Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 7, NWS Raleigh, NC

April 24, 2017Davidson County, Davie County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Apr 24, 2017, 5:38 AM EDT for Davidson County, Davie County, North Carolina. It took effect at Apr 24, 2017, 1:24 PM EDT. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 24, 2017, 5:38 AM EDT (09:38 UTC)
In effect from: Apr 24, 2017, 1:24 PM EDT
Expired: Apr 26, 2017, 10:35 PM EDT
In force: 57 hr
Issued by: NWS Raleigh, NC
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Yadkin River at Yadkin College (YADN7). The gauge peaked at 26.00 ft at Apr 25, 2017, 9:00 PM EDT.

Action stage: 17 ft
Minor stage: 18 ft
Moderate stage: 25 ft
Major stage: 29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02116500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

324
WGUS42 KRAH 240938
FLWRAH

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
538 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie
Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

NCC057-059-242138-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0007.170424T2117Z-170427T0100Z/
/YADN7.1.ER.170424T2117Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1300Z.NO/
538 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Flood Warning for
The Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* from this afternoon to Wednesday evening, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 5:00 AM Monday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late
this afternoon and continue to rise to near 24.6 feet by tomorrow
evening.The river will fall below flood stage by late Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The upper campsites at the Thousand Trail Preserve off US 64 begin to flood.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri

Yadkin River
Yadkin College 18 12.2 Mon 05 AM 12.5 22.7 19.1 7.5 6.7

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
3575 8054 3598 8045

8 follow-up statements

346 
WGUS42 KRAH 241435
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
1035 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...

  Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie 
  Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC057-059-250235-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.170424T1724Z-170426T2024Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1724Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0824Z.NO/
1035 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* until Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by this 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 26.5 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Several homes along the river begin to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Yadkin River
 Yadkin College   18  16.3 Mon 10 AM  25.1  12.3   5.1   4.8   5.6


&&

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
          3575 8054 3598 8045         

$$

KDS

043
WGUS82 KRAH 250256
FLSRAH

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...

Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

Rocky River Near Norwood affecting Anson and Stanly Counties

Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

NCC057-059-251456-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170426T2212Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1012Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At 10:00 PM Monday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by
tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Several homes along the river begin to flood.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Flooding closes Sowers Road near Linwood and
Hollywood Drive at Grub Ferry road. A campground on Hannah Ferry
Road is flooded. Flooding also threatens the pumping station at
Davidson, Incorporated.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The upper campsites at the Thousand Trails
Preserve off US64 begin to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Lower level primitive campsites at the
Thousand Trails Preserve off US64 begin to flood.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Yadkin River
Yadkin Col 18 20.4 Mon 10 PM 23.4 16.3 8.0 7.4 6.7

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
3575 8054 3598 8045

NCC037-105-251456-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T1552Z-170427T2100Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T1552Z.170426T0600Z.170427T0900Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
the Deep River At Moncure.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 9:45 PM Monday the stage was 3.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow late
morning and continue to rise to near 9.9 feet by early Wednesday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421
in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river
gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately
adjacent to the river.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Cape Fear
Moncure 9 3.6 Mon 10 PM 7.9 9.6 8.8 6.0 4.5

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939

NCC001-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170426T1650Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170425T0721Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0450Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River At Haw River.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow
and continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by tomorrow afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding reaches the
base of the water treatment plant building.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right
bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water
treatment plant.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Haw River
Haw River 18 14.9 Mon 10 PM 20.4 15.1 9.6 7.1 5.5

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
3604 7944 3613 7954

NCC037-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0451Z-170427T1048Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0451Z.170426T0000Z.170426T2248Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River Near Bynum.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by after midnight
tomorrow and continue to rise to near 14.4 feet by tomorrow
evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but
flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and
pastureland along the river.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It
floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Haw River
Bynum 11 10.6 Mon 10 PM 12.7 13.1 9.2 7.2 6.2

