Flash Flood Warning 16, NWS Shreveport, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1252 PM CDT Sun Jun 4 2017

.AVIATION...
Showers and thunderstorms to persist through 05/02Z across area
terminals. Light rain possible across ELD/MLU through the evening
hours. MVFR ceilings this afternoon to become VFR by 05/02Z,
becoming MVFR again after 05/06Z. Could see IFR ceilings by
05/12Z gradaully lifting during the morning hours Monday.
Otherwise, light winds to prevail across area terminals becoming
south at 4 to 6 knots on Monday and switching to the northwest
across TYR by 05/18Z. /05/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1122 AM CDT Sun Jun 4 2017/

DISCUSSION...
MCS containing extremely heavy rain moved east across se TX and
into centra/south LA. Northern edge of MCS will clip se cwa and
placed that area in 80 pops with heavy rain, tapering to 50 pops
over portions of ne TX where scattered convection beginning to
redevelop. Although some locations near heavy rain may struggle to
reach 80 degrees, believe that majority of area will see readings
reach the lower 80s./07/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  85  70  86 /  50  60  40  20
MLU  70  84  70  84 /  50  60  50  40
DEQ  68  84  67  87 /  50  60  20  10
TXK  69  84  68  87 /  50  60  20  10
ELD  69  84  68  86 /  50  60  40  20
TYR  70  84  69  87 /  50  60  30  20
GGG  70  84  69  87 /  50  60  30  20
LFK  71  85  71  87 /  50  60  30  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

05/07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1151 AM CDT Sun Jun 4 2017

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>004-010>012-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-
108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-051700-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-De Soto-Red River-
Bienville-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-
Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-Sabine-
1151 AM CDT Sun Jun 4 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, northwest Louisiana, southeast
Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected
this afternoon and into the evening once again as an upper level
low pressure system trough expands farther east across the region.
Some of these stronger storms will be capable of producing
periods of brief heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent
lightning. However, no organized threat of severe weather is
expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

This unsettled weather pattern will continue through early next
week as the upper level trough slowly shifts eastward across the
region on Monday. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will remain
likely through Monday as the upper trough orients itself directly
across the Ark-La-Tex region. Additionally, a weak cold front will
be shifting south into the region on Monday night through Tuesday
with the threat of thunderstorms finally ending Tuesday night as
the front shifts south toward the coast. Although stronger storms
will still be possible, no organized threat of severe weather is
expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

LAZ005-006-013-014-017>022-051700-
Lincoln-Union-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-
1151 AM CDT Sun Jun 4 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Louisiana and northwest Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected once again
this afternoon and evening as an upper level low expands farther
east across the region. Some of these stronger storms will be
capable of producing periods of excessively heavy rainfall, gusty
winds, and frequent lightning. Brief periods of street and low
lying area flooding are possible. However, no organized threat of
severe weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

This unsettled weather pattern will continue through early next
week as the upper level trough slowly shifts eastward across the
region on Monday. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will remain
likely through Monday as the upper trough orients itself directly
across the Ark-La-Tex region. Additionally, a weak cold front will
be shifting south into the region on Monday night through Tuesday
with the threat of thunderstorms finally ending Tuesday night as
the front shifts south toward the coast. Although stronger storms
will still be possible, no organized threat of severe weather is
expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1128 AM CDT SUN JUN 4 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 E AVERY               33.54N 94.71W
06/04/2017                   BOWIE              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TEXARKANA DPS REPORTS OVER A FOOT OF WATER
            ON HWY 82, JUST WEST OF COUNTY ROAD 3319.

&&

20