Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 4, NWS Raleigh, NC

April 23, 2017Cumberland County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Apr 23, 2017, 10:05 AM EDT for Cumberland County, North Carolina. It took effect at Apr 25, 2017, 8:51 AM EDT. It was in force for 67 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 23, 2017, 10:05 AM EDT (14:05 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 25, 2017, 8:51 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 28, 2017, 3:42 AM EDT
In force
67 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Cumberland County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Little River at Manchester (MANN7). The gauge peaked at 17.23 ft at Apr 25, 2017, 3:00 AM EDT.

actionminormoderate1015202504/2304/2404/2504/2604/2704/2804/29
Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
18 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02103000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

814 
WGUS42 KRAH 231405
FLWRAH


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017



...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County
  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County
  Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County
  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-240205-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T1600Z-170426T1330Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T1600Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0130Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Deep River At Moncure.
* from Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday morning, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 1.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Tuesday early afternoon and continue to rise to near 9.3 feet by 
  Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely
  upstream of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of
  highway 421 in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway
  421 in Chatham county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the
  base of the river gage housing, but is confined to woods and
  pasture immediately adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9   1.5 Sun 09 AM   1.8   8.4   8.4   7.6   5.5


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC001-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0002.170425T0748Z-170426T1518Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170425T0748Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0318Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Haw River At Haw River.
* from late Monday night to Wednesday morning, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 2.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning and continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Tuesday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Haw River
 Haw River        18   2.4 Sun 09 AM  13.5  19.4  14.8   9.8   7.4


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T1245Z-170427T0234Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T1245Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1434Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Haw River Near Bynum.
* from Tuesday morning to Wednesday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 3.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Tuesday morning and continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by Tuesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Haw River
 Bynum            11   3.6 Sun 09 AM   7.5  10.9  11.3   8.5   6.9


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC051-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170426T1036Z-170428T0742Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170426T1036Z.170427T0000Z.170427T1942Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Lower Little River At Manchester.
* from Wednesday morning to late Thursday night, or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 19.3 feet by 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Lower Little River
 Manchester       18   6.8 Sun 09 AM   7.0  10.6  18.3  18.8  16.1


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC069-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T0900Z-170427T1342Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T0900Z.170426T1800Z.170427T0142Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tar River At Louisburg.
* from late Tuesday night to Thursday morning, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 20.5 feet by 
  Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main 
  Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated 
  along the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Tar River
 Louisburg        20   5.2 Sun 09 AM   7.3  15.0  20.3  18.0  11.5


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

NCC065-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0824Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0824Z.170428T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tar River At Tarboro.
* from late Thursday night until further notice, or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 3.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Friday morning and continue to rise to near 19.6 feet by Friday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Tar River
 Tarboro          19   3.0 Sun 09 AM   3.2   5.0  11.8  16.3  19.6


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
5 follow-up statements
412 
WGUS82 KRAH 240146
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T0925Z-170426T1630Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T0925Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0430Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* from late Monday night to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 1.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning
  and continue to rise to near 9.7 feet by Tuesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9   1.5 Sun 09 PM     1.8   9.3   8.5   7.7   5.6


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC001-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.170424T2321Z-170426T1635Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170424T2321Z.170425T1200Z.170426T0435Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* from Monday evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening and continue to rise to near 20.8 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water 
  treatment plant. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Haw River
  Haw River   18   4.2 Sun 09 PM    10.6  20.8  15.7  10.8   8.0


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0900Z-170427T0234Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0900Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1434Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* from late Monday night to Wednesday evening, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 3.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning
  and continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by Tuesday evening.The river
  will fall below flood stage by late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Haw River
  Bynum       11   3.7 Sun 09 PM     5.5  11.4  11.3   8.7   7.1


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC051-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170426T1545Z-170428T0200Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170426T1545Z.170427T0000Z.170427T1400Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* from Wednesday morning to Thursday evening, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Sunday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Wednesday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 18.6 feet by Wednesday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage by late Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Lower Little River
  Manchester  18   6.8 Sun 08 PM     6.9  10.0  17.5  18.2  15.6