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
3585 7930

NCC051-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170425T1251Z-170428T0508Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170425T1251Z.170426T0600Z.170427T1708Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
the Little River At Manchester.
* from Tuesday morning to late Thursday night, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
morning and continue to rise to near 20.3 feet by early Wednesday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early
afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Lower Little River
Manchester 18 14.2 Mon 10 PM 17.8 20.2 18.6 15.7 13.7

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898

NCC007-167-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170426T0352Z/
/NRWN7.1.ER.170425T0900Z.170425T1200Z.170425T1552Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
the Rocky River Near Norwood.
* At 10:45 PM Monday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow
and continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by tomorrow morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. There is significant
overflow into adjacent pasture and lowlands.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river gage site is inundated and
inaccessible.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Rocky River
Norwood 20 17.2 Mon 11 PM 21.1 13.3 4.7 4.3 4.0

LAT...LON 3525 8027 3521 8015 3519 8004 3511 8009
3515 8028

NCC069-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1548Z-170427T0809Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1548Z.170426T1800Z.170426T2009Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday morning to late Wednesday night, or until the
warning is cancelled.
* At 9:46 PM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding begins in
Pruitt and Shannon Villages on the east side of town.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main
Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated
along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street.
Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
Street.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Tar River
Louisburg 20 7.8 Mon 10 PM 11.1 19.6 17.3 11.3 8.5

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
3606 7830 3613 7838

NCC065-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0000Z.170429T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 10:15 PM Monday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday
evening and continue to rise to near 22.5 feet by Saturday early
afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins in Tarboro. River
Road is underwater and flooding begins on east Wilson and St David
Streets.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel
Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Tar River
Tarboro 19 4.0 Mon 10 PM 5.6 12.6 17.4 20.6 22.4

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
3590 7756 3593 7761

397 
WGUS82 KRAH 250857
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
457 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC057-059-252057-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170426T2017Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0817Z.NO/
457 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At 4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 22.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.2 feet this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Several homes along the river begin to flood.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Flooding closes Sowers Road near Linwood and 
  Hollywood Drive at Grub Ferry road. A campground on Hannah Ferry 
  Road is flooded. Flooding also threatens the pumping station at 
  Davidson, Incorporated.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The upper campsites at the Thousand Trails 
  Preserve off US64 begin to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   

Yadkin River
 Yadkin College   18  22.7 Tue 04 AM  12.2   5.8   4.8   4.7      


&&

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
          3575 8054 3598 8045         

$$

105 
WGUS82 KRAH 251439
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1039 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC057-059-260239-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170426T2033Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170426T0000Z.170426T0833Z.NO/
1039 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.1 feet this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Water threatens several homes along the
  river.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Flooding closes Sowers Road near Linwood and 
  Hollywood Drive at Grub Ferry road. A campground on Hannah Ferry 
  Road is flooded. Flooding also threatens the pumping station at 
  Davidson, Incorporated.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The upper campsites at the Thousand Trails 
  Preserve off US64 begin to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Yadkin River
 Yadkin College   18  24.7 Tue 10 AM  12.9   5.9   4.9   4.7   4.5


&&

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
          3575 8054 3598 8045         

$$

214 
WGUS82 KRAH 260230
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017





...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Cape Fear River At Lillington affecting Harnett County


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Fishing Creek At Enfield affecting Edgecombe...Halifax and Nash 
  Counties

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

  Tar River At Rocky Mount affecting Edgecombe County

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

  Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-261430-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170428T0328Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.170425T0322Z.170426T0600Z.170427T1528Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.9 feet 
  late tomorrow night. The river will fall below flood stage late
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Castleberry Road off NC42 is flooded and 
  water floods the parking lot of East Clayton Elementary School. 
  Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of the bridge on Covered 
  Bridge Road.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  18.8 Tue 09 PM    19.0  10.1   5.1   4.6   5.8


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-261430-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170428T2337Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.170425T0615Z.170426T1800Z.170428T1137Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by 
  tomorrow afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  20.7 Tue 09 PM    23.5  22.0  14.9  11.0  11.8


