Severe Thunderstorm Warning 7, NWS Riverton, WY

239 
WWUS55 KRIW 052249
SVSRIW

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
449 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

WYC019-043-052315-
/O.CON.KRIW.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170605T2315Z/
Johnson-Washakie-
449 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL JOHNSON AND NORTHEASTERN WASHAKIE COUNTIES...

At 446 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Dullknife
Reservoir, which is 14 miles east of Ten Sleep, moving east at 15
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

This severe storm remain generally between Powder River Pass and 
Rome Hill Road.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4392 10731 4413 10739 4417 10722 4417 10715
      4418 10715 4423 10694 4397 10687
TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 268DEG 13KT 4405 10715 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

21

988 
WWUS55 KRIW 052306
SVSRIW

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
506 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

WYC019-043-052315-
/O.CON.KRIW.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170605T2315Z/
Johnson-Washakie-
506 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL JOHNSON AND EAST CENTRAL WASHAKIE COUNTIES...

At 505 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located just southwest of 
Dullknife Reservoir along Rome Hill Road on the Washakie and Johnson 
County Border, which is 17 miles east of Ten Sleep, moving southeast 
at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of west 
central Johnson and east central Washakie Counties, including the 
following locations: Lower Doyle Creek Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4403 10733 4410 10720 4412 10706 4412 10695
      4397 10687 4392 10731
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 301DEG 9KT 4395 10711 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

21

886 
WWUS55 KRIW 052315
SVSRIW

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
515 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

WYC019-043-052323-
/O.EXP.KRIW.SV.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170605T2315Z/
Johnson-Washakie-
515 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL JOHNSON AND EAST
CENTRAL WASHAKIE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 515 PM MDT...
        
The severe thunderstorm warning for west central Johnson and east 
central Washakie Counties through 515 PM, has been replaced by 
another severe thunderstorm warning through 6 PM to the south of the 
original areas.

LAT...LON 4403 10733 4410 10720 4412 10706 4412 10695
      4397 10687 4392 10731
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 260DEG 11KT 4395 10708 

$$

21

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Riverton WY
211 PM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 211 PM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

Cold front pushing south through our central zones attm and this may
set the stage for some strong evening thunderstorms over sern
Fremont over into swrn Natrona. Sw winds ahead of the front to the
south converge with the n winds in the Wind River Basin and e-ne
winds moving swwd into swrn Natrona county leading to strong
convergence where they meet over sern Fremont County this evening.
Thunderstorms may also form and move off the south end of the Winds
and meet up with these storm before they start moving off to the ne
through Natrona County. We could get some late evening right
entrance region jet support to keep these going as they move ne
overnight. Other storms will be around central wyo but most will
need upper support or orographic/convergence near the mtns to break
the cap behind the front. On Tuesday, the front is stalled out near
the swrn corner of Wyoming with some building cape over swrn
Wyoming. We could also get some evening support from an approaching
disturbance in the sw flow. A few stronger storms are possible in
the sw late Tue/Tue evening. Several ripples in the flow including
our Tuesday night one may keep some nocturnal showers going
overnight Tuesday night into Wednesday morning before convection
builds again Wednesday over the mountains with a few storms making
it to the lower elevations. On Thursday, the ridge builds overhead
with warming mid level temps and little or now convection. Maybe a
few over the higher mountains, mainly north but the main focus will
be very warm to hot again and breezy from the central zones
westward. H7 temps could soar near or above 15C around the central
basins late Thursday. 15C equates to around 90 at 5K feet. Combine
that with some breezy afternoon winds and snowmelt will be rapid.
This will continue into the medium-range period

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 211 PM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

