Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 41, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

September 9, 2017Hillsborough County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Sep 9, 2017, 10:01 AM EDT for Hillsborough County, Florida. It took effect at Sep 11, 2017, 1:42 AM EDT. It was in force for 52 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 9, 2017, 10:01 AM EDT (14:01 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 11, 2017, 1:42 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 13, 2017, 5:28 AM EDT
In force
52 hr
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Major

County Hillsborough County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 20 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Alafia River at US 301 Riverview (RVWF1). The gauge peaked at 4.30 ft at Sep 11, 2017, 9:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderatemajor-2024609/0909/1009/1109/12
Action stage
4 ft
Minor stage
4.2 ft
Moderate stage
4.8 ft
Major stage
5.7 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02301718, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

243 
WGUS42 KTBW 091401
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1001 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers...

  Alafia River At Riverview
  

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the
following rivers in Florida...

  Withlacoochee At Dunnellon 
  Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge 
  Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park 
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

.The accumulated forecasted rainfall from major hurricane Irma is
expected to bring widespread moderate to major flooding on most area
rivers across West Central Florida through the next 5 days. The exact
rainfall amounts will likely change some over the next 48 hours which
will result in crest adjustments.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-100301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.170912T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/MORF1.3.ER.170912T0600Z.170914T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1001 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Record severity...The
Flood Warning continues for 
 The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* Until further notice
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was...30.3 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Tuesday
morning and continue to rise to near 34.9 feet by early Thursday
morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 35.0 feet...Portions of Morris Bridge road about 3/4 of
a mile south of the bridge begin to flood.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park
downstream from Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern
end of the Tampa Bypass canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 34.4
feet on Sep 8 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Hillsborough
 Morris Brid  32.0  30.3  Sat 10 AM  30.1   30.6   32.6   34.5   34.9


&&


LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230




$$

FLC057-100301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.170911T0237Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZPHF1.3.ER.170911T0237Z.170912T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1001 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity...The
Flood Warning continues for 
 The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* Until further notice
* At 09 AM Saturday the stage was...3.7 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late
evening and continue to rise to near 16.0 feet by early Tuesday
morning.
* Impact...at 13.4 feet...Streets in Crystal Springs flood and homes
are isolated, but no flooding into homes occurs.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park is closed.
Lowland flooding occurs at the mobile home park near Branchton on
State Road 579.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Some State Park operations are suspended.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.3
feet on Mar 18 1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Hillsborough
 Hillsboroug  10.0   3.7  Sat 09 AM   3.6   15.5   15.9   15.2   14.2


&&


LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
 2817 8225 2817 8215                  



$$

FLC101-100301-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0038.170911T0454Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.3.ER.170911T0454Z.170914T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1001 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Record severity...The
Flood Warning continues for 
 The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice
* At 09 AM Saturday the stage was...7.3 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early Monday
morning and continue to rise to near 13.8 feet by early Thursday
morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road
54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on
State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.8
feet on Sep 11 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   7.3  Sat 09 AM   7.1    9.4   12.6   13.6   13.7


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-100300-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0041.170911T0542Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVWF1.3.ER.170911T0542Z.170911T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1001 AM CDT Sat Sep 9 2017

The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* From late Sunday night until further notice.
* At 09 AM Saturday the stage was...0.9 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue
and Park Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 6.2 feet
on Sep 6 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   0.9  Sat 09 AM   0.6    6.3    MSG    MSG    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$

FLC017-075-100300-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.170912T2247Z-000000T0000Z/
/DNLF1.3.ER.170912T2247Z.170914T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1001 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Major severity...The
Flood Warning continues for 
 The Withlacoochee At Dunnellon
* Until further notice
* At 09 AM Saturday the stage was...27.4 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday evening
and continue to rise to near 31.1 feet by Thursday morning.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Docks and boat ramps flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.5
feet on Jul 17 1934.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Withlacoochee
 Dunnellon    29.0  27.4  Sat 09 AM  27.5   28.2   28.5   29.9   31.1


&&


LAT...LON 2898 8244 2902 8248 2909 8244 2907 8237




$$

FLC101-100300-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0039.170911T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.170911T1800Z.170913T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1001 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...The
Flood 
Warning continues for 
 The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until further notice
* At 09 AM Saturday the stage was...13.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Monday early
afternoon and continue to rise to near 26.1 feet by Tuesday
evening.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of
Anclote River Estates.  Over 300 homes in the area may need to be
evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the
Elfers Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.1
feet on Jul 30 1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  13.0  Sat 09 AM  13.0   18.0   24.8   25.9   23.9


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$
8 follow-up statements
676 
WGUS82 KTBW 092324
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
724 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Riverview 

.The combination of storm surge and heavy rain expected from
Hurricane Irma will cause the Alafia River at Riverview to rise above
flood stage with record flooding forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-102324-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0041.170911T0551Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVWF1.3.ER.170911T0551Z.170911T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
724 PM CDT Sat Sep 9 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* From early Monday morning through further notice.
* At 6 PM Saturday the stage was 1.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* The river is expected to rise above flood stage early Monday
morning and continue to rise to a record crest of 7.7 feet Monday
evening which will persist into Monday night.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue
and Park Drive.
* Flood history...This crest is expected to be approximately
1.5 feet higher than the previous record crest of 6.2 feet on Sep 6
2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Sun    Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   1.3  Sat 06 PM   0.3    6.5    7.2    7.6    6.6


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$
840 
WGUS82 KTBW 101503
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Withlacoochee At Trilby 
  Withlacoochee River At Croom 
  Withlacoochee At Holder 
  Withlacoochee At Dunnellon 
  Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge 
  Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park 
  Alafia River At Riverview 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Manatee River At Rye Bridge 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Bartow 

.The accumulated forecasted rainfall from Major Hurricane Irma is
still expected to bring widespread moderate to major flooding on most
area rivers across West Central Florida through the next several
days. Record crests are possible on a several rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.170912T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/MORF1.3.ER.170912T0900Z.170914T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* From Tuesday morning through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 30.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue
to rise to near 34.4 feet by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 35.0 feet...Portions of Morris Bridge road about 3/4 of
a mile south of the bridge begin to flood.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park
downstream from Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern
end of the Tampa Bypass canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 34.4
feet on Sep 8 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Hillsborough
 Morris Brid  32.0  30.1  Sun 10 AM  30.5   32.3   34.0   34.4   34.2


