summerset, Black Hawk, Piedmont, Galena,
Tilford, Dalton Lake and Apple Springs.

This Includes Interstate 90 in South Dakota between Mile Markers 34
and 52.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for
west central South Dakota.

LAT...LON 4436 10370 4443 10361 4426 10311 4415 10322
      4414 10344
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 307DEG 25KT 4435 10357

Rudge

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