Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Topeka, KS

March 29, 2017Osage County, Kansas

NWS Topeka, KS issued this special weather statement at Mar 29, 2017, 7:01 PM CDT for Osage County, Kansas. It was in force for 14 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 29, 2017, 7:01 PM CDT (00:01 UTC)
Expired
Mar 29, 2017, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
14 min
Issued by
NWS Topeka, KS

County Osage County, KS

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2017-03-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 371 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2017-03-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 131 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
371 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
701 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Topeka, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 29, 6:29 PM CDT, 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 6:29 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Topeka KS
629 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

...Update to aviation forecast discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Main focus in the short term will be the potential for a few
strong to severe storms this afternoon across east central Kansas,
where a few patches of sun have brought MUCAPEs up to around 500
J/kg, and deep layer shear remains around 60 kts. The window for
any strong storms will be short as the surface low now near ICT
lifts northeast, dragging a cold front through the remainder of
the forecast area by early this evening and sweeping any robust
deep convection out of the area. Storms are developing now and
with limited instability may take a bit to get going, but will
bear watching over the next several hours as they push northeast
across southeastern portions of the forecast area. Low-level shear
and helicities are quite strong, so main concerns with any strong,
organized convection will be hail and perhaps an isolated tornado.
Stratus and rain showers will follow behind on the northwest side
of the low, and will linger through the overnight and into midday
Thursday before exiting off to the east.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

A brief lull in precipitation is expected Thursday night through
Friday as shortwave ridging builds over the region, then another
wave in the stream of disturbances slides across the southern
CONUS this weekend through early in the work week, bringing
precipitation chances Saturday and Sunday. Have added some
isolated thunder on Saturday afternoon and evening, but the track
of the surface low will be far enough south that most instability
will focus mainly south of the CWA. Another low will follow in its
wake Wednesday and Thursday with another very similar track,
bringing a brief dry period Monday, then rain chances Tuesday
through the end of the forecast period. Severe weather potential
will depend on the track of each of these surface lows and their
associated boundaries, but at this time appears to be focused more
to the south of the forecast area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Wed Mar 29 2017

Kept TAFs on the more pessimistic side as low clouds and
prevailing rain lie not far west of the terminals. Kept better
cigs for a few hours at TOP/FOE before IFR spreads back eastward.
Anticipate rain will prevail till near the noon hour tomorrow.

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Laflin
LONG TERM...Laflin
AVIATION...67
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 1:43 PM CDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
143 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-302300-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
143 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MID EVENING MAINLY SOUTH OF THE I-70 AND
I-35 CORRIDORS. HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD ALONG WITH SOME
STRONG WIND GUSTS. WIDESPREAD RAIN FROM 1-2 INCHES AND LOCALLY
HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOP/SITREP

LAFLIN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 29, 4:28 PM CDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
428 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     HAIL             BERRYTON                38.94N 95.63W
03/29/2017  U1.00 INCH       SHAWNEE            KS   PUBLIC

            .

&&

NWS TOPEKA KS
IRIS SYSTEM
Special weather statement, Mar 29, 6:29 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
629 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

KSZ055-058-300000-
Coffey-Osage-
629 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE AND
NORTHWESTERN COFFEY COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

At 628 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lebo, moving north at 45 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Osage City, Lyndon, Lebo, Olivet, Melvern Lake and Beto Junction.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for east central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3834 9569 3834 9592 3872 9594 3872 9563
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 183DEG 37KT 3841 9585

Gargan
Special weather statement, Mar 29, 7:01 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Topeka KS
701 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

KSZ055-300015-
Osage-
701 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL OSAGE COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM
CDT...

At 700 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lyndon, moving north at 50 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Osage City, Carbondale, Overbrook, Lyndon, Scranton and Pomona Lake.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for east central
Kansas.

LAT...LON 3853 9556 3853 9580 3887 9581 3887 9550
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 184DEG 42KT 3865 9569

Gargan

The office that day

Everything else NWS Topeka, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 29, 7:19 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTOPDouglas26 min
Mar 29, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Jefferson, Shawnee20 min
Mar 29, 10:53 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPDickinson39 hr
Mar 30, 1:09 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPLyon27 hr
Mar 30, 3:02 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTOPClay20 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.