&&


LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230




$$

FLC057-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.170911T0245Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZPHF1.3.ER.170911T0245Z.170912T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* From tonight through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 3.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 15.4 feet by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 13.4 feet...Streets in Crystal Springs flood and homes
are isolated, but no flooding into homes occurs.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park is closed.
Lowland flooding occurs at the mobile home park near Branchton on
State Road 579.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Some State Park operations are suspended.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.3
feet on Mar 18 1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Hillsborough
 Hillsboroug  10.0   3.4  Sun 10 AM  14.9   15.4   14.7   13.9   12.8


&&


LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
 2817 8225 2817 8215                  



$$

FLC057-111503-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.3.ER.170908T1037Z.170912T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* From this evening through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to
rise to near 24.5 feet by Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State
Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream
of State Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins
to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and
Squirrel Run Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.0
feet on Sep 12 1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0   9.8  Sun 10 AM  19.6   24.5   23.8   22.2   19.7


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0041.170911T0700Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVWF1.3.ER.170911T0700Z.170911T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM CDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* From early tomorrow through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was -0.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage early tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue
and Park Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 6.2 feet
on Sep 6 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2  -0.5  Sun 10 AM   7.6    5.9    6.2    5.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$

FLC027-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0037.170910T1842Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.3.ER.170910T1842Z.170912T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* From this afternoon through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue
to rise to near 18.3 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 17.7 feet...Flooding affects over 100 homes.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Water reaches the Outward Bound center.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Water is on State Highways 72 and 761.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Royal Park Estates are affected near State
Road 72.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is
impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal
palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.0
feet on Jun 23 2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  11.0  Sun 10 AM  17.8   18.3   17.8   16.9   15.8


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC053-101-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0026.170911T0930Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.2.ER.170911T0930Z.170915T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* From early tomorrow through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue
to rise to near 15.4 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...at 15.6 feet...Water is 2 to 3 feet over the bridge at
Clay Sink road and State Road 575.
* Impact...at 15.3 feet...Riverdale trailers are flooded.
* Impact...at 14.2 feet...River road east of the river is flooded.
One campsite at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and
closed. One home on Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland
is flooded. Wood River Court homes are isolated. And the
Withlacoochee River canoe rental is flooded.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman
Estates,Riverdale, and River Height Estates.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8
feet on Oct 1 1979.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Withlacoochee
 Trilby       12.0  10.2  Sun 10 AM  12.5   15.4   14.2   14.5   15.8


&&


LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210




$$

FLC101-119-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.170912T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRMF1.1.ER.170912T2100Z.170915T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee River At Croom
* From Tuesday afternoon through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by Tuesday afternoon and
continue to rise to near 9.9 feet by early Friday morning.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Farms and pastureland flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.0
feet on Sep 3 1949.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Withlacoochee
 Croom         9.0   7.1  Sun 10 AM   7.5    8.7    9.4    9.7    9.9


&&


LAT...LON 2854 8226 2879 8224 2879 8215 2854 8217




$$

FLC017-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.170911T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLDF1.3.ER.170911T1500Z.170913T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Holder
* From tomorrow late morning through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 2.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and
continue to rise to near 11.5 feet by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Arrowhead subdivision floods with water in
homes.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Water approaches house foundations in
Arrowhead subdivision.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.6
feet on Jul 8 1934.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Withlacoochee
 Holder        8.0   2.2  Sun 10 AM   7.4   10.2   11.4   11.5   11.3


&&


LAT...LON 2879 8224 2898 8244 2907 8237 2879 8215




$$

FLC017-075-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.170913T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/DNLF1.3.ER.170913T0400Z.170915T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Dunnellon
* From early Wednesday morning through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Wednesday morning and
continue to rise to near 31.4 feet by early Friday morning.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Docks and boat ramps flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 31.5
feet on Jul 17 1934.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Withlacoochee
 Dunnellon    29.0  26.8  Sun 10 AM  28.2   28.5   29.6   30.9   31.4


&&


LAT...LON 2898 8244 2902 8248 2909 8244 2907 8237




$$

FLC057-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.170910T2003Z-000000T0000Z/
/WIMF1.3.ER.170910T2003Z.170911T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* From late this afternoon through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd
and 33rd streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.9
feet on Sep 15 2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0   7.9  Sun 10 AM  19.6   19.7   17.6   15.5   13.0


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-111503-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.170910T2008Z-170914T1200Z/
/MKHF1.3.ER.170910T2008Z.170911T1200Z.170914T0600Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* From late this afternoon through Thursday morning.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this
afternoon and continue to rise to near 19.9 feet by tomorrow
morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early
Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Low sections of State Road 64 start to
flood.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream
flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.9
feet on Jun 21 2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0   6.2  Sun 10 AM  19.9   16.7   13.2   10.5    8.7


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-111502-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0040.170910T1753Z-170914T0000Z/
/RYEF1.3.ER.170910T1753Z.170912T0000Z.170913T1800Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* From this afternoon through Wednesday evening.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon
and continue to rise to near 16.8 feet by tomorrow evening. The
river is expected to fall below flood stage by Wednesday early
afternoon.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Water reaches the foundations of elevated
homes and the Christian Retreat center.
* Impact...at 12.8 feet...Water reaches the roadbed of the Old Rye
Bridge.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first
house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.7
feet on Sep 20 2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0   4.0  Sun 10 AM  14.5   16.3   12.3    7.7    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC115-111502-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.3.ER.170827T0333Z.170913T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* From late this afternoon through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 11.7 feet by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.9 feet...Water is on State Road 72.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Homes and bogs flood, water approaches
State Road 72.
* Impact...at 10.6 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.7
feet on Jun 29 1992.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   6.9  Sun 10 AM   8.3   10.7   11.7   11.4   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-111502-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0034.170911T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BARF1.2.ER.170911T0600Z.170915T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Bartow
* From after midnight tomorrow through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
continue to rise to near 9.8 feet by Thursday evening. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.7 feet
on Jun 22 1959.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Bartow        8.0   7.1  Sun 10 AM   8.3    9.0    9.5    9.7    9.8