Large scale upper-level low will approach the Pacific Northwest
Coast Thursday night and Friday. Medium-range models in good
agreement with the timing and location of this upper-low as we
head through the weekend. Ahead of this feature, warm, windy
pre-frontal southwest flow will be in place. 700mb temperatures
will approach +16C, so basin temperatures in the 90s and mountain
temperatures 65-75F are a good bet. The wind will work to boost
highs a degree or two, so have increased Friday maximums. Have
also adjusted winds upward several mph from model blended
guidance, and it still may be windier than what is currently
forecast. Combination of warm, windy conditions will provide
another day for efficient snowmelt between 9K-10K feet. This will
be the final push of water for now, as a cold front will track east
across the forecast area Friday night. 700mb temperatures fall
several degrees Saturday, especially across western Wyoming.
Best chance for precipitation Friday night and Saturday will be
across northwest Wyoming as the upper low moves into southern
Alberta and impulses rotate northeast into Wyoming. Precipitation
looks to be more widespread, particularly across the northwest and
north, Sunday and Monday. ECMWF forecast for both Saturday and
Sunday is more aggressive in bringing even cooler air across the
forecast area. Regardless, there will be a 20-25 degree cool-down
between Friday and Sunday. In fact, it will be cool enough late
Saturday night and Sunday night for light snow to fall on the
higher mountain peaks. Looks like the trough axis will shift east
of our area for Monday with cooler northwest flow to prevail
through Monday. This will favor the best chance of precipitation
to remain across the northern-third of the state.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday)
Issued at 211 PM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

West of the Continental Divide...KBPI/KJAC/KPNA/KRKS Terminals

VFR conditions are anticipated through 00Z/Wed. Ongoing convection
will provide the best chance for thunder at KBPI and KPNA through
00Z-01Z/Tue. Could be some brief MVFR with localized convection
along with occasional mountain top obscurations, mainly over the
Wind River Range. Some showers will move off the Uinta Mountains
and into Sweetwater County during the same time. KJAC will remain
dry. A cold front east of the Continental Divide will backdoor into
KRKS around 04Z/Tue providing a gusty east-northeast wind of 15-20kts.
Diurnally and orographically driven convection possible over the
western mountains Tuesday after 20Z. Main hazard would be gusty
outflow wind to 35kts.

East of the Continental Divide...KCOD/KCPR/KLND/KRIW/KWRL Terminals

Conditions through the forecast period will remain VFR. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening could produce
small hail and gusty outflow wind to 40kts. Best chance will come
around KCOD this afternoon and around KCPR late this afternoon and
evening. Cold front pushing south through all terminals by 00Z/Tue
will focus and enhance convection. Gusty north wind of 10-20kts will
follow frontal passage. Some localized MVFR conditions possible during
the 21Z/Mon to 03Z/Tue time frame in association with the strongest
convection, particularly around KCPR. Mid-level cloud cover will
linger overnight with showers persisting until around 12Z/Tue in the
east. Convection late Tuesday will generally be tied to the terrain
with little impact to the terminals. KCOD and KCPR would be the most
likely candidates for isolated showers given their proximity to the
higher terrain.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued AT 211 PM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

A cold front pushing south across the area will aid in some stronger
evening thunderstorms for parts of central wyoming, mainly in
eastern 283, 289 and southern 280. A chance of showers/storms will
cover much of Central Wyoming into at least this evening. On
Tuesday, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop in the
mountains with more isolated coverage across the lower elevations
and mainly near and west of the divide. Mixing heights will only be
fair to good east of the divide but generally very good west of the
divide. On Wednesday, more scattered showers/thunderstorms will fire
over the high country with a few more making it across the lower
elevations with gusty wind. Thursday and Friday will see rapidly
warming temperatures, increasing wind and lowering min rh's. Fire
danger will increase significantly for the lower elevations of
the central and southern district.

&&

.RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through late Tuesday night for WYZ002-013-025-026.

&&

SHORT TERM...Skrbac
LONG TERM...Jones
AVIATION...Jones
FIRE WEATHER...Skrbac

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Riverton WY
240 AM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

WYZ001>020-022>030-061100-
Yellowstone National Park-Absaroka Mountains-Cody Foothills-
North Big Horn Basin-Southwest Big Horn Basin-
Southeast Big Horn Basin-Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-
Bighorn Mountains West-Bighorn Mountains Southeast-
Northeast Johnson County-Southeast Johnson County-
Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains-Jackson Hole-
Wind River Mountains West-Wind River Mountains East-
Upper Wind River Basin-Wind River Basin-Lander Foothills-
Green Mountains and Rattlesnake Range-
Natrona County Lower Elevations-Casper Mountain-Star Valley-
Salt River and Wyoming Ranges-Upper Green River Basin Foothills-
Upper Green River Basin-South Lincoln County-
Rock Springs and Green River-Flaming Gorge-East Sweetwater County-
240 AM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

...Flood Watches and Warnings Covers Parts of Central and Western
Wyoming...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Western and Central Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A few stronger thunderstorms are possible over central Wyoming
this afternoon and evening, especially around Eastern Fremont,
Johnson, and Natrona Counties. Area streams and rivers will
remain high with flooding concerns continuing for some areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Saturday

Tuesday...Isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms.

