Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 454

August 16, 20179 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 16, 2017, 7:00 PM CDT for 9 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2017, 7:00 PM CDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Carver County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Renville County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Wright County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 7:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXCarver, Hennepin, Scott20 min
Aug 16, 7:59 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXCarver, McLeod31 min
Aug 16, 8:13 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMPXCarver, Hennepin, Scott3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 0.0 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 445 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 217 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
445 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
756 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
217 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

764 
WWUS20 KWNS 162358
SEL4  
SPC WW 162358
MNZ000-170300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 454
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 PM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern Minnesota

* Effective this Wednesday evening from 700 PM until 1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...Short-fused tornado threat may continue from a few showers
and thunderstorms interacting with a narrow corridor of favorable
shear and at least marginal buoyancy over the area.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 30 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles north of Redwood Falls MN to
85 miles east of Redwood Falls MN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 453...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 16025.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 9:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarver, Hennepin, Kandiyohi, McLeod, Meeker, Renville and 2 more90 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.