Red Flag Warning 16, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
747 PM EDT Mon May 8 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure continues across the area. The current Red
Flag Warning is set to expire at 8PM. Will likely be
reissuing for Tuesday afternoon as conditions will be
similar across the area. No other concerns however with
clear skies and winds becoming light and variable overnight.
Temperatures are on track to fall into the mid 50s to lower
60s north and inland, and into the mid 60s to lower 70s near
the coast and south. No updates planned as current forecast
is on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions through the period with NW winds becoming
light and variable overnight. Winds will then become E/SE in
the late morning hours as speeds increase to around 8 knots
and then turn to the W/NW in the afternoon. Mostly clear
skies through the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Obs showing generally W/NW winds at 10-15 knots across the
waters. Winds are expected to become more northerly
overnight. Current forecast is on track with this and have
little change for the update.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  68  89  69  89 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  66  89  68  90 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  64  91  65  94 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  65  85  67  84 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  57  91  59  92 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  70  88  72  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for Highlands-
     Inland Charlotte-Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland
     Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Polk-Sumter.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...24/Hubbard
UPPER AIR/DECISION SUPPORT...25/Davis

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
211 AM EDT Mon May 8 2017

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-082000-
Sumter-Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Levy-
Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Pasco-
Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Tampa Bay waters-
Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-
Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
211 AM EDT Mon May 8 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
Critical fire weather conditions with a combination low relative
humidity and dry fuels values will contribute to extreme fire
behavior this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
Critical fire weather conditions may occur through Friday due to
low afternoon humidity and dry fuel moisture.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
Winds will pick up to 15 to 20 mph Saturday offshore of Tarpon
Springs to Suwannee River. Small craft should keep an eye on the
forecast if boating Saturday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible
Saturday and Saturday night as a weak cool front moves south over
the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

Noah