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$

FLC049-111502-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0035.170911T0123Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.3.ER.170911T0123Z.170912T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From tonight through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 22.4 feet by Tuesday evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.4
feet on Sep 8 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  13.0  Sun 10 AM  19.1   22.2   22.3   21.5   20.2


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-111502-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0036.170910T1941Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.3.ER.170910T1941Z.170914T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* From late this afternoon through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and
continue to rise to near 18.1 feet by Thursday early afternoon.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Up to 60 homes at River Acres are flooded.
The Woman's Club and American Legion are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.5 feet...25 homes at River Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...River Acres is impacted.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Peace River Campground floods and 6 homes
at River Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting
several dozen homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision
flood and the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1
feet on Mar 23 1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0   9.6  Sun 10 AM  16.9   17.7   17.8   18.0   18.1


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC101-111502-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0039.170911T1451Z-000000T0000Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.170911T1451Z.170913T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1103 AM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* From tomorrow late morning through further notice.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and
continue to rise to near 26.7 feet by Tuesday evening.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of
Anclote River Estates.  Over 300 homes in the area may need to be
evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the
Elfers Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.8
feet on Jun 26 2012.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Mon    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  13.9  Sun 10 AM  19.0   25.9   26.5   24.5   21.7


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$
848 
WGUS82 KTBW 111602
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Withlacoochee River At Croom 
  Withlacoochee At Holder 
  Withlacoochee At Dunnellon 
  Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge 
  Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park 
  Alafia River At Riverview 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Manatee River At Rye Bridge 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Withlacoochee At Trilby 
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Bartow 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Significant river flooding will continue over the next several days
as heavy rainfall from Hurricane Irma drains into West Central
Florida rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC053-101-121602-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.3.ER.170911T1205Z.170916T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.2 feet by tomorrow
morning then   begin falling.
* Impact...at 15.6 feet...Water is 2 to 3 feet over the bridge at
Clay Sink road and State Road 575.
* Impact...at 15.3 feet...Riverdale trailers are flooded.
* Impact...at 14.2 feet...River road east of the river is flooded.
One campsite at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and
closed. One home on 
  Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland is flooded. Wood
River Court homes are isolated. And the Withlacoochee River canoe
rental is flooded.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman
Estates, Riverdale, and River Height Estates.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.9
feet on Sep 11 1950.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Withlacoochee
 Trilby       12.0  12.4  Mon 11 AM  15.2   14.1   14.6   16.2   17.8


&&


LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210




$$

FLC101-119-121602-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0027.170912T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRMF1.2.ER.170912T0600Z.170916T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee River At Croom
* From after midnight tomorrow through further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
continue to rise to near 11.1 feet by Saturday morning. Additional
rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Farms and pastureland flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.2
feet on Oct 3 1979.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Withlacoochee
 Croom         9.0   8.0  Mon 11 AM   9.2    9.9   10.2   10.5   11.1


&&


LAT...LON 2854 8226 2879 8224 2879 8215 2854 8217




$$

FLC017-121602-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.170912T0430Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLDF1.2.ER.170912T0430Z.170914T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Holder
* From after midnight tomorrow through further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and
continue to rise to near 10.4 feet by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Arrowhead subdivision floods with water in
homes.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Water approaches house foundations in
Arrowhead subdivision.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.4
feet on Sep 23 1950.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Withlacoochee
 Holder        8.0   4.8  Mon 11 AM   8.8   10.0   10.4   10.3   10.1


&&


LAT...LON 2879 8224 2898 8244 2907 8237 2879 8215




$$

FLC017-075-121602-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0029.170915T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/DNLF1.1.ER.170915T0600Z.170915T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Dunnellon
* From early Friday morning through further notice.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 27.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and
continue to rise to near 29.2 feet by Friday evening.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Docks and boat ramps flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.2
feet on Aug 25 2008.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Withlacoochee
 Dunnellon    29.0  27.7  Mon 12 PM  28.3   28.4   28.5   29.1   29.1


&&


LAT...LON 2898 8244 2902 8248 2909 8244 2907 8237




$$

FLC057-121602-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.3.ER.170908T1037Z.170912T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.7 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State
Road 640 bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream
of State Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins
to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and
Squirrel Run Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.5
feet on Sep 5 1935.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  17.4  Mon 11 AM  20.7   20.3   19.2   17.4   15.4


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-121602-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170914T2000Z/
/RVWF1.1.ER.170911T1235Z.170913T1000Z.170914T1400Z.NR/
1202 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* From this evening through Thursday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 3.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue
and Park Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 6.2 feet
on Sep 6 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   3.8  Mon 11 AM   4.3    4.6    4.2    3.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$

FLC057-121601-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-170916T1700Z/
/WIMF1.3.ER.170911T0153Z.170912T1800Z.170916T1100Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.7 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Saturday
morning.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd
and 33rd streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.7
feet on Jun 22 2003.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  14.6  Mon 11 AM  17.5   17.3   16.3   14.6   10.9


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-121601-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-170914T0345Z/
/MKHF1.3.ER.170910T2315Z.170911T1130Z.170913T2145Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Wednesday
afternoon.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Low sections of State Road 64 start to
flood.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream
flood. Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1
feet on Nov 14 1997.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  18.4  Mon 11 AM  15.7   12.2    9.8    8.3    7.2


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-121601-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-170913T1251Z/
/RYEF1.3.ER.170911T0100Z.170911T1515Z.170913T0651Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Water reaches the foundations of elevated
homes and the Christian Retreat center.
* Impact...at 12.8 feet...Water reaches the roadbed of the Old Rye
Bridge.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first
house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.7
feet on Sep 20 2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0  16.7  Mon 11 AM  14.3    9.8    5.1    4.3    4.0


