Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 283

May 27, 2017Monroe County, Randolph County, Illinois; 34 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 27, 2017, 6:26 PM CDT for Monroe County, Randolph County, Illinois; 34 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2017, 6:26 PM CDT (23:26 UTC)
Expired
May 27, 2017, 9:46 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Monroe County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Barton County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Madison County, MO, Maries County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Osage County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Maries, Phelps, Pulaski59 min
May 27, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade, Greene, Polk45 min
May 27, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Laclede27 min
May 27, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLaclede, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas36 min
May 27, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Shannon32 min
May 27, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXReynolds51 min
May 27, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau42 min
May 27, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade, Jasper, Lawrence39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3187 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2017-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3187 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
766 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
9.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 3:54 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander2 hr
May 27, 1:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 14 more59 min
May 27, 1:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlexander, Clinton, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton and 20 more7 hr
May 27, 3:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson and 10 more85 min
May 27, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Watch PDSSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more7 hr
May 27, 12:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, McDonald, Oregon and 4 more5 hr
May 27, 2:04 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Christian, Douglas, Howell, McDonald, Oregon and 4 more116 min
May 27, 4:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCButler, Dunklin, New Madrid, Pemiscot, Ripley, Stoddard6 hr
May 27, 6:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, New Madrid, Pemiscot2 hr
May 27, 9:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Callaway, Camden and 47 more2 hr
May 27, 12:13 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Bollinger, Boone and 61 more7 hr
May 27, 1:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Bollinger, Camden and 50 more93 min
May 27, 3:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Carter, Crawford, Dent, Howell and 14 more91 min
May 27, 4:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Carter, Dent, Iron and 8 more66 min
May 27, 5:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Callaway, Camden, Cole, Cooper and 18 more64 min
May 27, 6:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHowell, Oregon, Ozark, Ripley, Taney58 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.