Alert archive / California / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 33, NWS Sacramento, CA

February 13, 2017San Joaquin County, California

NWS Sacramento, CA issued this river flood warning at Feb 13, 2017, 8:45 PM PST for San Joaquin County, California. It took effect at Feb 14, 2017, 8:31 AM PST. It was in force for 54 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Feb 13, 2017, 8:45 PM PST (04:45 UTC)
In effect from: Feb 14, 2017, 8:31 AM PST
Expired: Feb 16, 2017, 2:05 PM PST
In force: 54 hr
Issued by: NWS Sacramento, CA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County San Joaquin County, CA

The radar

The San Francisco radar (KMUX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point San Joaquin River at Vernalis (VNSC1).

Action stage: 24.5 ft
Minor stage: 29 ft
Moderate stage: 32 ft
Major stage: 37.3 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 11303500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

034 
WGUS46 KSTO 140445
FLWLSJ
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
845 PM PST MON FEB 13 2017

...The National Weather Service in Sacramento has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in California... 

  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis is expected to continue to 
slowly rise to above flood stage by Tuesday afternoon or evening
then remain above flood level Wednesday. Minor rises on other rivers
into Wednesday, then additional rain late Wednesday into the weekend
will result in more significant rises.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Tuesday, February 14 at 4 AM PST.

&&

CAC099-150645-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
845 PM PST MON FEB 13 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 48.7 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Forecast to rise to near  50.5 FT Wednesday afternoon then forecast
  to fluctuate near 50.5 FT thru late Wednesday evening.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-150645-
/O.NEW.KSTO.FL.W.0033.170215T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170215T0000Z.170216T0400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
845 PM PST MON FEB 13 2017

The National Weather Service in Sacramento has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* from Tuesday afternoon until further notice...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 28.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru late Wednesday evening.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-150645-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
845 PM PST MON FEB 13 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  8:15 PM Monday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 19.5 FT thru late Wednesday evening.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-150644-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
845 PM PST MON FEB 13 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  7:30 PM Monday the stage was 53.8 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.0 FT thru late tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-150644-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
845 PM PST MON FEB 13 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  8:15 PM Monday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Forecast to recede to near 13.0 FT late tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-150644-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
845 PM PST MON FEB 13 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  7:30 PM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Forecast to recede to near 7.0 FT tomorrow evening then forecast to
  fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru late tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft
* Impact...Near 8.0 feet, Low lying lands along the river begin to 
  flood.

 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$

10 follow-up statements

652 
WGUS86 KSTO 141101
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
301 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California...
 
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis is expected to continue to 
slowly rise to above flood stage by Tuesday afternoon or evening
and continue through Thursday. Minor rises on other rivers into 
Wednesday, then additional rain late Wednesday into the weekend 
will result in more significant rises.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Tuesday, February 14, 2017 at 9am PST.

&&

CAC099-151301-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
301 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  1:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 49.1 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near  50.0 FT late tomorrow evening then 
  forecast to fluctuate near 50.0 FT thru early Thursday morning.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-151301-
/O.EXT.KSTO.FL.W.0033.170214T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1800Z.170216T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
301 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* from this morning until further notice...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 28.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru early Thursday morning.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-151301-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
301 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  2:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 20.0 FT thru early Thursday morning.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-151300-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
301 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  2:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 53.9 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near  54.5 FT late this evening then forecast 
  to fluctuate near 54.5 FT thru early tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft
* Impact...Near 55.0 feet, This is channel capacity through downtown 
  Modesto.

 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-151300-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
301 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  2:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 13.0 FT early tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-151300-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
301 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  2:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.5 feet.
* Forecast to fall below monitor stage of 7.0 FT late this evening 
  then forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru early tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft
* Impact...Near 8.0 feet, Low lying lands along the river begin to 
  flood.

 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$
JClapp

451 
WGUS86 KSTO 141639
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
839 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California...
 
