Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Springfield, MO

140 
WWUS53 KSGF 220303
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1003 PM CDT TUE MAR 21 2017

MOC067-213-220312-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-170322T0315Z/
Douglas MO-Taney MO-
1003 PM CDT TUE MAR 21 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN DOUGLAS AND
NORTHEASTERN TANEY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3669 9277 3680 9276 3680 9235 3657 9246
TIME...MOT...LOC 0302Z 288DEG 23KT 3677 9265 

$$

MOC153-220315-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-170322T0315Z/
Ozark MO-
1003 PM CDT TUE MAR 21 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN OZARK COUNTY...

At 1002 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 12 miles south of
Ava, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. 

Locations impacted include...
Gainesville...                    Wasola...
Thornfield...                     Brixey...
Noble...                          Willhoit...
Rockbridge...                     

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3669 9277 3680 9276 3680 9235 3657 9246
TIME...MOT...LOC 0302Z 288DEG 23KT 3677 9265 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Burchfield

655 
WWUS53 KSGF 220315
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1015 PM CDT TUE MAR 21 2017

MOC153-220325-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-170322T0315Z/
Ozark MO-
1015 PM CDT TUE MAR 21 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN OZARK COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.  However small
hail is still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3669 9277 3680 9276 3680 9235 3657 9246
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 283DEG 25KT 3675 9255 

$$

Burchfield

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
717 PM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017

Showers and a few thunderstorms developed across much of the
region this morning and into the afternoon hours. A few elevated
storms were able to reach severe limits. Much of what's left
early this afternoon is showers and storms within area of
strongest isentropic upglide and ascent within an upper level
impulse sliding southeastward.

Through the afternoon and into the evening, short term models are
hinting at some additional development. RAP shows around 500-1000
J/KG of instability across much of the region, although it should
be noted the RAP's CAPE values have been under-performing (to say
the least). Elevated instability, a boundary (as seen on visible)
dropping southward, and subtle isentropic support will help kick
off additional activity along or just south of the HWY 54
corridor. This activity should begin to shift southward through
the late afternoon and evening.

Although no widespread severe weather is anticipated, a
few marginally severe hail reports can't be ruled. The best shower
and storm potential will end up settling further south along the
MO/Ark border through the overnight and into Wednesday morning.

With the surface front remaining just to our south through
Wednesday, we will keep at least some mention of rainfall with
overrunning, but at the moment there is no signal for anything
more than scattered coverage.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 257 PM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017

The front to our south, which should keep our region in the cool
sector through much of the short term should slowly move
northward as heights aloft begin to increase. Still, proximity of
the frontal boundary along with subtle H5 impulses should help
keep the rain chances nonzero through Thursday.

A potent upper level system will begin to slide eastward toward
the Missouri Ozarks and southeast Kansas by Friday. A deep surface
low will develop in the high plains region and slide generally
along and slightly north of the I44 corridor through late
Saturday.

Showers and Thunderstorms will develop along or just ahead of the
cold front. Although instability looks very marginal at this
time, wind dynamics and bulk shear will be supportive of at least
an isolated wind threat late Friday. Post frontal showers/storms
are then expected as the upper level low slowly moves through the
region by early Sunday. Some of these storms may have a hail risk.

Just as the weekend storm moves out, another mid level wave will
begin to slide across the plains late Sunday and into Monday.
Being in the warm sector, we'll need to keep our eyes open for
more strong storms during this time. Similar to the earlier
system, instability looks marginal with slightly limited moisture.

The end of the period, we'll finally get a small break as upper
level ridging takes place on Tuesday/Wednesday before our next
potent mid-level trough takes shape across the Rockies.

The good news is our current pattern will bring several
opportunities for much needed rainfall across the area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 651 PM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017

After a front moved through the area earlier today, surface winds
were out of the northeast and gusty. VFR ceilings around 5kft
will continue into this evening as a mid level boundary moves
south through the region. This will bring the potential for some
additional showers or an isolated storm to the Ozarks during the
evening and overnight hours. Ceilings are expected to remain VFr
through the forecast period as the front from earlier today
wanders north and south across northern Arkansas.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Frye
LONG TERM...Frye
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
811 PM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-230115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
811 PM CDT Tue Mar 21 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Limited Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  An isolated storm or two may develop this evening as a mid
  level boundary slides south through the Ozarks. Any
  thunderstorms may produce small hail along with cloud to
  ground lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

  Brisk and gusty southerly winds will likely return to western
  Missouri and southeastern Kansas late this work week. Wind
  gusts over 30 mph appear increasingly likely Thursday and
  Friday.

  A strong storm system will approach and track through the
  region Friday and into Saturday bringing better widespread
  chances for storms. There may be a severe storm potential late
  Friday with strong damaging winds possible. Saturday,
  additional storms are expected with hail being the primary
  threat.

  Another storm system will push into the region late Sunday and
  into Monday bring additional thunderstorm chances.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Hatch

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
452 PM CDT TUE MAR 21 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     LIGHTNING        5 E SPRINGFIELD         37.20N 93.20W
03/21/2017                   GREENE             MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A LIGHTNING STRUCK A TREE WHICH CAUSED THE TREE TO
            EXPLODE AND SHATTER. TWO CARS UNDER A CARPORT NEAR THE
            TREE WERE SMASHED BY LARGE LIMBS AND THE TRUNK, INCLUDING
            THE CARPORT. NEARBY WINDOWS OF A HOUSE WERE WINDOW BUSTED
            OUT BY FLYING DEBRIS FROM THE LIGHTNING STRIKE. TIME WAS
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

MGRIFFIN