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-261430-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.170426T2136Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.170426T2136Z.170501T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Wednesday afternoon until further notice, or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 23.3 feet by Sunday evening.
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  14.7 Tue 09 PM    17.0  19.1  20.7  22.0  22.8


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC069-261430-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170428T0234Z/
/LOUN7.2.ER.170426T0100Z.170426T1800Z.170427T1434Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* At 10:01 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.2 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Major flood stage. Homes and businesses along
  Johnson Street flood. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding begins in 
  Pruitt and Shannon Villages on the east side of town.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main 
  Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated 
  along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street. 
  Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
  Street.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Tar River
  Louisburg   20  20.3 Tue 10 PM    21.8  20.6  13.2   9.4   7.7


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

NCC065-261430-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170430T0600Z/
/ROKN7.3.ER.170425T1614Z.170427T0600Z.170429T1800Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Rocky Mount.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by 
  early Thursday morning. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Spruce Street at NC97 is flooded.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, East Virginia Street floods east of the 
  wastewater plant.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, The on-ramps to US64 at NC97 begin to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Tar River
  Rocky Moun  21  24.1 Tue 10 PM    24.7  26.2  23.3  21.4  19.0


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7761 3594 7780 3588 7786
          3591 7790 3599 7780         

$$

NCC065-261430-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170426T1554Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.2.ER.170426T1554Z.170428T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from Wednesday morning until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  9:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow late 
  morning and continue to rise to near 31.3 feet by Friday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Major flood stage. Baker and St James Street 
  begin to flood.
* Impact...At 26.6 feet, This is the stage reached during hurricane 
  Fran on September 15, 1996.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins in Tarboro. River 
  Road is underwater and flooding begins on east Wilson and St David 
  Streets.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
  River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Tar River
  Tarboro     19  13.0 Tue 09 PM    17.7  27.4  31.0  30.3  27.8


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$

NCC001-261430-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170426T2115Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.170425T0522Z.170425T1716Z.170426T0915Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* At 10:01 PM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding reaches the 
  base of the water treatment plant building.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Haw River
  Haw River   18  21.9 Tue 10 PM    16.4  10.2   7.6   5.9   4.9


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-261429-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170427T1012Z/
/BYNN7.2.ER.170425T0259Z.170425T2201Z.170426T2212Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At 10:16 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Haw River
  Bynum       11  15.8 Tue 10 PM    13.2   9.2   7.2   6.3   5.7


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC057-059-261429-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170426T1937Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170426T0145Z.170426T0737Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The upper campsites at the Thousand Trails 
  Preserve off US64 begin to flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Yadkin River
  Yadkin Col  18  25.8 Tue 10 PM    11.0   7.1   6.2   5.7   5.5


&&

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
          3575 8054 3598 8045         

$$

NCC037-105-260300-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170426T1200Z/
/MONN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* At  9:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 8.9 feet. The 
  river will fall to 4.7 feet by Thursday.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9   7.7 Tue 10 PM     6.9   4.7   4.1   3.2   2.8


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC085-260300-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170426T1200Z/
/LLLN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cape Fear River At Lillington.
* At 10:01 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 13.3 feet. The 
  river will fall to 7.1 feet by Thursday.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Action stage. The river is at bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
  Lillington  14  12.9 Tue 10 PM    11.7   7.1   5.6   5.0   5.6


&&

LAT...LON 3549 7885 3537 7867 3525 7865 3526 7876
          3532 7877 3543 7892         

$$

NCC051-261429-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0014.170426T1800Z-170427T0600Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.170426T1800Z.170426T1800Z.170426T1800Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night, or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 29.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  29.1 Tue 10 PM    33.8  28.2  19.8  17.3  16.9


