Special Weather Statement, NWS Salt Lake City, UT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
335 PM MDT Tue Aug 8 2017

.SYNOPSIS...A upper level trough center across northern California
will eject a series of weak weather disturbances across northern
Utah and southwest Wyoming through midweek. Moisture pooled to the
south over Arizona will begin to work north into southern Utah
late in the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM (Until 06Z Saturday)...The poorly defined upper trough
over northern California/southern Oregon will continue to eject a
series of weak shortwaves east across northern Utah the next
couple of days. PWAT values forecast to hover around 1.00" across
the north will fuel scattered convection the next couple of days.
Timing of the best organized convection will remain a challenge as
the dynamic feature supporting this convection will be subtle at
best as they move east through the region.

Across the south a slow drying trend will continue over the next
couple of days. PWAT values will generally range between .50" and
.65". This moisture will be sufficient for limited diurnal
convection across the higher terrain. Temps down south will also
exhibit a warming trend owing to the drier air mass, limited
cloud cover and increasing temps aloft.

Increasing southwest flow aloft developing late in the week will
begin to draw moisture pooled across Arizona back into the Utah.
Southern Utah will be the beneficiary of this returning moisture
with a n increasing trend in convection starting late Friday or
Friday night. Moisture hanging around northern Utah will maintain
convection over the north late in the week. This convection will
likely concentrate across the far north as heights will show a
slight increase across the region and the subsequent shortwave
ejecting out of the trough to the west take a trajectory closer to
the Utah/Idaho border region.

.LONG TERM (After 06Z Saturday)...The extended period begins with
the ridge becoming amplified with an upper low spinning off the
Pacific Northwest Coast through the weekend. Several shortwaves
will keep the west-southwest flow aloft an unsettled pattern
across Utah with daily thunderstorm/shower chances.

Moving into Monday, global forecast models have been very consistent
with the deep upper low in the Pacific Northwest digging south and
east bringing colder temperatures aloft. The latest GFS run is
generating a split flow pattern with the system, and thus a drier
trend. Being the case, went more with the EC with the PoPs in the
extended, gently bumping upward across the higher elevations.
Regarding temperatures, by the end of the extended period, the EC is
bringing a sharp gradient across the northern Great Basin (not into
Utah) with 700mb temps dipping near 0C. Low confidence this will
make it into Utah, but it is worth it to note the airmass is
forecast to be nearby for mid-August.

&&

.AVIATION...

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...The moist air mass over northern Utah remains
primed to fuel scattered convection through at least Thursday.
Surface dew points remain fairly high across the north, with
additional wetting rain from the scattered convection keeping
these dew points elevated the next couple of days.

Across the south the air mass will continue on a slow drying trend
through at least Thursday. Sufficient moisture will exist for
isolated afternoon/early evening convection, with most of this
activity tied to the higher terrain.

Temperatures will continue to slowly climb through the balance of
the week. Southern Utah will see the larger increase due to the
drying of the air mass and limited cloud cover outside of
convection. Northern Utah will see a more modest increase in temps
due to more extensive cloud cover from scattered showers and
storms along with a better chance at wetting rains.

Increasing southwest flow aloft across southern Utah late in the
week will begin to draw moisture currently over Arizona back into
the state. Convection should see an uptick across the south
beginning Friday, with the upward trend continuing into the
weekend.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

SHORT TERM/FIRE WEATHER...CONGER
LONG TERM...DEWEY
AVIATION...KRUSE

For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
542 AM MDT Tue Aug 8 2017

UTZ001>016-019>021-517-518-WYZ021-091300-
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains-Wasatch Mountain Valleys-
Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-
Western Uinta Mountains-Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-
Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-San Rafael Swell-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Central Mountains-
Southern Mountains-Southwest Wyoming-
542 AM MDT Tue Aug 8 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the western two thirds of
Utah and southwest Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected across mainly
the central through northern outlook area today, while storms
will be more isolated across the south. Some of the storms could
produce locally heavy rainfall. Gusty winds may also accompany
the storms late this afternoon and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm coverage should become more confined to the northern
portions of the outlook area Wednesday. Moisture could gradually
return to the south towards the end of the week and into the
weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For information on potential road travel impacts visit...
http://www.udottraffic.utah.gov/roadweatherforecast.aspx

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
526 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

UTZ015-090015-
West Central Utah UT-
526 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL JUAB COUNTY UNTIL 615 PM
MDT...

