River Flood Warning 4, NWS Shreveport, LA

817 
WGUS84 KSHV 191613
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1012 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC001-073-225-201612-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170124T0000Z/
/NCST2.1.ER.170119T1422Z.170119T1530Z.170123T0600Z.NO/
1012 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

...The flood warning extended until Monday evening...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Neches, Texas.
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 930 AM Thursday The stage was 12.1 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet. 
* Forecast...Expect little change to slight rises through Friday 
  morning as the river crests just silghtly above flood stage.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Expect minor lowland flooding of the heavily
  wooded floodplain. Ranchers that may have livestock and equipment 
  in the river bottoms should move them to higher ground.  Expect 
  minor flooding of the boat ramp.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 9551 3167 9524 3166 9537 3180 9544 3188 9548

$$

TXC005-225-373-455-457-201611-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0006.170119T1610Z-170121T2200Z/
/DIBT2.1.ER.170119T1507Z.170120T0600Z.170121T0400Z.NO/
1012 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

The flood warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Diboll, Texas.
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 915 AM Thursday The stage was 12.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.5 feet by 
  Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  late evening.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs.  Expect 
  flooded boat ramps and trails.

&&

LAT...LON 3138 9492 3107 9455 3103 9459 3111 9485 3136 9500

$$

VIII.

970 
WGUS84 KSHV 201553
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
953 AM CST FRI JAN 20 2017

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC001-073-225-211553-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170122T1930Z/
/NCST2.1.ER.170119T1422Z.170120T1800Z.170122T0130Z.NO/
953 AM CST FRI JAN 20 2017

The flood warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Neches, Texas.
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 930 AM Friday The stage was 13.3 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet. 
* Forecast...Expect little change through this Friday afternoon as 
  the Neches River crests near 13.3 feet.  The river will then fall
  below flood stage during Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding.  Move livestock and 
  equipment to higher ground away from the river.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 9551 3167 9524 3166 9537 3180 9544 3188 9548

$$

TXC005-225-373-455-457-211552-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170122T1600Z/
/DIBT2.1.ER.170119T1507Z.170120T1800Z.170121T2200Z.NO/
953 AM CST FRI JAN 20 2017

...The flood warning extended until Sunday morning...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Diboll, Texas.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 915 AM Friday The stage was 13.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12 feet. 
* Forecast... Expect little change throughout this Friday as
  the Neches River crests near 13.9 feet.  Also the river will
  fall below flood stage during Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs.  Expect 
  flooded boat ramps and trails.

&&

LAT...LON 3138 9492 3107 9455 3103 9459 3111 9485 3136 9500

$$

VIII.

780 
WGUS84 KSHV 211443
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
843 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC001-073-225-221443-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170123T0300Z/
/NCST2.1.ER.170119T1422Z.170120T1545Z.170122T0900Z.NO/
843 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

...The flood warning extended until Sunday evening...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Neches.
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Saturday The stage was 12.9 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Expect minor lowland flooding of the heavily
  wooded floodplain. Ranchers that may have livestock and equipment 
  in the river bottoms should move them to higher ground.  Expect 
  minor flooding of the boat ramp.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 9551 3167 9524 3166 9537 3180 9544 3188 9548

$$

TXC005-225-373-455-457-221442-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170123T1200Z/
/DIBT2.1.ER.170119T1507Z.170120T1530Z.170122T1800Z.NO/
843 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

...The flood warning extended until Monday morning...The flood 
warning continues for
  the Neches River Near Diboll.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:15 AM Saturday The stage was 13.4 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding occurs.  Expect 
  flooded boat ramps and trails.

&&

LAT...LON 3138 9492 3107 9455 3103 9459 3111 9485 3136 9500

$$

25

752 
WGUS84 KSHV 221605
FLSSHV


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1005 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2017

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Do not drive vehicles through flooded waterways.  Use caution when 
walking near flooded riverbanks.  Do not try to wade or swim in 
flooded rivers and bayous.