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC065-083-127-261429-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0011.170426T0356Z-170428T1200Z/
/EFDN7.1.ER.170426T0356Z.170426T1800Z.170428T0000Z.NO/
1030 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Fishing Creek At Enfield.
* until Friday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 16.7 feet by tomorrow afternoon.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Fishing Creek
  Enfield     16  15.8 Tue 10 PM    16.6  16.4  15.2  12.4   9.6


&&

LAT...LON 3617 7781 3616 7766 3608 7749 3603 7754
          3610 7767 3611 7783         

$$

317 
WGUS82 KRAH 260916
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

  Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County

  Fishing Creek At Enfield affecting Edgecombe...Halifax and Nash 
  Counties

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

  Tar River At Rocky Mount affecting Edgecombe County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-262116-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170428T0328Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.170425T0322Z.170426T0745Z.170427T1528Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Castleberry Road off NC42 is flooded and 
  water floods the parking lot of East Clayton Elementary School. 
  Flooding reaches the lower concrete span of the bridge on Covered 
  Bridge Road.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  19.3 Wed 04 AM    19.0  10.1   5.1   4.6   5.8


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-262115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170428T2337Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.170425T0615Z.170426T1800Z.170428T1137Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  22.4 Wed 04 AM    23.5  22.0  14.9  11.0  11.8


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-262115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0015.170426T2136Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.170426T2136Z.170501T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from this afternoon until further notice, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 23.3 feet by Sunday evening.
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  15.5 Wed 04 AM    17.0  19.1  20.7  22.0  22.8


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC069-262115-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170428T0400Z/
/LOUN7.2.ER.170426T0100Z.170426T1800Z.170427T1600Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.4 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Major flood stage. Homes and businesses along
  Johnson Street flood. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding begins in 
  Pruitt and Shannon Villages on the east side of town.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Tar River
  Louisburg   20  21.7 Wed 05 AM    22.0  20.8  14.0   9.7   7.7


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

NCC065-262115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170430T0600Z/
/ROKN7.3.ER.170425T1614Z.170427T0600Z.170429T1800Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Rocky Mount.
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Spruce Street at NC97 is flooded.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, East Virginia Street floods east of the 
  wastewater plant.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, The on-ramps to US64 at NC97 begin to flood.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Several streets west of business US301 are 
  flooded, including E Ridge Street and Melton Drive.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Tar River
  Rocky Moun  21  24.7 Wed 05 AM    24.7  26.2  23.3  21.4  19.0


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7761 3594 7780 3588 7786
          3591 7790 3599 7780         

$$

NCC065-262115-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170426T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.2.ER.170426T1800Z.170428T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from this afternoon until further notice, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 31.3 feet by Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Major flood stage. Baker and St James Street 
  begin to flood.
* Impact...At 26.6 feet, This is the stage reached during hurricane 
  Fran on September 15, 1996.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins in Tarboro. River 
  Road is underwater and flooding begins on east Wilson and St David 
  Streets.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
 


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Tar River
  Tarboro     19  14.8 Wed 04 AM    16.9  27.2  30.9  30.2  27.9


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$

NCC051-262115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0014.170426T1800Z-170427T0600Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.170426T1800Z.170426T1800Z.170426T1800Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* from this afternoon to late tonight, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 32.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking 
  lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
  stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are 
  flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Cape Fear
  Fayettevil  35  32.0 Wed 04 AM    33.8  28.2  19.8  17.3  16.9


&&

LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
          3514 7890 3526 7876         

$$

NCC065-083-127-262115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170428T1200Z/
/EFDN7.1.ER.170426T0345Z.170426T1800Z.170428T0000Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Fishing Creek At Enfield.
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.7 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Fishing Creek
  Enfield     16  16.6 Wed 05 AM    16.6  16.4  15.2  12.4   9.6


&&

LAT...LON 3617 7781 3616 7766 3608 7749 3603 7754
          3610 7767 3611 7783         

$$

NCC001-262115-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170427T0643Z/
/HAWN7.2.ER.170425T0522Z.170425T1716Z.170426T1843Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* At  4:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Haw River
  Haw River   18  20.9 Wed 05 AM    20.1  11.2   8.2   6.3   5.1


