Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
208 AM CDT Fri Jun 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Strong to severe MCS continues to push southeast through north-
central Oklahoma and southeast Kansas. This activity will likely
move into northeast Oklahoma before sunrise with the threat for
damaging winds/marginal hail. Overall severe threat should begin
to diminish east of highway 75 and especially southeast of I-44
as storms move into a more stable airmass with weakening wind
fields aloft.

Morning convection will likely produce an outflow boundary that
will provide the focus for additional strong to severe thunderstorms
this afternoon as atmosphere becomes moderately unstable with
surface heating. One or more thunderstorm clusters will likely
push south into southeast Oklahoma/west-central Arkansas tonight
with mainly a heavy rain threat, although a few marginally severe
storms could remain possible.

Frontal boundary stalls across southeast Oklahoma/west-central
Arkansas with additional shower/thunderstorm development along
stalled front Saturday and possibly into Saturday night although
precipitation coverage should be less.

Another weak upper wave will move into the Central Plains Monday
into Tuesday. Lingering precipitation chances will continue across
far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, however main
thunderstorm activity is expected to remain north of area in
association with stronger forcing. Scattered showers/thunderstorms
will remain possible through the remainder of the work week as
another weak front stalls across the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   86  67  86  71 /  60  60  20  40
FSM   93  74  87  74 /  50  70  60  40
MLC   92  73  86  72 /  40  70  50  40
BVO   82  62  86  66 /  70  50  10  30
FYV   85  66  83  64 /  60  70  40  30
BYV   84  67  83  65 /  60  60  30  10
MKO   88  70  86  71 /  60  70  30  40
MIO   82  64  86  66 /  70  60  20  10
F10   89  70  85  72 /  60  70  30  40
HHW   92  76  87  73 /  20  60  60  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....12

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
314 AM CDT FRI JUN 30 2017

OKZ054-055-059-060-064-300900-
Tulsa OK-Osage OK-Pawnee OK-Washington OK-Creek OK-
314 AM CDT FRI JUN 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR OSAGE...NORTHWESTERN CREEK...
NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE AND WEST CENTRAL TULSA
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM CDT...

At 314 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 3 miles southwest of Elgin to 9 miles west of Wynona
to near Quay. Movement was east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Bartlesville...                   Pawhuska...
Hominy...                         Dewey...
Cleveland...                      Mannford...
Barnsdall...                      Copan...
Wynona...                         Ochelata...
Jennings...                       Avant...
Westport...                       Osage...
Hallett...                        Blackburn...
Terlton...                        Maramec...
Elgin...                          Bigheart...

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
northeastern Oklahoma. A severe thunderstorm watch also remains in
effect until 1000 AM CDT for northeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3700 9581 3641 9604 3602 9631 3611 9662
      3616 9663 3616 9682 3656 9656 3700 9637
TIME...MOT...LOC 0814Z 290DEG 34KT 3696 9631 3654 9649 3617 9674

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
338 AM CDT FRI JUN 30 2017

OKZ054>057-059>061-064-300930-
Tulsa OK-Craig OK-Osage OK-Rogers OK-Pawnee OK-Nowata OK-
Washington OK-Creek OK-
338 AM CDT FRI JUN 30 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CRAIG...NORTHWESTERN
ROGERS...SOUTHEASTERN OSAGE...NORTH CENTRAL CREEK...WASHINGTON...
NOWATA...SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE AND NORTHERN TULSA COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM
CDT...

At 338 AM CDT, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 3 miles southeast of Caney to near Ochelata to 3 miles
west of Westport. Movement was east at 55 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Northern Tulsa...                 Bartlesville...
Sand Springs...                   Claremore...
Nowata...                         Owasso...
Skiatook...                       Catoosa...
Collinsville...                   Dewey...
Mannford...                       Chelsea...
Sperry...                         Oologah...
South Coffeyville...              Copan...
Ramona...                         Ochelata...
Delaware...                       Avant...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 228 and 232.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for
northeastern Oklahoma. A severe thunderstorm watch also remains in
effect until 1000 AM CDT for northeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3662 9534 3612 9585 3614 9651 3658 9606
      3700 9596 3700 9524
TIME...MOT...LOC 0838Z 266DEG 46KT 3697 9590 3659 9600 3621 9639

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