Alert archive / Missouri / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

July 7, 2017Oregon County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this special weather statement at Jul 7, 2017, 9:29 PM CDT for Oregon County, Missouri. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2017, 9:29 PM CDT (02:29 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2017, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO

County Oregon County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 191 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1004 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -19 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1004 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-117 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1929 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 7, 5:51 PM CDT, 3 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 5:51 PM CDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
551 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.SHORT TERM...(tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Weak frontal boundary will move southward through southern
Missouri into this evening. Front will not be strong enough to
induce widespread upward motion but expect to see at least
isolated convection as boundary layer further warms. Questions
arise in whether the convection will be strictly diurnal in nature
as model ensembles suggest convection will last into the night as
H8 front moves slowly through. Given heat induced
instability...some stronger storms will be possible including
isolated damaging wind.

Seasonably warm yet noticeably more mild temperatures are then
expected on Saturday as a modified Canadian air mass moves through
the region.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 245 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Pops will be a tad higher on Sunday as high departs setting up
modest return flow...otherwise expect only isolated diurnal
thunderstorm chances through the coming week as the ridge flattens
across the Central Plains.

Temperatures will warm under this dome driving afternoon heat
indices upward to around 100 daily.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday evening)
Issued at 536 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Pilots can expect prevailing VFR conditions at area terminals
tonight through Saturday. Isolated storms may develop across far
southern Missouri this evening otherwise no weather impacts to
flight conditions are expected. A front will push southward across
the region tonight bringing a wind shift to the northwest.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ068-077>079-
     088>090-093-094-101-102.

KS...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KSZ101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Runnels
LONG TERM...Runnels
AVIATION...Foster
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 7, 8:35 PM CDT, 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
835 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-090145-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
835 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Limited Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will persist across far southern
Missouri this evening. The storms will impact areas generally
southeast of a Cassville to Eminence line. The strongest storms
will be capable of producing wind gusts of 50 mph, small hail and
frequent lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There will be a chance for non severe thunderstorms on
Sunday...then isolated storms possible over the coming workweek.

Heat indices will likely warm into the mid to upper 90s each
afternoon from Monday through the remainder of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Foster

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 7, 8:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
801 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     HAIL             3 W WEST BRANSON        36.70N 93.42W
07/07/2017  E1.00 INCH       STONE              MO   PUBLIC

&&

AF
Local storm report, Jul 7, 8:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
805 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             1 NW BRANSON            36.65N 93.23W
07/07/2017  E0.88 INCH       TANEY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ESTIMATED HAIL SIZE DIME TO NICKEL.

&&

AF
Local storm report, Jul 7, 8:11 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
811 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     HAIL             2 SE PURDY              36.80N 93.89W
07/07/2017  E1.00 INCH       BARRY              MO   PUBLIC

&&

AF
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 8:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
825 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

MOZ096-105-080215-
Douglas MO-Ozark MO-
825 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN OZARK AND
SOUTHEASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

At 824 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 17
miles northeast of Gainesville, or 20 miles south of Mountain Grove,
moving southeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dora...                           Rockbridge...
Sycamore...                       Drury...
Gentryville...

LAT...LON 3681 9244 3695 9231 3684 9209 3680 9210
      3679 9212 3657 9212
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 307DEG 25KT 3684 9230

Wise
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 8:45 PM CDT, 44 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
845 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

MOZ105-080215-
Ozark MO-
845 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN OZARK COUNTY UNTIL
915 PM CDT...

At 845 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Price Place, or 14 miles northwest of Bull Shoals, moving southeast
at 25 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bull Shoals Lake...               Theodosia...
Pontiac...                        Sundown...
Price Place...                    Isabella...

LAT...LON 3658 9277 3665 9265 3650 9240 3649 9254
      3650 9277
TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 319DEG 23KT 3656 9270

Wise
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 9:29 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
929 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

MOZ106-080315-
Oregon MO-
929 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN OREGON COUNTY UNTIL 1015
PM CDT...

At 928 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles east of Mammoth Spring, moving southeast at 25 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Grand Gulf State Park...          Thayer...
Mammoth Spring...                 Koshkonong...
Mammoth Spring State Park...      Myrtle...
Couch...

LAT...LON 3669 9168 3658 9112 3650 9113 3649 9124
      3650 9167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0228Z 299DEG 20KT 3654 9137

Wise

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 7:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFNewton43 min
Jul 7, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry33 min
Jul 7, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFStone26 min
Jul 7, 7:36 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFBarry4 hr
Jul 7, 7:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFTaney67 min
Jul 7, 8:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFOzark50 min
Jul 7, 8:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFOzark30 min
Jul 7, 8:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell33 min
Jul 7, 11:18 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFHowell42 min
Jul 7, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell24 min
Jul 8, 12:04 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFMcDonald26 min
Jul 8, 12:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFMcDonald51 min
Jul 8, 12:34 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFBarry41 min
Jul 8, 12:35 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFMcDonald40 min
Jul 8, 12:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, McDonald54 min
Jul 8, 12:56 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFBarry, McDonald4 hr
Jul 8, 1:45 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFMcDonald30 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Missouri, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.