Alert archive / North Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 1381

July 21, 201713 counties in Minnesota; 19 counties in North Dakota; 12 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 21, 2017, 2:20 PM CDT for 13 counties in Minnesota; 19 counties in North Dakota; 12 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2017, 2:20 PM CDT (19:20 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2017, 4:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
95%
All 44 counties

Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Brown County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Day County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Marshall County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Potter County, SD, Roberts County, SD, Spink County, SD, Sully County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 188 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2017-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 211 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2017-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 85 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
211 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-475 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1536 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 9:42 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKittson, Marshall93 min
Jul 21, 12:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClearwater, Kittson, Mahnomen, Marshall, Norman, Pennington and 2 more88 min
Jul 21, 3:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Carlton, Cass, Clay and 14 more10 hr
Jul 21, 3:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Beltrami, Clay, Clearwater, Mahnomen, Norman and 4 more97 min
Jul 21, 6:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Benton, Big Stone, Carlton, Cass and 16 more95 min
Jul 20, 7:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEmmons, Grant, Morton, Sioux89 min
Jul 20, 10:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Campbell, Edmunds, Faulk, Hand, Hyde and 5 more3 hr
Jul 20, 11:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Campbell, Edmunds, Faulk, McPherson, Potter and 3 more65 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.