Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 505

October 21, 201734 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 21, 2017, 7:53 PM CDT for 34 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 21, 2017, 7:53 PM CDT (00:53 UTC)
Expired
Oct 22, 2017, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Jones County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Montague County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

5 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTThrockmorton46 min
Oct 21, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTJones, Shackelford, Throckmorton41 min
Oct 21, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Throckmorton38 min
Oct 21, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Jones, Shackelford, Throckmorton46 min
Oct 21, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Jones, Shackelford, Taylor46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-10-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1142 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-10-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 124 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1142 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-102 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1889 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
180 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
3.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 21, 8:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Cooke, Denton, Fannin and 10 more86 min
Oct 21, 10:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Denton, Eastland and 14 more96 min
Oct 21, 10:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Franklin, Lamar, Red River, Titus93 min
Oct 21, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Marion, Morris and 4 more7 hr
Oct 22, 1:44 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Morris, Red River and 1 more91 min
Oct 22, 4:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarrison, Panola, Rusk, Shelby93 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.