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-262115-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170427T1012Z/
/BYNN7.2.ER.170425T0259Z.170425T2201Z.170426T2212Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At  4:46 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Haw River
  Bynum       11  14.7 Wed 05 AM    13.2   9.2   7.2   6.3   5.7


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC057-059-262115-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170427T0300Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170426T0145Z.170426T1500Z.NO/
516 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At  4:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Flooding closes Sowers Road near Linwood
  and Hollywood Drive at Grub Ferry road. A campground on Hannah
  Ferry Road is flooded. Flooding also threatens the pumping
  station at Davidson, Incorporated.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The upper campsites at the Thousand Trails 
  Preserve off US64 begin to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Lower level primitive campsites at the 
  Thousand Trails Preserve off US64 begin to flood.



&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Yadkin River
  Yadkin Col  18  24.3 Wed 04 AM    20.3   7.7   6.5   6.0   5.7


&&

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
          3575 8054 3598 8045         

$$

447 
WGUS82 KRAH 261429
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1029 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC057-059-270229-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170427T1048Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170425T2300Z.170426T2248Z.NO/
1029 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Minor flood stage is 18.0 feet and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Lower level primitive campsites at the 
  Thousand Trails Preserve off US64 will still be flooded. 
  Between 18 and 21 feet, farmlands on both banks will be flooded.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.

                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Yadkin River
 Yadkin College   18  21.8 Wed 10 AM  11.0   6.3   5.8   5.6   4.9

&&

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
          3575 8054 3598 8045         

$$

408 
WGUS82 KRAH 270235
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017





...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie 
  Counties


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Fishing Creek At Enfield affecting Edgecombe...Halifax and Nash 
  Counties

  Neuse River Near Clayton affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River At Smithfield affecting Johnston County

  Neuse River Near Goldsboro affecting Wayne County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

  Tar River At Rocky Mount affecting Edgecombe County

  Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties

  Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck affecting Halifax and 
  Northampton Counties

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC101-271435-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170428T0947Z/
/CLYN7.3.ER.170425T0322Z.170426T0745Z.170427T2147Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Clayton.
* At  9:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Major flood begins.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, There will be extensive flooding which will 
  close the Neuse River Greenway trail. 


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Clayton      9  16.1 Wed 09 PM    12.1   5.5   3.1   2.4   2.2


&&

LAT...LON 3572 7843 3558 7829 3554 7829 3556 7835
          3569 7849                   

$$

NCC101-271435-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170429T0627Z/
/SMFN7.3.ER.170425T0615Z.170427T0600Z.170428T1827Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River At Smithfield.
* At  9:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by 
  tomorrow night. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Hospital and Buffalo Roads are flooded.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding cuts off the 
  water treatment plants access to the reservoir.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Smithfield  15  25.3 Wed 09 PM    23.9  16.2  10.3   8.7   7.3


&&

LAT...LON 3554 7829 3548 7834 3544 7829 3541 7833
          3547 7842 3556 7835         

$$

NCC191-271435-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.170427T1047Z-000000T0000Z/
/GLDN7.2.ER.170427T1047Z.170502T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Neuse River Near Goldsboro.
* from Thursday morning until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  9:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and continue to rise to near 23.7 feet by Monday evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Strobe lights at the end of the runway at 
  Seymour Johnson Air Force base are flooded.
* Impact...At 22.5 feet, Evacuation of some homes in the Mar-Mac area 
  and possibly the Buckhorn Island subdivision may be necessary.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Flooding begins on Seymour Johnson Air Force 
  Base.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Riverview Trailer Park homes and Stevens Mill
  Road begin to flood.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Arrington Bridge Road and access roads around
  Seymour Johnson Air Force Base flood.
* Impact...At 19.5 feet, Ferry Bridge Road begins to flood.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Water overflows the banks 
  at the SR1915 bridge and upstream of the US117 bridge.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Neuse River
  Goldsboro   18  17.2 Wed 09 PM    18.1  19.8  21.3  22.2  23.2