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$

FLC115-121601-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.3.ER.170827T0333Z.170913T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.3 feet by Wednesday
evening then begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.9 feet...Water is on State Road 72.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Homes and bogs flood, water approaches
State Road 72.
* Impact...at 10.6 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at
Myakka State Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1
feet on Sep 10 1988.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   8.1  Mon 11 AM   9.8   11.1   11.2   10.4    9.6


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-121601-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BARF1.2.ER.170911T0327Z.170913T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Bartow
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.3 feet by Wednesday
evening then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.2 feet
on Aug 2 1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Bartow        8.0   8.8  Mon 11 AM   9.1    9.3    9.3    9.3    9.2


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$

FLC049-121601-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.2.ER.170911T0246Z.170912T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* From yesterday late evening through further notice.
* At 09 PM Sunday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by yesterday late evening and
continue to rise to near 21.2 feet by tomorrow morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.2
feet on Sep 29 2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  15.7  Sun 09 PM  21.2   20.2   19.3   18.9   18.6


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-121601-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.3.ER.170910T2237Z.170914T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.9 feet by Thursday early
afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Up to 60 homes at River Acres are flooded.
The Woman's Club and American Legion are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.5 feet...25 homes at River Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...River Acres is impacted.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Peace River Campground floods and 6 homes
at River Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting
several dozen homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision
flood and the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.0
feet on Sep 16 2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  15.1  Mon 11 AM  16.6   17.6   17.9   17.8   17.5


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-121601-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.3.ER.170910T2111Z.170912T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet by after midnight
tomorrow 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 17.7 feet...Flooding affects over 100 homes.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Water reaches the Outward Bound center.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Water is on State Highways 72 and 761.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Royal Park Estates are affected near State
Road 72.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is
impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal
palm begin to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.3
feet on Jun 18 1982.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  17.0  Mon 11 AM  17.3   16.8   16.0   15.2   14.1


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC101-121601-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170915T1200Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.170911T1527Z.170913T0600Z.170915T0600Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Friday morning.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by early Wednesday
morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage early
Friday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of
Anclote River Estates.  Over 300 homes in the area may need to be
evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the
Elfers Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9
feet on Apr 2 2011.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  20.0  Mon 11 AM  22.7   24.0   21.7   19.4   17.7


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

FLC057-121601-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0030.170912T2159Z-000000T0000Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.170912T2159Z.170914T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* From tomorrow afternoon through further notice.
* At 12 PM Monday the stage was 30.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and
continue to rise to near 32.9 feet by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park
downstream from Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern
end of the Tampa Bypass canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 32.8
feet on Sep 6 1985.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Hillsborough
 Morris Brid  32.0  30.7  Mon 12 PM  31.5   32.6   32.9   32.9   32.7


&&


LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230




$$

FLC057-121601-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-170916T1600Z/
/ZPHF1.2.ER.170911T0620Z.170912T1800Z.170916T1000Z.NR/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* Until Saturday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 13.7 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Saturday
morning.
* Impact...at 13.4 feet...Streets in Crystal Springs flood and homes
are isolated, but no flooding into homes occurs.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park is closed.
Lowland flooding occurs at the mobile home park near Branchton on
State Road 579.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Some State Park operations are suspended.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.7
feet on Sep 19 1947.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Hillsborough
 Hillsboroug  10.0  12.4  Mon 11 AM  13.6   13.5   12.9   11.7    9.8


&&


LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
 2817 8225 2817 8215                  



$$

FLC101-121601-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.2.ER.170911T0030Z.170914T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1202 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.1 feet by early Thursday
morning then begin falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road
54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on
State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.9
feet on Dec 17 1996.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0   9.3  Mon 11 AM  10.4   11.0   11.0   10.7   10.3


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$
572 
WGUS82 KTBW 120300
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
ISSUED BY National Weather Service Jackson, MS
1000 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Riverview 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The 
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can 
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-130300-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170914T2000Z/
/RVWF1.1.ER.170911T1235Z.170913T1000Z.170914T1400Z.NR/
1100 PM CDT Mon Sep 11 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* From early tomorrow through Thursday afternoon.
* At 10 PM Monday the stage was 3.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* The river will crest near 4.6 feet on Wednesday.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue
  and Park Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.6 feet 
  on Jun 6 2016.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   3.4  Mon 10 PM   4.3    4.6    4.2    3.4    2.0


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$
132 
WGUS42 KTBW 121422
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1022 AM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Florida...

  Alafia River At Riverview 

.insert meteorological reasoning here!!!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-130322-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170914T1000Z/
/RVWF1.2.ER.170911T1235Z.170913T1000Z.170914T0400Z.NR/
1022 AM CDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...The
Flood Warning continues for 
 The Alafia River At Riverview
* Until Thursday morning
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was...3.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue
and Park Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.8 feet
on Jul 23 2001.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   3.5  Tue 10 AM   4.8    4.1    2.6    1.5    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$
093 
WGUS82 KTBW 121927
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Florida... 

  Manatee River At Rye Bridge 

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park 
  Alafia River At Riverview 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Withlacoochee At Trilby 
  Withlacoochee River At Croom 
  Withlacoochee At Holder 
  Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge 
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Bartow 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 

.Significant river flooding will continue over the next several days
as heavy rainfall from Hurricane Irma drains into West Central
Florida rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC057-131927-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.170912T0345Z.170913T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* Until further notice.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 33.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.5 feet by tomorrow evening then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park downstream from 
  Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the Tampa Bypass 
  canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.3 feet on Apr 2 
  1987.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Hillsborough
 Morris Brid  32.0  33.3  Tue 03 PM  33.5   33.5   33.2   33.0   32.6


&&


LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230




$$

FLC057-131926-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-170917T0417Z/
/ZPHF1.3.ER.170911T0620Z.170912T1445Z.170916T2217Z.NR/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 13.4 feet...Streets in Crystal Springs flood and homes are 
  isolated, but no flooding into homes occurs.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park is closed. Lowland 
  flooding occurs at the mobile home park near Branchton on State Road 579.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Some State Park operations are suspended.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.2 feet on Dec 28 
  1997.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Hillsborough
 Hillsboroug  10.0  14.2  Tue 03 PM  14.0   13.4   12.5   11.0    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
 2817 8225 2817 8215                  



$$

FLC057-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.3.ER.170908T1037Z.170912T1730Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until further notice.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 21.6 feet by .
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.8 feet on Jul 31 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  22.8  Tue 03 PM  21.6   19.2   17.3   15.5   13.8


