Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 133

April 6, 20175 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 6, 2017, 12:45 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 6, 2017, 12:45 PM EDT (16:45 UTC)
Expired
Apr 6, 2017, 5:00 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 46 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Orange County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 6, 1:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIKent, New Castle, Sussex40 min
Apr 6, 1:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXMontgomery, Prince George's48 min
Apr 6, 1:26 PM EDTTornado WarningLWXMontgomery19 min
Apr 6, 1:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Carroll, Howard, Montgomery48 min
Apr 6, 2:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Howard, Montgomery, Prince George's and 1 more44 min
Apr 6, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Harford27 min
Apr 6, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCalvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-04-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-04-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 243 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
550 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
243 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
459 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 6, 12:18 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex57 min
Apr 6, 3:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle63 min
Apr 6, 5:59 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalvert, Charles, Dorchester, Saint Mary's91 min
Apr 6, 7:06 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCDorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester8 hr
Apr 6, 12:51 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppomattox, Bedford, Campbell, Charlotte, Floyd, Franklin and 8 more114 min
Apr 6, 10:38 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmelia, Brunswick, Caroline, Charles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie and 37 more67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.