Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 1466

August 10, 201721 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 10, 2017, 2:05 PM CDT for 21 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2017, 2:05 PM CDT (19:05 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2017, 4:00 PM CDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch possible
Chance of a watch
60%
All 21 counties

Barton County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Logan County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Smith County, KS, Trego County, KS

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2017-08-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 520 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2017-08-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
520 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-132 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1117 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 7:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Comanche, Harper84 min
Aug 10, 1:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarper, Sumner2 hr
Aug 10, 2:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Comanche, Harper, Sumner7 hr
Aug 10, 2:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Clay and 38 more7 hr
Aug 10, 3:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGrant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny and 5 more115 min
Aug 10, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCFinney, Grant, Gray, Greeley, Hamilton, Haskell and 7 more7 hr
Aug 10, 4:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellsworth, Harvey, Kingman, Kiowa and 11 more97 min
Aug 10, 6:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Comanche91 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.