Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 499

October 9, 201715 counties in Kansas; 22 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 9, 2017, 2:57 PM CDT for 15 counties in Kansas; 22 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2017, 2:57 PM CDT (19:57 UTC)
Expired
Oct 9, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Allen County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Elk County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Kay County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 9, 3:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChase41 min
Oct 9, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTGreenwood33 min
Oct 9, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata42 min
Oct 9, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Mayes, Wagoner31 min
Oct 9, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Ottawa35 min
Oct 9, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner39 min
Oct 9, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Delaware, Ottawa48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-10-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-10-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 58 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1914 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 9, 2:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButler, Chautauqua, Cowley, Elk, Greenwood, Labette and 4 more115 min
Oct 9, 6:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Bourbon, Butler, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 8 more84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.