&&

LAT...LON 3538 7807 3533 7793 3528 7791 3525 7795
          3530 7797 3534 7810         

$$

NCC069-271435-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170428T1104Z/
/LOUN7.2.ER.170426T0100Z.170426T2301Z.170427T2304Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* At 10:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, flooding reaches homes and businesses along
  Johnson Street. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, flooding begins in Pruitt and Shannon
  Villages on the east side of town.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, banks overflow at Main Street. River Bend
  Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street. 
  Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
  Street.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Tar River
  Louisburg   20  22.8 Wed 10 PM    22.2  15.9  10.3   9.5   9.0


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

NCC065-271435-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170501T0100Z/
/ROKN7.3.ER.170425T1614Z.170426T2145Z.170430T1300Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Rocky Mount.
* At 10:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Spruce Street at NC 97 is flooded.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, East Virginia Street floods east of the 
  wastewater plant.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, The on-ramps to US64 at NC 97 begin to flood.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Several streets west of business US301 are 
  flooded, including E Ridge Street and Melton Drive.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Flooding reaches Melton Drive and E Ridge
  Street.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Tar River
  Rocky Moun  21  25.7 Wed 10 PM    25.6  24.2  22.1  21.1  17.3


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7761 3594 7780 3588 7786
          3591 7790 3599 7780         

$$

NCC065-271434-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.2.ER.170427T0217Z.170429T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* At  9:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 30.5 feet by early Saturday morning. For
  reference, the river reached 36.3 feet back on Oct 13 after Hurricane
  Matthew.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, This is the major flood stage. Baker and St
  James Street begin to flood.
* Impact...At 26.6 feet, This is the stage reached during hurricane 
  Fran on September 15, 1996.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins in Tarboro. River 
  Road is underwater and flooding begins on east Wilson and St David 
  Streets.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
  River Road at the US64 bridge flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Tar River
  Tarboro     19  18.5 Wed 09 PM    24.1  29.7  30.5  29.9  27.2


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$

NCC065-083-127-271434-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170429T0000Z/
/EFDN7.1.ER.170426T0345Z.170427T0145Z.170428T1200Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Fishing Creek At Enfield.
* At 10:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Minor overflow occurs on both banks.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Fishing Creek
  Enfield     16  17.2 Wed 10 PM    17.1  16.0  15.0  12.8   9.9


&&

LAT...LON 3617 7781 3616 7766 3608 7749 3603 7754
          3610 7767 3611 7783         

$$

NCC083-131-271434-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0016.170427T0936Z-000000T0000Z/
/RRDN7.1.ER.170427T0936Z.170430T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River At Roanoke Rapids.
* from late tonight until further notice, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and continue to rise to near 11.0 feet by Sunday early afternoon. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Moderate flooding of homes and other 
  structures along the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Farmlands and timberlands 
  adjacent to the river in Roanoke Rapids flood.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Roanoke River
  Roanoke Ra   9   8.3 Wed 10 PM     9.2  10.9  10.9  10.9  11.0


&&

LAT...LON 3652 7765 3641 7751 3635 7750 3628 7759
          3638 7761 3645 7765         

$$

NCC083-131-271434-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0017.170427T2008Z-000000T0000Z/
/SCON7.1.ER.170427T2008Z.170429T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Roanoke River Near Scotland Neck.
* from Thursday afternoon until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 10:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon and continue to rise to near 30.8 feet by Saturday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, There is widespread flooding on the left 
  banks.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Minor flooding begins, especially on the left
  bank.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Roanoke River
  Scotland N  28  22.2 Wed 10 PM    25.6  30.3  30.8  30.8  30.7