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.San Joaquin River near Vernalis forecast to remain near flood 
stage through Thursday morning. Fluctuating or slowly receding 
levels expected in the short term, until rain returns later in 
the week. 

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Tuesday, February 14, 2017 at 3 PM PLT.

&&

CAC099-151839-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
839 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  7:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 49.2 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near  50.0 FT early Thursday morning then 
  forecast to fluctuate near 50.0 FT thru late Thursday morning.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-151839-
/O.EXT.KSTO.FL.W.0033.170214T1631Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170216T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
839 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* from this morning until further notice...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru late Thursday morning.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-151838-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
839 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 20.0 FT thru late Thursday morning.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-151838-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
839 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  6:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 53.9 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.0 FT thru late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-151838-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
839 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  7:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 13.0 FT late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-151838-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
839 AM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  7:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Forecast to fall below monitor stage of 7.0 FT early tomorrow 
  morning then forecast to recede to near 7.0 FT tomorrow morning 
  then forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft
* Impact...Near 8.0 feet, Low lying lands along the river begin to 
  flood.

 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$

813 
WGUS86 KSTO 142212
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
212 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California..
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.San Joaquin River near Vernalis forecast to remain near or above
flood stage through Thursday morning. Fluctuating or slowly receding 
levels expected in the short term, until rain returns later in 
the week.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Tuesday, February 14, 2017 at 9 PM.

&&

CAC099-160012-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
212 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  1:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 50.3 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 49.0 FT late this evening then forecast 
  to rise to near  50.0 FT late Thursday morning then forecast to 
  fluctuate near 50.0 FT thru Thursday afternoon.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-160012-
/O.CON.KSTO.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170216T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
212 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* At  1:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru Thursday afternoon.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC099-160012-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
212 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  1:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 54.1 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.0 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-160012-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
212 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  1:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 12.5 FT near tomorrow noon then forecast
  to fluctuate near 12.5 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-160011-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
212 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  1:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Forecast to fall below monitor stage of 7.0 FT early tomorrow 
  morning then forecast to recede to near 7.0 FT near tomorrow noon 
  then forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$

CAC067-077-160011-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
212 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River Near Mcconnell.
* At  1:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 36.6 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 35.0 FT tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 46.0 ft
* Monitor stage 40.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3833 12147 3848 12133 3832 12124 3823 12140


$$
HEC

477 
WGUS86 KSTO 150402
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
802 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California..
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.San Joaquin River near Vernalis will remain above flood stage
into the weekend. Minor rises on other rivers into Wednesday, 
then additional rain late Wednesday into the weekend
will result in more significant rises.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Wednesday, February 15 at 10 AM PST.

&&

CAC099-160602-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
802 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 50.8 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 49.5 FT early tomorrow morning then 
  forecast to rise to near  50.0 FT Thursday afternoon then forecast 
  to fluctuate near 50.0 FT thru Thursday evening.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-160602-
/O.CON.KSTO.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170215T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* At  6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru Thursday evening.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-160602-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
802 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 20.0 FT thru Thursday evening.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-160602-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
802 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 54.2 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.0 FT thru tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-160601-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
802 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 12.5 FT tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-160601-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
802 PM PST TUE FEB 14 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Forecast to fall below monitor stage of 7.0 FT early tomorrow 
  morning then forecast to recede to near 7.0 FT tomorrow evening 
  then forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$

640 
WGUS86 KSTO 151650
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
850 AM PST WED FEB 15 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California..
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.San Joaquin River near Vernalis will remain above flood stage
into the weekend. Minor rises on other rivers into Wednesday, 
then additional rain late Wednesday into the weekend
will result in more significant rises.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Wednesday, February 15, 2017 at
3pm PLT.