Wednesday and Thursday...Isolated afternoon and evening showers
and thunderstorms.

Thursday and Friday will see very warm temperatures again. This
will increase snow melt in the higher mountain elevations and the
likelihood of some flooding will exist once again.

Saturday...A slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms in the
west. A chance of snow above 9000 feet in Northwest Wyoming. Much
cooler temperatures expected Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please report any flooding, or thunderstorm wind gusts over 50
mph, or hail.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
218 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

WYZ005-007-052045-
Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-Southwest Big Horn Basin-
218 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL HOT SPRINGS COUNTY
UNTIL 245 PM MDT...

At 218 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Thermopolis, moving east at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Thermopolis, Lucerne, East Thermopolis, Kirby and Hot Springs
  State Park around 245 PM MDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Riverton.

&&

LAT...LON 4382 10810 4357 10807 4359 10850 4377 10851
      4383 10819
TIME...MOT...LOC 2018Z 266DEG 16KT 4369 10840

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
248 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

WYZ005>008-052115-
Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-Southeast Big Horn Basin-Southwest
Big Horn Basin-Bighorn Mountains West-
248 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOT SPRINGS AND
CENTRAL WASHAKIE COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM MDT...

At 247 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Thermopolis, moving east at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Thermopolis, Lucerne, East Thermopolis and Hot Springs State Park
  around 300 PM MDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Riverton.

If on or near water, move indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember,
lightning can strike out to 10 miles from the parent thunderstorm.
If you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by
lightning. Move to safe shelter now! Do not be caught on the water
in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4347 10827 4385 10829 4387 10746 4347 10755
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 283DEG 11KT 4364 10826

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
304 PM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

WYZ010-011-052215-
Northeast Johnson County-Southeast Johnson County-
Including the cities of Buffalo and Kaycee
304 PM MDT Mon Jun 5 2017

...Thunderstorms expected to strengthen by 4 PM in Johnson
County...

Thunderstorms developing over the southern end of the Bighorn
Mountains at 3 PM MDT will move east onto the plains of Johnson
County by 4 PM. These storms are expected to strengthen during the
hour with hail up to the size of pennies and wind gusts to 40 mph
possible. Storms will also increase in coverage and intensity over
the northern portion of the county.

Motorists traveling I-25 through Johnson County should
be prepared for brief heavy rain and small hail. Move indoors if
you hear thunder!

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
308 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

WYZ004-052145-
North Big Horn Basin-
308 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL BIG HORN COUNTY
UNTIL 345 PM MDT...

At 308 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Basin, moving east at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Manderson around 320 PM MDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Midway Golf Course and
Big Horn County Fairgrounds.

LAT...LON 4441 10772 4438 10769 4417 10773 4417 10817
      4442 10812
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 278DEG 17KT 4432 10804

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
327 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

WYZ005-007-052200-
Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-Southwest Big Horn Basin-
327 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOT SPRINGS COUNTY
UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

At 327 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Thermopolis, moving east at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Thermopolis, East Thermopolis and Hot Springs State Park around
  340 PM MDT.

LAT...LON 4348 10833 4366 10835 4373 10798 4346 10796
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 265DEG 12KT 4358 10825

13

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Riverton WY
426 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

WYZ008>011-052315-
Southeast Johnson County-Bighorn Mountains Southeast-Northeast
Johnson County-Bighorn Mountains West-
426 PM MDT MON JUN 5 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL JOHNSON AND
NORTHEASTERN WASHAKIE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM MDT...

At 426 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Powder River Pass, which is 16 miles east of Ten Sleep, moving east
at 25 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Dullknife Reservoir around 430 PM MDT.
  Powder River Pass around 435 PM MDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4400 10719 4417 10726 4432 10682 4406 10671
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 253DEG 21KT 4411 10713

21