Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 63

March 6, 201744 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 6, 2017, 2:43 PM CST for 44 counties in Minnesota; 5 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 6, 2017, 2:43 PM CST (20:43 UTC)
Expired
Mar 6, 2017, 10:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 49 counties

Anoka County, MN, Benton County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Houston County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Mower County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Todd County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Winona County, MN, Wright County, MN, Buffalo County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Polk County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
50%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 3:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXRedwood, Renville, Sibley43 min
Mar 6, 4:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Brown, Watonwan35 min
Mar 6, 4:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Morrison, Stearns47 min
Mar 6, 4:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Martin43 min
Mar 6, 4:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMcLeod, Meeker, Wright34 min
Mar 6, 4:50 PM CSTTornado WarningMPXWright25 min
Mar 6, 4:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Freeborn21 min
Mar 6, 5:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth, Faribault, Freeborn, Steele, Waseca36 min
Mar 6, 5:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSherburne, Wright34 min
Mar 6, 5:26 PM CSTTornado WarningMPXSherburne, Wright20 min
Mar 6, 5:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFreeborn, Steele, Waseca33 min
Mar 6, 5:44 PM CSTTornado WarningMPXIsanti, Mille Lacs, Sherburne31 min
Mar 6, 5:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge50 min
Mar 6, 6:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXChisago, Isanti, Kanabec35 min
Mar 6, 6:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue, Rice47 min
Mar 6, 6:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXOlmsted23 min
Mar 6, 6:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue29 min
Mar 6, 6:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXWabasha43 min
Mar 6, 6:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXBuffalo43 min
Mar 6, 6:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXGoodhue42 min
Mar 6, 6:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXMower33 min
Mar 6, 7:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDunn, Pierce, Saint Croix29 min
Mar 6, 7:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFillmore62 min
Mar 6, 7:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXBuffalo25 min
Mar 6, 8:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFillmore, Houston, Winona45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2017-03-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2017-03-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 401 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
622 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
401 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
365 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

756 
WWUS20 KWNS 062041
SEL3  
SPC WW 062041
MNZ000-WIZ000-070400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 63
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 PM CST Mon Mar 6 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Central and southern Minnesota
  Far west-central Wisconsin

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until
  1000 PM CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Widely scattered storms developing over southwest
Minnesota will spread northeast this evening with a risk for all
severe hazards.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Saint Cloud MN to 40
miles southwest of Rochester MN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 61...WW 62...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 1:37 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa and 33 more2 hr
Mar 6, 3:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood and 29 more115 min
Mar 6, 5:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Carlton, Cass, Crow Wing, Hubbard, Pine57 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2017Tornado Watches in Wisconsin, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.