&&

LAT...LON 3635 7750 3633 7742 3611 7721 3608 7727
          3628 7748 3628 7759         

$$

NCC037-270305-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170427T1348Z/
/BYNN7.2.ER.170425T0259Z.170425T2201Z.170426T2305Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* At 10:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 7:05 PM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 7.5 feet by Friday 
  morning.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Haw River
  Bynum       11  10.2 Wed 10 PM     9.1   7.5   6.7   6.0   5.6


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC057-059-270305-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170427T1048Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170425T2300Z.170426T2017Z.NO/
1035 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At 10:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at  4:17 PM Wednesday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.3 feet by Friday 
  morning.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Yadkin River
  Yadkin Col  18  13.6 Wed 10 PM    11.7   6.3   5.8   5.3   4.6


&&

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
          3575 8054 3598 8045         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 24, 4:04 AM EDT, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 24, 4:04 AM EDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
404 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level low and attendant low pressure system will track
southeast from the Deep South to the Southeast coast this afternoon,
then lift slowly northeast along the Carolina and Mid-Atlantic coast
tonight and Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Today and Tonight/...
As of 345 AM Monday...

Overview: An upper level low centered over northern AL at 06Z will
track SE/ESE to the Southeast coast this afternoon and evening. An
attendant surface low will track eastward to the GA/SC coast this
evening, then lift slowly northeast along the North Carolina coast
late tonight.

Precipitation: With the upper level low /attendant surface low/
expected to track E/SE across GA/SC and an established CAD wedge in
place over central NC, the narrow warm sector in southern GA/SC is
expected to shift N/E through eastern SC to coastal NC this aft/eve.
As such, convection should remain elevated in nature over central
NC. A N-S oriented band of elevated convection over western NC will
shift eastward into central NC today and assume a NW-SE orientation
this afternoon as the upper level low progresses SE from northern AL
to eastern GA and low-level flow strengthens/backs to the Southeast
off the Atlantic. In close vicinity to the warm front (southern
Cumberland and Sampson counties), a narrow window for sfc-based
convection (and an attendant severe weather potential) cannot be
ruled out this afternoon. Otherwise, any threat for severe weather
should remain along/east of Hwy 17 near the Carolina coast. The
primary band of elevated convection will assume a W-E orientation
tonight as the upper low passes to the south and low-level flow over
central/eastern NC backs to an easterly direction. The heaviest rain
will fall where the band of elevated convection pivots as it
transitions from a N-S orientation to a W-E orientation this
afternoon into tonight.

Temperatures: With regard to temperatures, a pronounced CAD wedge is
expected to remain in place across the N/NW Piedmont through
tonight, with little variation in temperature (upper 40s to lower
50s). From the Triangle south and east, the modified CAD wedge
should vary little through the day (except perhaps in the far SE
Coastal Plain for a few hours this afternoon), though temperatures
will likely rise from east to west overnight as surface winds
strengthen from the east and advect a higher theta-e airmass inland
from the coast. -Vincent

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 AM Monday...

The vertically stacked/mature low pressure system will track slowly
north across eastern NC Tuesday and Tuesday night and then off the
Delmarva coast on Wednesday.

With the mid-level dry slot encompassing the area Tuesday morning,
there could be a lull/minimum in precip/pops across central NC to
start the day. However, diurnal heating and resultant weak
destabilization(at least across the eastern and possibly central
zones) as the wrap-around moisture band pivots NE through the area,
is expected to lead to convective re-development Tuesday afternoon
and evening. The threat for severe storms will be muted by the lack
of greater instability but given the presence of an occluded front
draped somewhere across eastern/east-central NC, cannot rule out an
isolated severe threat. Additionally, with the potential for slow-
moving/training convection with the wrap-around band, isolated
flooding, especially in low-lying or poor drainage areas will be
possible.

Highs Tuesday afternoon will be challenging, complicated by multiple
boundaries draped across the area. Expect one sharp temperature
gradient invof of where the aforementioned occluded front sets up
across eastern NC, with another tight temp gradient along the
lingering CAD airmass across the western Piedmont. Highs ranging
from upper 50s NW to mid/upper 70s east.

