Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 506

October 21, 201718 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 21, 2017, 10:06 PM CDT for 18 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 21, 2017, 10:06 PM CDT (03:06 UTC)
Expired
Oct 22, 2017, 2:40 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Hickory, Polk, St. Clair, Vernon56 min
Oct 21, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper, Newton56 min
Oct 21, 11:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMcDonald58 min
Oct 21, 11:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Lawrence62 min
Oct 22, 1:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Greene, Webster47 min
Oct 22, 1:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark, Taney64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 3.1 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-10-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 700 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-10-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 157 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
700 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-128 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1064 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
169 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 8:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Caldwell, Camden and 40 more95 min
Oct 21, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDouglas, Howell, Laclede, Ozark, Texas, Wright7 hr
Oct 22, 1:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCamden, Christian, Cole, Crawford, Dallas, Dent and 14 more91 min
Oct 22, 4:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Carter, Dent, Dunklin, Iron, Madison and 7 more93 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.