Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 1113

June 21, 201725 counties in Kansas; 8 counties in Nebraska; Texas County, Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 21, 2017, 6:34 PM CDT for 25 counties in Kansas; 8 counties in Nebraska; Texas County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2017, 6:34 PM CDT (23:34 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2017, 8:30 PM CDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 34 counties

Clark County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Trego County, KS, Buffalo County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Texas County, OK

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2017-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 730 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2017-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 147 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
730 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-454 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1859 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

849 
ACUS11 KWNS 212335
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212334 
KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-220130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1113
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0634 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

Areas affected...south central Nebraska/western Kansas and vicinity

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360...

Valid 212334Z - 220130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360
continues.

SUMMARY...Scattered to isolated thunderstorms continue across parts
of the watch area, where local risk for hail and damaging wind gusts
continues.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows isolated thunderstorms ongoing
across south central Nebraska, and then more numerous storms
concentrated over southwest Kansas and vicinity.  The storms are
ongoing near/ahead of a north-south surface trough, within an axis
of moderate instability (mixed-layer CAPE average 2000 to 3000 J/kg
per objective analysis).  While flow aloft -- and thus deep-layer
shear -- remains on the marginal side for well-organized updrafts
(and hence the rather transient nature of the stronger cores),
potential for locally damaging winds and hail will continue over the
next couple of hours with a few of the strongest storms.

..Goss.. 06/21/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...

LAT...LON   41339993 41449925 41019884 39019904 37099986 36500099
            36600215 36950232 38880066 40420003 41339993

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 2:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDecatur, Ellis, Finney, Ford, Gove, Graham and 30 more2 hr
Jun 21, 4:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDecatur, Ellis, Finney, Ford, Gove, Graham and 21 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.