&&

CAC099-161850-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
850 AM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  7:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 50.5 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near  51.0 FT early Friday morning then 
  forecast to fluctuate near 51.0 FT thru late Friday morning.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-161850-
/O.CON.KSTO.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170217T0700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 AM PST WED FEB 15 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* At  7:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 29.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.5 FT thru late Friday morning.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-161850-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
850 AM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  8:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 20.0 FT thru late Friday morning.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-161850-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
850 AM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  7:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 54.3 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.0 FT thru late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-161849-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
850 AM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  8:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 12.0 FT late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-161849-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
850 AM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  8:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$

CAC067-077-161849-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
850 AM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River Near Mcconnell.
* At  8:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 35.2 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 34.0 FT late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 46.0 ft
* Monitor stage 40.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3833 12147 3848 12133 3832 12124 3823 12140


$$

Dang

056 
WGUS86 KSTO 152234
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
234 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California..
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.San Joaquin River near Vernalis will remain above flood stage
into the weekend. Rain late Wednesday into the weekend will result 
in increased rises.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Wednesday, Februrary 15, 2017 at 9 PM.

&&

CAC099-170034-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
234 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  1:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 50.4 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 50.5 FT thru Friday afternoon.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-170033-
/O.CON.KSTO.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170217T0800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
234 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* At  1:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 29.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.5 FT thru Friday afternoon.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-170033-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
234 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  2:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 20.0 FT thru Friday afternoon.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-170033-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
234 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 54.3 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.5 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft
* Impact...Near 55.0 feet, This is channel capacity through downtown 
  Modesto.

 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-170033-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
234 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  1:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 12.0 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-170033-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
234 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$

CAC067-077-170033-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
234 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River Near Mcconnell.
* At  2:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 34.9 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 34.0 FT late tomorrow morning then 
  forecast to fluctuate near 34.0 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 46.0 ft
* Monitor stage 40.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3833 12147 3848 12133 3832 12124 3823 12140


$$
HEC

986 
WGUS86 KSTO 160438
FLSLSJ
flslFLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
838 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California..
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.San Joaquin River near Vernalis will remain above flood stage
into the weekend. Rain overnight into the weekend will result 
in increased rises.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Thursday, February 16 at 4 AM PST.

&&

CAC099-170638-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
838 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 50.3 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 51.0 FT thru late Friday evening.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-170638-
/O.CON.KSTO.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170215T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
838 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* At  7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru late Friday evening.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-170638-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
838 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 20.0 FT thru late Friday evening.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-170638-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
838 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 54.4 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.5 FT thru late tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft
* Impact...Near 55.0 feet, This is channel capacity through downtown 
  Modesto.

 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-170637-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
838 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 12.0 FT thru late tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-170637-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
838 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru late tomorrow morning then 
  forecast to rise above monitor stage of 7.0 FT near tomorrow noon 
  then forecast to rise to near  8.0 FT tomorrow evening then 
  forecast to fluctuate near 8.0 FT thru late tomorrow evening.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft
* Impact...Near 8.0 feet, Low lying lands along the river begin to 
  flood.

 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$

CAC067-077-170637-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCNC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
838 PM PST WED FEB 15 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River Near Mcconnell.
* At  8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 34.5 feet.
* Forecast to recede to near 34.0 FT near tomorrow noon then forecast
  to rise to near  35.0 FT late tomorrow evening with continued rise 
  expected.
* Flood stage 46.0 ft
* Monitor stage 40.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3833 12147 3848 12133 3832 12124 3823 12140


$$

997 
WGUS86 KSTO 161009
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
209 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California..
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.San Joaquin River near Vernalis will remain above flood stage
into the weekend. Rain today into the weekend will result 
in increased rises.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Thursday, February 16 at 9am PST.

&&

CAC099-171209-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
209 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  1:45 AM Thursday the stage was 50.5 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near  51.0 FT late tomorrow morning then 
  forecast to fluctuate near 51.0 FT thru early Saturday morning.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-171209-
/O.CON.KSTO.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170215T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
209 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* At  1:45 AM Thursday the stage was 28.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru early Saturday morning.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-171209-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
209 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  1:45 AM Thursday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 20.0 FT thru early Saturday morning.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-171208-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
209 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  1:30 AM Thursday the stage was 54.4 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.5 FT thru early tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft
* Impact...Near 55.0 feet, This is channel capacity through downtown 
  Modesto.