Rain chances will slowly taper off from SW to NE Tuesday night,
finally coming to an end across the NE zones early Wednesday morning
as the mature cyclone lifts away from the area. Lows Tuesday night
in the mid to upper 50s Tuesday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 330 AM EDT Monday...

In the wake of the low lifting up the Mid-Atlantic coast, low-level
swly flow and short wave ridging aloft will mark the return of
sunshine and warming temperatures. Highs in the upper 70s to lower
80s Wednesday, warming into the lower and mid 80s by Thursday.

On the southern periphery of dampening short wave energy lifting
through the MS and Ohio Valleys NE into the Great Lakes, we could
see isolated/slight chance of showers and storms Thursday night and
Friday. Otherwise, it will remain mostly dry with the main weather
headlines being the hot temperatures associated with the dominate
subtropical ridge building across the SE US.
Highs Saturday and Sunday in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Monday through Friday/...
As of 230 AM Monday...

24-hr TAF Period: Adverse aviation conditions in the form of
IFR/LIFR ceilings and rain are expected through the TAF period as a
potent upper level low and attendant surface low track southeast
from the Deep South to the Southeast coast. Elevated showers and
thunderstorms /heavy rainfall/ will be possible at all terminals
late this morning through this afternoon. Northeast winds initially
at 5-10 kt will increase to 10-15 knots with gusts to 20-23 knots
after sunrise. The FAY terminal could see light/variable or
southeast winds along with improved ceilings (MVFR or possibly VFR)
for several hours this afternoon, depending on the precise track of
the aforementioned surface low as it progresses toward the Southeast
coast.

Looking Ahead: Adverse conditions are likely to persist in
association with a lingering CAD wedge over the area Tue/Tue night.
Ceilings are gradually expected to lift/scatter out to VFR during
the day Wednesday as the upper level low lifts northeast along the
Mid-Atlantic coast. -Vincent

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 330 AM Monday...

...Flood Watch remains in effect through 12Z Tuesday...

Widespread heavy rain is expected to develop over central NC today
into tonight. Storm total rainfall amounts of 3-5" are expected,
with locally heavier amounts possible where the primary band of
elevated convection pivots /persists the longest/. Flooding of local
creeks and streams can be expected. Main stem rivers will experience
significant rises in water levels this afternoon into tonight,
particularly the Yadkin, Haw, Neuse, Tar, Roanoke, and Cape Fear.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-
073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Vincent
NEAR TERM...Vincent
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...CBL
AVIATION...Vincent
HYDROLOGY...Vincent/RAH

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 24, 4:46 AM EDT, 52 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
446 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-250900-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-
446 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...800 AM EDT Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ088-089-250900-
Cumberland-Sampson-
446 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Although the best potential for severe weather is expected to remain
south and east of central North Carolina today, an isolated severe
thunderstorm cannot be ruled out in vicinity of a warm front
approaching southern portions of Cumberland and Sampson counties
this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...800 AM EDT Tuesday through Sunday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Vincent

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 24, 7:52 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke	3 hr
Apr 24, 9:56 AM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Chatham, Durham, Lee, Orange, Wake	3 hr
Apr 24, 10:37 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	RAH	Anson, Stanly	40 hr
Apr 24, 12:09 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Anson, Montgomery, Richmond, Scotland, Stanly	3 hr
Apr 24, 12:34 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Davidson, Forsyth	3 hr
Apr 24, 3:33 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Alamance, Anson, Chatham, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham and 17 more	4 hr
Apr 24, 6:19 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Durham, Johnston, Sampson, Wake, Wayne	17 hr
Apr 24, 7:19 PM EDT	Areal Flood Warning	RAH	Alamance, Chatham, Davidson, Forsyth, Guilford, Harnett and 3 more	6 hr
Apr 24, 7:54 PM EDT	Areal Flood Advisory	RAH	Anson, Cumberland, Hoke, Montgomery, Moore, Richmond and 3 more	6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2017 Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.