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-131926-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170913T2100Z/
/RVWF1.1.ER.170911T1235Z.170913T1000Z.170913T1500Z.NR/
327 PM CDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* From after midnight tomorrow through Wednesday afternoon.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 2.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue and Park 
  Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.5 feet on Jun 6 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   2.2  Tue 03 PM   4.5    3.5    2.3    1.8    0.9


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$

FLC057-131926-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-170916T0100Z/
/WIMF1.3.ER.170911T0153Z.170912T0700Z.170915T1900Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday evening.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd 
  streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.2 feet on Sep 28 
  1997.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  17.2  Tue 03 PM  16.2   14.6   11.8    9.4    7.7


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC115-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.3.ER.170827T0333Z.170914T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.6 feet by early Thursday morning 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Homes and bogs flood, water approaches State Road 72.
* Impact...at 10.6 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 feet on Mar 22 
  1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   9.3  Tue 03 PM  10.2   10.6   10.2    9.5    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BARF1.2.ER.170911T0327Z.170914T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Bartow
* Until further notice.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by Thursday early afternoon. 
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.2 feet on Aug 2 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Peace
 Bartow        8.0   9.0  Tue 03 PM   9.1    9.1    9.2    9.2    9.2


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$

FLC027-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.3.ER.170910T2237Z.170915T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 02 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.2 feet by early Friday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Up to 60 homes at River Acres are flooded. The 
  Woman's Club and American Legion are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.5 feet...25 homes at River Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...River Acres is impacted.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Peace River Campground floods and 6 homes at River 
  Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen 
  homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1 feet on Mar 23 
  1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  17.2  Tue 02 PM  17.9   18.1   18.2   18.0   17.7


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.3.ER.170910T2111Z.170911T1715Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 02 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 15.9 feet by .
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Water reaches the Outward Bound center.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Water is on State Highways 72 and 761.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Royal Park Estates are affected near State Road 72.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin 
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Sep 13 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  16.3  Tue 02 PM  15.9   15.4   14.7   13.6   13.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC101-131926-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170915T1800Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.170911T1527Z.170912T1515Z.170915T1200Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 02 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
  Estates.  Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers 
  Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.7 feet on Sep 12 
  1964.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  24.8  Tue 02 PM  24.1   22.1   20.0   17.7   16.3


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

FLC053-101-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.2.ER.170911T1205Z.170917T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* Until further notice.
* At 02 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.6 feet by tomorrow early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 15.6 feet...Water is 2 to 3 feet over the bridge at Clay Sink 
  road and State Road 575.
* Impact...at 15.3 feet...Riverdale trailers are flooded.
* Impact...at 14.2 feet...River road east of the river is flooded. One campsite
  at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and closed. One home on 
  Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland is flooded. Wood River Court 
  homes are isolated. And the Withlacoochee River canoe rental is flooded.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman Estates, 
  Riverdale, and River Height Estates.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.3 feet on Sep 20 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Withlacoochee
 Trilby       12.0  14.4  Tue 02 PM  14.6   14.5   14.7   15.3   16.1


&&


LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210




$$

FLC101-119-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.170913T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRMF1.1.ER.170913T0600Z.170917T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee River At Croom
* From after midnight tomorrow through further notice.
* At 02 PM Tuesday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to 
  rise to near 10.3 feet by Sunday early afternoon. Additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Farms and pastureland flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.3 feet on Mar 25 
  1959.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Withlacoochee
 Croom         9.0   8.6  Tue 02 PM   9.1    9.5    9.7    9.9   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 2854 8226 2879 8224 2879 8215 2854 8217




$$

FLC017-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HLDF1.1.ER.170915T1500Z.170917T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Holder
* From late Friday morning through further notice.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late Friday morning and continue to rise
  to near 8.6 feet by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Arrowhead subdivision floods with water in homes.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Water approaches house foundations in Arrowhead 
  subdivision.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 feet on Apr 22 
  1987.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Withlacoochee
 Holder        8.0   5.1  Tue 03 PM   5.7    6.7    7.9    8.5    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2879 8224 2898 8244 2907 8237 2879 8215




$$

FLC101-131926-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.2.ER.170911T0030Z.170914T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 03 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.4 feet by Thursday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet on Aug 19 
  1967.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0  10.4  Tue 03 PM  10.9   11.4   11.3   11.0   10.4


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC081-131926-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-170913T2248Z/
/MKHF1.3.ER.170910T2315Z.170911T1130Z.170913T1648Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 02 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.9 feet on Sep 19 
  1994.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.9  Tue 02 PM  11.8    9.7    8.3    7.1    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

FLC081-121957-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-170913T0900Z/
/RYEF1.3.ER.170911T0100Z.170911T1915Z.170912T1746Z.NO/
327 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Manatee River At Rye Bridge
* Until late tonight.
* At 02 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...at 11.7 feet...Water reaches the foundation of the first house.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.1 feet on Sep 7 
  2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Manatee
 Rye Bridge   11.0  10.8  Tue 02 PM   7.7    6.8    5.6    3.5    1.9


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8235 2750 8242 2754 8242 2751 8233




$$
979 
WGUS82 KTBW 130220
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Withlacoochee At Holder 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Withlacoochee River At Croom 
  Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge 
  Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park 
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Alafia River At Riverview 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Bartow 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

.Significant river flooding will continue over the next several days
as heavy rainfall from Hurricane Irma drains into West Central
Florida rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC101-119-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.170913T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRMF1.1.ER.170913T0600Z.170918T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee River At Croom
* From after midnight tomorrow through further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to 
  rise to near 10.4 feet by Sunday evening. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Farms and pastureland flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.4 feet on Jul 29 
  1945.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Withlacoochee
 Croom         9.0   8.7  Tue 09 PM   9.1    9.5    9.7    9.9   10.2