 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-171208-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
209 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  1:15 AM Thursday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 12.0 FT thru early tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-171208-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
209 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  1:30 AM Thursday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru early tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$

687 
WGUS86 KSTO 161717
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
917 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California..
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.The San Joaquin River near Vernalis fell below flood stage last
night due to a reduction in river releases on the Stanislaus river.
Rain today and into the weekend will result in increased rises.
Vernalis is forecast to rise above flood stage again Friday.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued Thursday, February 16, 2017 at 3 PM.

&&

CAC099-171917-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
917 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 51.0 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 51.0 FT thru late Saturday morning.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-171917-
/O.CON.KSTO.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170215T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 28.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru late Saturday morning.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-171917-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
917 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 19.5 FT thru late Saturday morning.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-171916-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
917 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 54.5 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 54.5 FT thru late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft
* Impact...Near 55.0 feet, This is channel capacity through downtown 
  Modesto.

 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-171916-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
917 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 12.0 FT thru late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-171916-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
917 AM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru late tomorrow morning.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$
HEC

629 
WGUS86 KSTO 162205
FLSLSJ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
205 PM PST THU FEB 16 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
California...
 
  San Joaquin River Near Vernalis

.Rain today and into the weekend will result in continued elevated
levels on the Lower San Joaquin River system for the next several days.

Forecasts are based on present and forecasted meteorological and 
hydrologic conditions at time of issuance.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Unlisted forecast points are expected to remain below monitor stage.
All those affected by river conditions should remain alert for rapid 
changes and for possible forecast revisions.

For more hydrologic information and stage definitions refer to the 
following web site:  http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sto/hydro_data.php


The next statement will be issued [Add day and time here].

&&

CAC099-180005-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PATC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
205 PM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River Near Patterson.
* At 12:45 PM Thursday the stage was 50.2 feet.
* Forecast to rise to near  51.0 FT tomorrow afternoon then forecast 
  to fluctuate near 51.0 FT thru Saturday afternoon.
* Flood stage 54.7 ft
* Monitor stage 48.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3757 12127 3763 12108 3746 12089 3736 12111


$$

CAC077-162235-
/O.CAN.KSTO.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-170216T2205Z/
/VNSC1.1.ER.170214T1530Z.170215T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
205 PM PST THU FEB 16 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The San Joaquin River Near Vernalis.
* At 12:45 PM Thursday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 29.0 FT thru Saturday afternoon.
* Flood stage 29.0 ft
* Monitor stage 24.5 ft
* Impact...Near 26.0 feet, Severe seepage occurs outside the levees. 
  The area covered by seepage will increase as the river stage rises.
* Impact...Near 21.0 feet, Seepage begins into crop area outside of 
  levees.

 &&

LAT...LON 3772 12141 3777 12123 3765 12109 3756 12127


$$

CAC077-180005-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MOSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
205 PM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  San Joaquin River At Mossdale Bridge.
* At  1:45 PM Thursday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 19.5 FT thru Saturday afternoon.
* Flood stage 28.5 ft
* Monitor stage 19.5 ft
* Impact...Near 16.4 feet, Historically Mossdale Trailer Park 
  evacuates.
* Impact...Near 15.4 feet, Mossdale Trailer Park is threatened by the 
  high water. Mossdale Trailer Park is on the south side of the river
  inside the levee both upstream and downstream of the gage.

 &&

LAT...LON 3782 12140 3792 12130 3774 12123 3769 12136


$$

CAC099-180004-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MDSC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
205 PM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Tuolumne River At Modesto.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 54.6 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 55.0 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 55.0 ft
* Monitor stage 50.5 ft
* Impact...Near 55.0 feet, This is channel capacity through downtown 
  Modesto.

