Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2017

Mesoscale Discussion 1045

June 15, 201745 counties in Iowa; 25 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 15, 2017, 5:11 PM CDT for 45 counties in Iowa; 25 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 64 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2017, 5:11 PM CDT (22:11 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2017, 6:15 PM CDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 70 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Butler County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Fremont County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Harrison County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Madison County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Mills County, IA, Montgomery County, IA, Page County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Polk County, IA, Pottawattamie County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Sac County, IA, Shelby County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Union County, IA, Warren County, IA, Webster County, IA, Wright County, IA, Adams County, NE, Butler County, NE, Cass County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dodge County, NE, Douglas County, NE, Fillmore County, NE, Gage County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Otoe County, NE, Polk County, NE, Saline County, NE, Sarpy County, NE, Saunders County, NE, Seward County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Washington County, NE, Webster County, NE, York County, NE

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 28 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2017-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 110 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
28 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-320 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2312 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Adams, Appanoose, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer and 40 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2017Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2017Every mesoscale discussion in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.