&&


LAT...LON 2854 8226 2879 8224 2879 8215 2854 8217




$$

FLC017-140220-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-170918T0200Z/
/HLDF1.1.ER.170915T1500Z.170917T0000Z.170917T2000Z.NO/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Holder
* From late Friday morning through Sunday evening.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 8.6 feet by early Sunday morning. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Arrowhead subdivision floods with water in homes.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 8.6 feet on Apr 22 
  1987.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Withlacoochee
 Holder        8.0   5.3  Tue 09 PM   5.7    6.7    7.9    8.4    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 2879 8224 2898 8244 2907 8237 2879 8215




$$

FLC057-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MORF1.1.ER.170912T0345Z.170913T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 33.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 33.9 feet by tomorrow morning then 
  begin slowly falling.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park downstream from 
  Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the Tampa Bypass 
  canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 33.9 feet on Dec 29 
  1997.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Hillsborough
 Morris Brid  32.0  33.8  Tue 09 PM  33.9   33.5   33.1   32.9   32.5


&&


LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230




$$

FLC057-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-170917T0417Z/
/ZPHF1.3.ER.170911T0620Z.170912T1445Z.170916T2217Z.NR/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 13.4 feet...Streets in Crystal Springs flood and homes are 
  isolated, but no flooding into homes occurs.
* Flood history...The crest of 14.26 feet was the 3rd highest on
record.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Hillsborough
 Hillsboroug  10.0  14.1  Tue 09 PM  13.9   13.3   12.4   11.0    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
 2817 8225 2817 8215                  



$$

FLC057-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LITF1.3.ER.170908T1037Z.170912T1730Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 19.1 feet by .
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.3 feet on Sep 7 
  2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  22.4  Tue 09 PM  21.5   19.1   17.3   15.5   13.8


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-132100-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170913T2100Z/
/RVWF1.1.ER.170911T1235Z.170913T1000Z.170913T1500Z.NR/
1020 PM CDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* From after midnight tomorrow through Wednesday afternoon.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 2.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue and Park 
  Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.5 feet on Jun 6 
  2013.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   2.9  Tue 09 PM   4.5    3.5    2.3    1.8    0.9


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$

FLC115-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.3.ER.170827T0333Z.170914T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.5 feet by Thursday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 10.6 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 feet on Mar 22 
  1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   9.5  Tue 09 PM  10.1   10.5   10.2    9.5    9.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BARF1.2.ER.170911T0327Z.170914T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Bartow
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by Thursday morning. 
  Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.2 feet on Aug 2 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Peace
 Bartow        8.0   9.1  Tue 09 PM   9.1    9.2    9.2    9.2    9.2


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$

FLC049-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.3.ER.170911T0303Z.170913T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 20.0 feet by .
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 feet on Sep 12 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  23.8  Tue 09 PM  23.6   20.0   19.3   19.0   18.7


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.3.ER.170910T2237Z.170915T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.3 feet by early Friday morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Up to 60 homes at River Acres are flooded. The 
  Woman's Club and American Legion are impacted.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1 feet on Mar 23 
  1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  17.8  Tue 09 PM  18.1   18.2   18.3   18.0   17.7


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-140220-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.3.ER.170910T2111Z.170911T1715Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Major flooding is still occurring.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will slowly fall through the week.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Water is on State Highways 72 and 761.
* Flood history...The crest of 17.07 feet was the 5th highest on record.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  16.2  Tue 09 PM  16.0   15.4   14.7   13.6   13.0


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC101-140219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170915T1800Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.170911T1527Z.170912T1515Z.170915T1200Z.NO/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Flood history...The crest of 24.87 feet was the 9th highest on record.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  24.6  Tue 09 PM  24.0   22.1   20.0   17.7   16.3


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

FLC101-140219-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.2.ER.170911T0030Z.170914T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.4 feet by Thursday early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet on Aug 19 
  1967.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0  10.6  Tue 09 PM  11.0   11.4   11.3   11.0   10.4


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-140219-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-170916T0142Z/
/WIMF1.3.ER.170911T0153Z.170912T0700Z.170915T1942Z.NO/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday evening.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is still occurring.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd 
  streets in Ruskin.
* Flood history...The crest of 17.71 feet was the 8th highest on record.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  16.7  Tue 09 PM  16.0   14.4   11.8    9.4    7.7


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-132024-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-170913T2024Z/
/MKHF1.3.ER.170910T2315Z.170911T1130Z.170913T1424Z.NO/
1020 PM EDT Tue Sep 12 2017

...Flood Warning extended until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 09 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...The crest of 18.67 feet was the 2nd highest on record.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  13.2  Tue 09 PM  11.4    9.7    8.3    7.1    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  


$$
Norman
480 
WGUS82 KTBW 130928
FLSTBW
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following river in Florida... 

  Alafia River At Riverview 


...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following 
rivers in Florida... 

  Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park 
  Alafia River At Lithia 
  Manatee River Near Myakka Head 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Withlacoochee At Trilby 
  Withlacoochee River At Croom 
  Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge 
  Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens 
  Little Manatee River At Wimauma 
  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park 
  Peace River At Bartow 
  Peace River At Zolfo Springs 
  Peace River At Arcadia 
  Horse Creek Near Arcadia 
  Anclote River At Elfers 

.Significant river flooding will continue over the next several days
as heavy rainfall from Hurricane Irma drains into West Central
Florida rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest 
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay 
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

