Alert archive / New York / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 1360

July 20, 201716 counties in New York; Ashtabula County, Lake County, Trumbull County, Ohio; 12 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 20, 2017, 11:36 AM EDT for 16 counties in New York; Ashtabula County, Lake County, Trumbull County, Ohio; 12 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2017, 11:36 AM EDT (15:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2017, 1:30 PM EDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 31 counties

Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Wyoming County, NY, Yates County, NY, Ashtabula County, OH, Lake County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Cameron County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Elk County, PA, Erie County, PA, Forest County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Potter County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Venango County, PA, Warren County, PA

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2004 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 1:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland and 14 more6 hr
Jul 20, 3:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Broome, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland and 13 more87 min
Jul 20, 4:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Broome, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene and 11 more87 min
Jul 20, 5:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBronx, Kings, Nassau, New York, Orange, Queens and 3 more5 hr
Jul 20, 7:48 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Richmond, Rockland87 min
Jul 20, 3:50 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAthens, Belmont, Carroll, Columbiana, Coshocton, Fairfield and 21 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.