Alert archive / Minnesota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 1240

July 5, 201710 counties in Minnesota; 9 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 5, 2017, 9:51 PM CDT for 10 counties in Minnesota; 9 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2017, 9:51 PM CDT (02:51 UTC)
Expired
Jul 5, 2017, 11:45 PM CDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%

Counties Beltrami County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Cavalier County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Rolette County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 272 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 23 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2017-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
23 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-183 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2209 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 10:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBecker, Clay, Clearwater, Grant, Hubbard, Kittson and 10 more6 hr
Jul 6, 12:51 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Benton, Carlton, Cass and 28 more114 min
Jul 6, 3:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Anoka, Benton, Carlton, Cass, Chisago and 13 more8 hr
Jul 6, 5:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarlton, Pine2 hr
Jul 6, 2:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCook, Lake60 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in North Dakota, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.