Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 433

July 22, 201715 counties in Kansas; 26 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 22, 2017, 5:55 PM CDT for 15 counties in Kansas; 26 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 22, 2017, 5:55 PM CDT (22:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 23, 2017, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 41 counties

Atchison County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jackson County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Morris County, KS, Osage County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Riley County, KS, Shawnee County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Henry County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 5:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Pottawatomie, Riley32 min
Jul 22, 9:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCass, Jackson35 min
Jul 22, 9:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson26 min
Jul 22, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCass, Jackson, Johnson45 min
Jul 22, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte39 min
Jul 22, 10:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Miami, Wyandotte52 min
Jul 22, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Ray, Saline51 min
Jul 22, 11:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Cooper, Johnson, Lafayette, Pettis, Saline53 min
Jul 23, 12:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXChariton, Cooper, Howard, Randolph, Saline78 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2017-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1174 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2017-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 192 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1174 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-395 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1597 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
192 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
476 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 3:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Doniphan, Douglas and 24 more3 hr
Jul 22, 5:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Atchison, Coffey, Dickinson, Doniphan, Douglas and 16 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.