At 526 PM MDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 25 miles south of Vernon, or 26 miles north of
Delta...moving east at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible.

Locations impacted include...
Little Sahara State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If threatening weather approaches, take shelter in a sturdy building.

&&

LAT...LON 3956 11306 3980 11308 3988 11221 3956 11219
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 267DEG 17KT 3974 11260

CRK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
547 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

UTZ001-002-005-007-090030-
Cache Valley/Utah Portion UT-Wasatch Mountains I-80 North UT-
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains UT-Northern Wasatch Front UT-
547 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CACHE AND
NORTHEASTERN BOX ELDER COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM MDT...

At 547 PM MDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm over Plymouth, or 15 miles north of Tremonton...
moving east at 20 mph.

Penny to nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be
possible.

Locations impacted include...
Logan, Cache, Smithfield, Lewiston, Clarkston, Trenton, Plymouth,
Benson, Peter, Riverside, North Logan, Hyde Park, Richmond, River
Heights, Newton, Amalga, Fielding, Cornish, Portage and Washakie.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If threatening weather approaches, take shelter in a sturdy building.

&&

LAT...LON 4172 11174 4178 11223 4199 11227 4200 11208
      4200 11173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 267DEG 16KT 4191 11217

CRK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
555 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

UTZ005-015-090045-
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains UT-West Central Utah UT-
555 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN JUAB AND
SOUTHWESTERN TOOELE COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM MDT...

At 555 PM MDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 19 miles northeast
of Ibapah to 10 miles southeast of Fish Springs Wildlife Refuge...and
moving northeast at 10 mph.

Wind gusts of 40 to 55 mph will be possible.

Locations impacted include...
Fish Springs Wildlife Refuge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If threatening weather approaches, take shelter in a sturdy building.

&&

LAT...LON 4056 11363 3977 11269 3959 11334 4018 11398
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 229DEG 9KT 4026 11378 3974 11325

CRK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
627 PM MDT TUE AUG 08 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NNE CALLAO            39.95N 113.70W
08/08/2017  M59 MPH          TOOELE             UT   MESONET

            CALLAO, UT DPG20 DUGWAY SENSOR

&&

ROGOWSKI

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
640 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

UTZ004-008-014-015-517-090130-
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80 UT-Sanpete/Sevier Valleys UT-
Central and Southwest Mountains UT-Southern Wasatch Front UT-
West Central Utah UT-
640 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL SANPETE...EAST
CENTRAL JUAB AND SOUTHERN UTAH COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM MDT...

At 639 PM MDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 7 miles southwest of Rocky Ridge, or 9 miles
northwest of Nephi...moving southeast at 25 mph.

Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible.

Locations impacted include...
Nephi, Rocky Ridge, Mona and Fountain Green.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If threatening weather approaches, take shelter in a sturdy building.

&&

LAT...LON 3982 11206 3994 11189 3966 11146 3947 11171
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 316DEG 21KT 3983 11191

CRK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
652 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

UTZ003-005-090130-
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains UT-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys UT-
652 PM MDT TUE AUG 8 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN TOOELE COUNTY UNTIL
730 PM MDT...

At 651 PM MDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 14 miles southwest of Dugway...moving east at 35
mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts of 40 to 55 mph will be possible. This
storm recently produced a wind gust of 54 mph near Causeway in
Dugway.

Locations impacted include...
Dugway.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If threatening weather approaches, take shelter in a sturdy building.

&&

LAT...LON 4003 11313 4026 11310 4028 11244 3994 11254
TIME...MOT...LOC 0051Z 273DEG 29KT 4014 11298

NC