Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 184

February 15, 201712 counties in Florida; 22 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 15, 2017, 11:23 AM EST for 12 counties in Florida; 22 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2017, 11:23 AM EST (16:23 UTC)
Expired
Feb 15, 2017, 2:00 PM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 34 counties

Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Duval County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Madison County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Camden County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Echols County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 4.4 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2017-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 110 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2017-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 251 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
110 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-138 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
554 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
251 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
264 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 1:50 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Citrus, Flagler, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake and 8 more2 hr
Feb 15, 4:35 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Highlands, Indian River and 7 more115 min
Feb 15, 10:19 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan, Bulloch, Candler, Effingham, Evans, Screven2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.