FLC053-101-140928-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRBF1.3.ER.170911T1205Z.170918T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee At Trilby
* Until further notice.
* At 04 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.0 feet by tomorrow morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 15.6 feet...Water is 2 to 3 feet over the bridge at Clay Sink 
  road and State Road 575.
* Impact...at 15.3 feet...Riverdale trailers are flooded.
* Impact...at 14.2 feet...River road east of the river is flooded. One campsite
  at the park is flooded. Peterson Park is flooded and closed. One home on 
  Cercelia road is isolated. The Florida Campland is flooded. Wood River Court 
  homes are isolated. And the Withlacoochee River canoe rental is flooded.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Flooding begins at Lacoochee, Talisman Estates, 
  Riverdale, and River Height Estates.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.5 feet on Sep 29 
  2004.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Withlacoochee
 Trilby       12.0  14.8  Wed 04 AM  15.0   15.0   15.3   16.1    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2838 8219 2854 8226 2854 8217 2838 8210




$$

FLC101-119-140928-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRMF1.1.ER.170913T1039Z.170918T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Withlacoochee River At Croom
* From this morning through further notice.
* At 04 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to rise to 
  near 10.5 feet by early Monday morning. Additional rises are possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...at 9.0 feet...Farms and pastureland flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.4 feet on Jul 29 
  1945.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Withlacoochee
 Croom         9.0   8.8  Wed 04 AM   9.5    9.7    9.9   10.2    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2854 8226 2879 8224 2879 8215 2854 8217




$$

FLC057-140928-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-170918T0600Z/
/LITF1.3.ER.170908T1037Z.170912T1730Z.170918T0000Z.NO/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Alafia River At Lithia
* Until late Sunday night.
* At 05 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Additional residences downstream of State Road 640 
  bridge begin flooding.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...River Drive and Squirrel Run Way downstream of State 
  Road 640 are completely covered by water. One home begins to flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Water begins to affect River Drive and Squirrel Run 
  Way downstream of State Road 640.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.7 feet on Sep 8 
  1988.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Alafia
 Lithia       13.0  21.7  Wed 05 AM  19.1   17.3   15.5   13.8    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218




$$

FLC057-130958-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-170913T2100Z/
/RVWF1.1.ER.170911T1235Z.170911T1345Z.170911T1400Z.NR/
528 AM CDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Alafia River At Riverview
* Until this afternoon.
* At 05 AM Wednesday the stage was 3.2 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 4.2 feet.
* Impact...at 4.2 feet...Water begins to impact homes on Pine Avenue and Park 
  Drive.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 4.2 feet on Mar 31 
  2011.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Alafia
 Riverview     4.2   3.2  Wed 05 AM   3.5    2.2    MSG    MSG    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2785 8235 2785 8229 2790 8229 2789 8235




$$

FLC115-140928-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.3.ER.170827T0333Z.170914T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Myakka River At Myakka River State Park
* Until further notice.
* At 05 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 10.5 feet by tomorrow morning then 
  begin falling.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Homes and bogs flood, water approaches State Road 72.
* Impact...at 10.6 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Impact...at 8.5 feet...Most of Myakka State Park is closed.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...The main road at Myakka State Park floods.
* Impact...at 7.0 feet...Trails, picnic areas, and parking lots at Myakka State
  Park flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.6 feet on Mar 22 
  1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Myakka
 Myakka Rive   7.0   9.8  Wed 05 AM  10.5   10.2    9.5    9.0    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226




$$

FLC105-140928-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BARF1.2.ER.170911T0327Z.170913T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Bartow
* Until further notice.
* At 05 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 9.3 feet by after midnight tomorrow 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Private roads downstream flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.2 feet on Aug 2 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Peace
 Bartow        8.0   9.2  Wed 05 AM   9.3    9.2    9.2    9.2    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186




$$

FLC049-140928-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.3.ER.170911T0303Z.170913T0815Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Zolfo Springs
* Until further notice.
* At 04 AM Wednesday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to a stage of 20.1 feet by .
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 feet on Sep 12 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Peace
 Zolfo Sprin  16.0  23.8  Wed 04 AM  20.1   19.3   19.0   18.7    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184




$$

FLC027-140928-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.3.ER.170910T2237Z.170914T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Peace River At Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 04 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.4 feet by after midnight tomorrow 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Up to 60 homes at River Acres are flooded. The 
  Woman's Club and American Legion are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.5 feet...25 homes at River Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...River Acres is impacted.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Peace River Campground floods and 6 homes at River 
  Acres are impacted.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...Peace River Estates floods affecting several dozen 
  homes.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The Girl Scout camp floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Access roads to river acres become flooded.
* Impact...at 10.0 feet...3 to 4 homes in the river acres subdivision flood and
  the lowest portion of the girl scout camp floods.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1 feet on Mar 23 
  1998.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Peace
 Arcadia      11.0  18.1  Wed 04 AM  18.3   18.3   18.0   17.7    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
 2714 8197 2735 8186                  



$$

FLC027-140928-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.3.ER.170910T2111Z.170911T1715Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Horse Creek Near Arcadia
* Until further notice.
* At 04 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...Water reaches the Outward Bound center.
* Impact...at 16.0 feet...Water is on State Highways 72 and 761.
* Impact...at 15.0 feet...Royal Park Estates are affected near State Road 72.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Buildings in Hidden Acres flood.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The access road to Hidden Acres is impassable.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Secondary roads in hidden acres and royal palm begin 
  to flood.
* Impact...at 10.5 feet...Two homes become isolated.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 feet on Sep 13 
  1960.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Horse Creek
 Arcadia      12.0  16.3  Wed 04 AM  15.7   14.7   13.7   13.1    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201




$$

FLC101-140927-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-170915T1800Z/
/ELFF1.3.ER.170911T1527Z.170912T1515Z.170915T1200Z.NO/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Anclote River At Elfers
* Until Friday afternoon.
* At 04 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Five homes in Anclote River Estates flood.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Evacuation recommended for residents of Anclote River
  Estates.  Over 300 homes in the area may need to be evacuated.
* Impact...at 22.0 feet...There is water over the roadway along the Elfers 
  Parkway.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.2 feet on Mar 31 
  1987.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Anclote River
 Elfers       20.0  24.3  Wed 04 AM  22.1   20.0   17.7   16.3    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2820 8263 2819 8271 2817 8271 2817 8275
 2823 8272 2824 8263                  



$$

FLC057-140927-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MORF1.2.ER.170912T0345Z.170913T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River At Morris Bridge
* Until further notice.
* At 05 AM Wednesday the stage was 34.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 32.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 34.2 feet by this morning then begin 
  falling.
* Impact...at 35.0 feet...Portions of Morris Bridge road about 3/4 of a mile 
  south of the bridge begin to flood.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding begins at a trailer park downstream from 
  Morris Bridge and just upstream from the northern end of the Tampa Bypass 
  canal.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 34.2 feet on Sep 9 
  1988.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Hillsborough
 Morris Brid  32.0  34.2  Wed 05 AM  33.5   33.1   32.8   32.5    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2806 8228 2806 8234 2811 8234 2811 8230




$$

FLC057-140927-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-170917T0400Z/
/ZPHF1.3.ER.170911T0620Z.170912T1445Z.170916T2200Z.NR/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