For more hydrologic information, copy and paste the following website
address into your favorite web browser URL bar:
water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=shv

&&

TXC001-073-225-221635-
/O.CAN.KSHV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170123T0300Z/
/NCST2.1.ER.170119T1422Z.170120T1545Z.170122T1300Z.NO/
1005 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2017

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Neches River Near Neches.
* At  9:30 AM Sunday The stage was 11.9 feet. 
* Fell below flood stage at  7:00 AM Sunday.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet. 
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 11.3 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...at 12.0 feet...Expect minor lowland flooding of the heavily
  wooded floodplain. Ranchers that may have livestock and equipment 
  in the river bottoms should move them to higher ground.  Expect 
  minor flooding of the boat ramp.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 9551 3167 9524 3166 9537 3180 9544 3188 9548

$$

25

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1233 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2017

.AVIATION...
Large area of convection will continue to move across the area
this aftn, and will likely bring LIFR vsbys/cigs as well as a few
isold embedded tstms. This will continue intermittently through
the overnight hours for most sites, with KTYR/KTXK possibly even
bcmg VFR before the end of the 18Z TAF pd. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1048 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Rain will persist thru the day as weak sfc low moves into ne TX.
Increased pops across se cwa to categorical as it appears heaviest
rain will begin to track across that area by later today. Lowered
temps this aftn across most of the area as morning temps have
remained near steady in thick clouds, rain, and lgt ne winds. As
sfc low moves ne, se winds over gulf will begin to shift north,
such that some portions of mainly north LA may see steady or
possibly rising temps overnight./VII/.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 447 AM CST Wed Jan 18 2017/

Corrected rainfall amounts through 00z Thursday...

A large area of rain and isolated thunderstorms continues to
spread northeast across the CWA as an upper trough over Colorado
moves into the Plains. Additional development is already occurring
to the southwest in Central Texas, and this activity will move
northeast and into our area later today. Southwesterly flow aloft
also continues to provide a rich source of deep layer moisture,
and PW values are well over 1 inch. Rain will continue for most
locations for most of the next 24 hours. Locally heavy rainfall
will be possible at times, especially across Texas and Louisiana
south of Interstate 20. A widespread flooding threat is not
anticipated, however, isolated and localized flooding could be an
issue. The bulk of the precipitation should begin to shift
eastward and should begin to diminish across Southeast Oklahoma
and portions of East Texas by noon Thursday as the upper trough
lifts north. Most of the rain should be completely east of the CWA
by Thursday evening. Additional rainfall amounts of one to three
inches are possible through 00z Friday southeast of a line from
Jacksonville, TX to Prescott, AR.

Dry weather is expected for most of Friday, but a lead shortwave
trough ahead of another potent upper level system will bring
chances for convection back to the area for Friday evening and
continuing into Saturday. The more robust upper trough will dive
southeast across the Southern Plains and towards the Southeast
CONUS by Saturday evening. Rapid lee cyclogenesis will occur and a
strong surface low and cold front will move into the region ahead
of the trough. Scattered convection should develop along the
front Saturday night and move through the area by noon Sunday,
although some wrap-around precip may linger across portions of the
area north of Interstate 20. The dynamics with this system are
quite strong, and severe weather cannot be ruled out, especially
given the steep lapse rates progged by the medium range models.

Any lingering rain should finally exit the area by midday Monday.
Shortwave ridging should bring dry weather back to the region for
the start of next week, but a longwave trough move across the
country could bring more rain chances by midweek.

/09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  57  54  68  55 / 100  80  40  10
MLU  57  53  67  55 /  90  80  80  10
DEQ  52  47  62  47 /  60  50  30  10
TXK  53  49  62  53 /  90  60  30  10
ELD  53  49  63  52 /  80  80  60  10
TYR  52  49  68  53 / 100  50  20   0
GGG  55  51  68  54 / 100  60  30  10
LFK  59  55  70  55 / 100  70  40  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CST WED JAN 18 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-191800-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
1200 PM CST WED JAN 18 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

WIDESPREAD RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WHICH
COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. HOWEVER...NO
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
THURSDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST STORMS COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS.
RAINFALL MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING COULD BE AS HIGH AS ONE TO THREE
INCHES SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM JACKSONVILLE TEXAS TO PRESCOTT
ARKANSAS.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AS
ANOTHER SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS MOVE AFFECT THE REGION. A
FEW STORMS COULD BE SEVERE LATE SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY AS THE
STRONGER UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

VII