 &&

LAT...LON 3763 12120 3771 12075 3758 12069 3752 12112


$$

CAC067-077-180004-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/THTC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
205 PM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Mokelumne River Near Benson's Ferry Near Thornton.
* At  1:15 PM Thursday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 12.0 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 17.0 ft
* Monitor stage 12.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3829 12154 3829 12134 3820 12128 3820 12150


$$

CAC005-017-067-180004-
/O.ROU.KSTO.HY.S.0000.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MHBC1.N.UU.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
205 PM PST THU FEB 16 2017

Forecast information for
  Cosumnes River At Michigan Bar.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Forecast to fluctuate near 7.0 FT thru tomorrow afternoon.
* Flood stage 12.0 ft
* Monitor stage 7.0 ft


 &&

LAT...LON 3848 12133 3859 12103 3842 12092 3836 12124


$$
HEC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 13, 3:26 PM PST, 5 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 13, 3:26 PM PST, 5 hours 19 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
326 PM PST Mon Feb 13 2017

.Synopsis...
Dry weather continues through Tuesday. Yet another round of wet
weather arrives Wednesday with several rounds continuing through
next weekend.

&&

.Discussion...
A ridge of high pressure is bringing dry weather to interior
Northern California, with a bit of high cloudiness spreading
across the region. Dry weather is expected to continue through
Tuesday with mild temperatures continuing. Patchy morning fog may
develop across portions of the Central Valley Tuesday morning,
but isn't expected to be widespread.

Some light, warm advection rain may begin to spread across the
northern half of our CWA as early as Wednesday. Heavier rain is
currently expected to move through Northern California late
Wednesday night into Thursday. The Sacramento Valley should see
roughly 0.50 to locally over an inch, with the foothills possibly
receiving a couple inches of rain with this storm. Snow levels are
projected to start fairly high, then lower to about 6000 ft toward
the tail end of the storm. This storm (and subsequent ones) are
currently projected to be weaker than the storms we experienced
last week. However, those storms last week left have left Northern
California in a vulnerable state, and any additional rainfall
could bring amplified impacts.

Dang

&&

.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Friday THROUGH Monday)

Series of storms forecast to impact Norcal through this extended
period. After the Thu system, successive systems are forecast Fri
into Sat, and again on Sun and Mon, but they will be cooler than
the Thu system. Current timing is for most of the precip to occur
during the daytime periods with lulls/or breaks during the
overnite hrs. USA West Coast AR Landfall Tool indicates the TPW
plume with the Fri system will mainly track S of 40N and into
Socal followed by a weaker plume later in the weekend and into
Mon. This is due to the digging trof and associated 500 mbs
closed low or open wave generally paralleling the CA coast through
Sat. Subsequent systems will be more typical of progressive trofs.

Fri's system will eventually turn cooler and lower snow levels to
5000-6000 ft, which were originally above 6-7000 ft with the Thu
system, to at/below about 4000 ft Sun into Mon. These lower snow
levels will reduce the runoff into already swollen rivers/streams.

An early estimate of QPFs suggests 3-5 inches over the mtns and 1-
2.5 inches in the Valley with the Fri-Mon systems with 1-2 feet of
snow over the Sierra with higher amounts over the Lassen area.

Periods of gusty Sly winds will also be possible with these systems.
  JHM

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions next 24 hrs with light winds across interior
NorCal except for potential patchy IFR conditions from KSMF
southward mainly 14z-18z Tuesday due to mist or patchy fog.
&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 13, 2:51 PM PST, 5 hours 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
251 PM PST MON FEB 13 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0248 PM     FLOOD            BAXTER                  39.21N 120.78W
02/13/2017                   PLACER             CA   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            MUDSLIDE REPORTED ALONG WESTBOUND INTERSTATE
            80, BLOCKING ALL LANES.

&&

TGD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sacramento, CA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Feb 14, 11:29 AM PST	Flash Flood Watch	STO		54 hr
Feb 14, 2:47 PM PST	Winter Storm Watch	STO		22 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in California, 2017 Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.