Alert archive / Missouri / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

June 15, 2017Barton County, Vernon County, Missouri; Bourbon County, Crawford County, Kansas

NWS Springfield, MO issued this special weather statement at Jun 15, 2017, 8:39 PM CDT for Barton County, Vernon County, Missouri; Bourbon County, Crawford County, Kansas. It was in force for 51 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2017, 8:39 PM CDT (01:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2017, 9:30 PM CDT
In force
51 min
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO

Counties Bourbon County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barton County, MO, Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3364 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2017-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3364 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1267 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 15, 6:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 6:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
605 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Late this Afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 222 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

Our main focus will be on convection currently firing across
central Kansas. There are multiple contributing factors which
favor this convection growing upscale into a mesoscale convective
system (MCS) this evening. This includes an atmosphere which will
favor increasing thunderstorm coverage owing to a mid-level short
wave trough and a strengthening low level jet. Additionally,
strong differences in theta-e between the surface and 3 km agl
will support aggressive conglomeration of cold pools.

This system should take on forward propagating characteristics and
move southeast towards western Missouri this evening. Thus, we
have continued the mention of damaging winds and perhaps some
large hail from this MCS. This system should become increasingly
outflow dominant with time as it moves east across portions of
the Ozarks. Thus, the severe threat will wane the farther east you
go across the region.

Thunderstorm chances then appear to be rather low for Friday once
any remaining morning activity clears the area. We will have to
watch for any remaining outflow boundaries, however the presence
of short wave ridging should inhibit initiation over most areas.
Friday again looks very warm with highs in the upper 80s to lower
90s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 222 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

The setup again looks favorable for MCS development Friday night,
but farther to the north from northern Kansas into southeastern
Nebraska and western Iowa. This system should then track southeast
and impact portions of central Missouri and the Missouri Ozarks.
There will again be a threat for damaging winds and perhaps some
hail with this activity.

Saturday then looks very warm and dry before a cold front pushes
through the area from Saturday night into Sunday morning. Chances
for showers and thunderstorms look pretty good for much of the
area with this frontal passage as upper level energy dives
southeast into the Great Lakes and Corn Belt. At this point, it is
tough to say when precipitation will clear out of the area on
Sunday.

Drier weather and cooler temperatures can then be expected to
start next work week. There is a weak signal for more
thunderstorm potential by midweek. Temperatures should warm back
up to near normal by Tuesday and especially Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Thunderstorms now over central KS will shift
southeast into the region within a few hours. Strong outflow wind
gusts will accompany these storms, especially over the Joplin
area. MVFR/brief IFR visibility with heavy rain can also be
expected. Ceilings will vary with the storms, but will generally
be vfr with periods of MVFR.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...DSA
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 7:34 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 8:39 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 7:30 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFCedar35 hr
Jun 15, 11:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFMcDonald, Newton49 min
Jun 16, 3:26 AM CDTHeat AdvisorySGFBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 15 more39 hr
Jun 15, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford53 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Missouri, 2017Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.