Severe Thunderstorm Warning 311, NWS Springfield, MO

581 
WWUS53 KSGF 102119
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
419 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

MOC029-169-102128-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0311.000000T0000Z-170810T2130Z/
Pulaski MO-Camden MO-
419 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN PULASKI AND
SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning has
been cancelled.  However small hail is still possible with this
thunderstorm.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Springfield.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
WESTERN pULASKI COUNTY UNTIL 4:30 pm. 

LAT...LON 3794 9226 3775 9241 3786 9241 3782 9246
      3782 9251 3789 9261 3803 9255
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 302DEG 9KT 3788 9244 

$$

Hatch

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
214 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 213 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Cyclonic northwest flow aloft continues across the area and
appears to continue through early next week. Shortwave energy was
pushing through the area today and has brought scattered
showers/thunderstorms to the CWA, mainly across the eastern half
of the area. PW values have increased over the past 24 hours with
over 1.5" throughout the area and has led to some pretty good
rainfall rates with the showers convection today.

With the overall pattern not changing much through early next
week, we are expecting a series of upper level shortwaves to
interact with the increasing moisture content over the area for
periodic showers and thunderstorms with good rainfall rates. The
northwest flow, cloud cover and rain chances will keep
temperatures below normal through the period.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Ongoing convection will continue to slide east and out of the area
by this evening. Additional convection in association with the
next shortwave will begin moving into the western CWA this evening
and continuing into Friday across the area. The heaviest rain
looks like it will affect the southwest CWA and down into
Oklahoma. There is currently a marginal risk of severe storms
across the western CWA as the storms move in from the west later
this evening. This will mainly be sub-severe wind gusts and small
hail.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 213 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

As mentioned above, the pattern will likely not change much into
early next week with several waves of energy moving through the
region, each producing convection with the potential of heavy
rain. As with this initial disturbance, future shortwaves will
bring the highest qpf to the southwestern half of the CWA where
3-4 inches of rain will be possible through early next week. QPF
amounts will taper off significantly across the northeast portion
of the CWA. Will need to monitor the rainfall amounts with these
features for the potential of flooding later in the weekend, but
current amounts of QPF are spread out over several days and
shouldn't cause any widespread flooding. If the axis of heaviest
precipitation begins to shift northeast however, then we might
have to ramp up the flooding potential.

At this point, it looks like Tuesday might provide the area with
the best chance at a rain free day before we get back into the
parade of shower/thunderstorm chances by mid to late week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will generally affect areas
from SGF down to BBG and east this afternoon. Therefore have kept
VCTS for those sites however did leave out JLN for now. Outside of
thunderstorms, VFR conditions will prevail. Most showers and
storms will diminish after 00z. Additional showers and
thunderstorms will then move into the area after 06Z and last
through the early morning hours Friday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Burchfield

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
338 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-112045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
338 PM CDT Thu Aug 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited Hail risk.
  Limited Thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant Lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms are expected from late this afternoon
through this evening. Coverage of thunderstorms may then increase
late tonight, especially from extreme southeastern Kansas into
southwestern Missouri.

Cloud to ground lightning and brief heavy rainfall will be the
primary potential hazards. A few storms will also be capable of
producing hail up to the size of nickels and wind gusts to 50 mph
this evening and overnight across western Missouri and extreme
southeastern Kansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorms will then remain possible at times from Friday
through next Wednesday. Some locally heavy rainfall will be
possible across extreme southeastern Kansas and far southwestern
Missouri. The heaviest rainfall during this time period is
expected just to the south and west of the outlook area across
northeastern Oklahoma.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
340 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

MOZ069-081-102115-
Camden MO-Laclede MO-
340 PM CDT THU AUG 10 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL LACLEDE AND
SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

At 340 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northwest of Richland, or 11 miles southeast of Camdenton,
moving southeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Lake of The Ozarks State Park...  Richland...
Stoutland...                      Montreal...
Wet Glaize...                     Freedom...

This includes Interstate 44 between mile markers 142 and 143.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 9253 3803 9252 3802 9251 3802 9247
      3800 9241 3773 9241 3791 9269 3806 9257
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 302DEG 9KT 3793 9255

Hatch