Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

October 14, 2017Crawford County, Kansas

NWS Springfield, MO issued this special weather statement at Oct 14, 2017, 7:55 PM CDT for Crawford County, Kansas. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2017, 7:55 PM CDT (00:55 UTC)
Expired
Oct 14, 2017, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
50 min
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO

County Crawford County, KS

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-10-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 306 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-10-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 168 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
306 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-165 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1608 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 14, 6:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 6:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
625 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 159 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

Showers and thunderstorms were currently ongoing across
northeastern Kansas and northern Missouri in proximity to the
cold front. This activity is expected to move south this evening
as the cold front makes its way to the southeast and into the
Ozark region late this afternoon into this evening.

Low level moisture, a strong low level jet, frontal lift and some
instability will work to bring the potential for strong to severe
storms, however the timing of the frontal passage for the region
during the overnight hours may act to limit the severe potential.
Still, there is a concern for damaging winds along the front and
associated with and down bursts that may occur. Some isolated hail
to the size of quarters may also be possible with the strongest
storms as the freezing level will be fairly low.

Cool fall high pressure will be filtering into the region behind
the cold front through the day Sunday. Despite mostly sunny skies
afternoon temperatures will struggle to reach the 60 degree mark.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 159 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

With cold high pressure over the region, overnight temperatures
will fall into the lower 40s to upper 30s under clear skies.

Sprawling high pressure will then linger over the eastern half of
the country through the end of the week as upper level flow
remains northwesterly. With sunny skies expected through the week
a slow warming trend will occur with high by Friday in the middle
70s. The next chance of rain may come late next weekend or into
the following week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 553 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

Rather complex weather situation during the first 12 hours of the
forecast period. Surface front currently extends from northern
Missouri into southwestern Kansas. Convection has fired all along
the front with several storms becoming severe.

Front is now on the move with the convection forecast to begin
moving into the area in the next 1-2 hours and begin affecting the
terminal sites between 03-06z. Ceilings and visibilities should
drop to MVFR with occasional IFR as the surface front makes its
way through the area. Winds will remain gusty overnight veering
from a southerly to a northwesterly direction with the frontal
passage.

Conditions should begin to improve after 12z with VFR conditions
expected at the terminal sites after 18z.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Gaede
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 14, 5:07 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
507 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-152215-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
507 PM CDT Sat Oct 14 2017

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 500 IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

 Elevated Hail risk.
 Elevated Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
 Significant Lightning risk.
 Limited Non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

 Thunderstorms will move into southeastern Kansas and western
 Missouri by early evening then spread across the Missouri Ozarks
 tonight.

 There is a limited to elevated risk for severe storms capable of
 producing damaging winds to 60 mph and large hail to the size of
 quarters. The greatest risk for severe weather will occur this
 evening northwest of Interstate 44.

 Southerly winds will gust to around 30 mph today and tonight
 across southeastern Kansas and southwestern Missouri ahead of
 the approaching cold front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

 Thunderstorms will end from the northwest early Sunday morning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 Spotter activation may be needed later this evening into
 tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Gaede

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 14, 7:55 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
755 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

KSZ073-097-MOZ066-077-150145-
Bourbon KS-Crawford KS-Vernon MO-Barton MO-
755 PM CDT SAT OCT 14 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN BOURBON...CRAWFORD...
NORTHWESTERN BARTON AND SOUTHWESTERN VERNON COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM
CDT...

At 755 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Hepler to 6 miles southeast of Walnut.
Movement was east at 45 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburg...                      Prairie State Park...
Nevada...                         Frontenac...
Girard...                         Arma...
Liberal...                        Mulberry...
Mindenmines...                    Franklin...
Arcadia...                        Bronaugh...
Walnut...                         Hepler...
Moundville...                     Burgess...
Beulah...                         Croweburg...
Yale...                           Farlington...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until midnight CDT for
southeastern Kansas...and west central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3770 9509 3783 9436 3744 9448 3738 9509
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 264DEG 40KT 3770 9488 3752 9501

Hatch

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFVernon47 min
Oct 14, 7:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFSt. Clair, Vernon47 min
Oct 14, 8:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFBenton, Morgan, St. Clair53 min
Oct 14, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton, Morgan44 min
Oct 14, 10:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFJasper35 min
Oct 14, 10:44 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFSt. Clair, Vernon31 min
Oct 15, 9:43 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFVernon4 days
Oct 15, 9:43 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFBourbon34 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.