...Flood Warning extended until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Hillsborough River Near Hillsborough River State Park
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 05 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 13.4 feet...Streets in Crystal Springs flood and homes are 
  isolated, but no flooding into homes occurs.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Hillsborough River State Park is closed. Lowland 
  flooding occurs at the mobile home park near Branchton on State Road 579.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Some State Park operations are suspended.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 13.8 feet on Sep 7 
  1950.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Hillsborough
 Hillsboroug  10.0  13.8  Wed 05 AM  13.2   12.2   10.9    8.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2812 8215 2812 8224 2806 8228 2811 8230
 2817 8225 2817 8215                  



$$

FLC101-140927-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WRGF1.2.ER.170911T0030Z.170914T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cypress Creek At Worthington Gardens
* Until further notice.
* At 05 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 11.4 feet by tomorrow early afternoon 
  then begin falling.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...The walkway to the river gage floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Flooding threatens two homes on State Road 54.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Flooding begins at the recreation area on State Road 
  54.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 11.4 feet on Aug 19 
  1967.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Cypress Creek
 Worthington   8.0  10.8  Wed 05 AM  11.4   11.3   11.0   10.4    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2819 8234 2814 8234 2814 8240 2819 8240




$$

FLC057-140927-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-170916T0142Z/
/WIMF1.3.ER.170911T0153Z.170912T0700Z.170915T1942Z.NO/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Little Manatee River At Wimauma
* Until Friday evening.
* At 05 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.5 feet...Flooding of several houses begins near 32nd and 33rd 
  streets in Ruskin.
* Impact...at 13.0 feet...The canoe rental area floods.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...The river overflows its banks.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.1 feet on Jun 19 
  1982.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Little Manatee
 Wimauma      11.0  16.0  Wed 05 AM  14.2   11.5    9.4    7.7    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231




$$

FLC081-140215-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-170914T0215Z/
/MKHF1.3.ER.170910T2315Z.170911T1130Z.170913T2015Z.NO/
528 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Manatee River Near Myakka Head
* Until this evening.
* At 04 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river is expected to fall below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...at 11.0 feet...Private road and bridge 1 mile downstream flood. 
  Agricultural, rural Kibler area begins to flood.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.5 feet on Jun 22 
  1991.

&&


               FLD        OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY  TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Manatee
 Myakka Head  11.0  12.5  Wed 04 AM   9.4    8.3    7.1    6.3    MSG


&&


LAT...LON 2746 8217 2743 8224 2745 8233 2752 8233
 2751 8224 2753 8224                  



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 9, 9:28 AM EDT, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 9, 9:28 AM EDT, 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
928 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

.UPDATE...
Irma continues to move along the northern Cuban coast this
morning and is expected to start the turn to the north sometime
later today. Irma is then expected to move north through the FL
peninsula Sunday with hurricane conditions possible.

Hurricane Warnings extend from Hernando and Sumter counties south
and a Hurricane Watch north of there...including the adjacent
coastal waters. Storm Surge Watches and Warnings also follow in
those areas. A Flash Flood Watch is also in effect for the entire
area. Please continue to monitor the National Hurricane Center and
our Hurricane Local Statements for everything Irma related.

For today increasing clouds and gusty winds spread northward as
fast moving bands of showers and a few thunderstorms sweep
across. Current forecasts handle this and will only make minor
tweaks as needed.

&&

.AVIATION...
09/12Z TAFs. BKN IFR stratus next 2-3 hours then VCNTY
SHRA-TSRA mid morning through evening. Prevailing NE winds
and gusty with SHRA-TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Conditions will continue to gradually deteriorate over the
coastal waters as Irma approaches the area. Hurricane Warnings
are in effect for all the waters. Conditions will begin to improve
sometime later Monday as the storm lifts north of the area.
Mariners should rush to completion any preparations for their
vessels.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  92  77  84  76 /  40  50  90  90
FMY  90  78  84  80 /  50  90  90  80
GIF  90  75  81  74 /  70  60  90  90
SRQ  92  77  85  79 /  40  60  90  90
BKV  90  76  81  75 /  40  50  90  90
SPG  90  78  83  76 /  40  50  90  90

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Hurricane Warning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hernando-
     Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-
     Highlands-Inland Charlotte-Inland Hernando-Inland
     Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-
     Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-Polk-Sumter.

     Flash Flood Watch through Monday morning for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal
     Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Levy-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-
     Highlands-Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus-Inland
     Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland Levy-
     Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-
     Polk-Sumter.

     Hurricane Watch for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Levy-Inland
     Citrus-Inland Levy.

Gulf waters...Hurricane Warning for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island
     Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood
     FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon
     Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay
     waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out
     20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs
     FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to
     Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

rkr
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 9, 4:57 AM EDT, 5 hours 4 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
457 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-092100-
Sumter-Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Levy-
Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Pasco-
Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Tampa Bay waters-
Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-
Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
457 AM EDT Sat Sep 9 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Bands of showers and thunderstorms will develop across west
central and southwest Florida. The stronger storms will be
capable of producing locally heavy rain and wind gusts of 45 to
55 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

...TROPICAL IMPACT...
Hurricane Irma is forecast to track from south to north over the
western Florida peninsula late Sunday through Monday morning.
There is a high threat for damaging winds, flash flooding, storm
surge, moderate to major river flooding, and a moderate risk of
tornadoes across the entire forecast area. See the latest
Hurricane Local Statement for expected county specific impacts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

Oglesby

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 9, 12:24 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchTBWCharlotte, Citrus, DeSoto, Hardee, Hernando, Highlands and 9 more53 hr
Sep 9, 7:55 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningTBWLee6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.