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC069-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1720Z-170427T0655Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1720Z.170426T1800Z.170426T1855Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night, or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main 
  Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated 
  along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street. 
  Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
  Street.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Tar River
  Louisburg   20   5.3 Sun 09 PM     7.0  13.6  19.1  17.3  11.5


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

NCC065-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0000Z.170429T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  9:15 PM Sunday the stage was 3.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  evening and continue to rise to near 21.9 feet by Friday evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
  River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

Tar River
  Tarboro     19   3.1 Sun 09 PM     3.2   5.8  12.8  17.4  21.0


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
296 
WGUS82 KRAH 240950
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina..
  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-242150-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T0925Z-170426T1630Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T0925Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0430Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* from late tonight to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:45 AM Monday the stage was 1.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and continue to rise to near 9.7 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri 

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9   1.5 Mon 05 AM   1.8   9.3   8.5   7.7   5.6      


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC001-242150-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0002.170424T2321Z-170426T1635Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170424T2321Z.170425T1200Z.170426T0435Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* from this evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:45 AM Monday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening 
  and continue to rise to near 20.8 feet by tomorrow morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water 
  treatment plant. 

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri  

Haw River
 Haw River        18   7.6 Mon 05 AM   10.6  20.8  15.7  10.8  8.0      


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-242150-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0900Z-170427T0234Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0900Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1434Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* from late tonight to Wednesday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  4:45 AM Monday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by tomorrow evening.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   

Haw River
 Bynum            11   4.5 Mon 05 AM   5.5  11.4  11.3  8.7   7.1      


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC051-242149-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170426T1545Z-170428T0200Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170426T1545Z.170427T0000Z.170427T1400Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* from Wednesday morning to Thursday evening, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  5:30 AM Monday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Wednesday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 18.6 feet by Wednesday 
  evening.The river will fall below flood stage by late Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri  

Lower Little River
 Manchester       18   6.8 Mon 05 AM   6.9  10.0  17.5  18.2  15.6      


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC069-242149-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1720Z-170427T0655Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1720Z.170426T1800Z.170426T1855Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night, or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  4:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main 
  Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated 
  along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street. 
  Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
  Street.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri 

Tar River
 Louisburg        20   5.4 Mon 05 AM   7.0  13.6  19.1  17.3  11.5      


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

NCC065-242149-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0000Z.170429T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  5:15 AM Monday the stage was 3.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  evening and continue to rise to near 21.9 feet by Friday evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
  River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Mon  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri  

Tar River
 Tarboro          19   3.0 Mon 05 AM   3.2  5.8  12.8  17.4  21.0      


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
912 
WGUS82 KRAH 241441
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC037-105-250241-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T2248Z-170428T0936Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T2248Z.170427T0600Z.170427T2136Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* from Tuesday evening to late Thursday night, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 1.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  evening and continue to rise to near 9.8 feet by early Thursday 
  morning.The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Cape Fear
 Moncure           9   1.6 Mon 10 AM   7.7   9.3   9.7   7.4   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC001-250241-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.170424T2352Z-170426T1054Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170424T2352Z.170425T1200Z.170425T2254Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* from this evening to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening 
  and continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by tomorrow morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water 
  treatment plant. 


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
 Haw River        18   9.8 Mon 10 AM  21.0  14.1  10.2   7.6   6.0


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-250241-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0322Z-170427T0515Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0322Z.170425T1800Z.170426T1715Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* from this evening to late Wednesday night, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 13.3 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
 Bynum            11   5.7 Mon 10 AM  12.8  11.7   9.0   7.2   6.2


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC051-250240-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170426T1251Z-170428T0447Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170426T1251Z.170427T0000Z.170427T1647Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* from Wednesday morning to late Thursday night, or until the warning
  is cancelled.
* At  9:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 18.9 feet by Wednesday 
  evening.The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Lower Little River
 Manchester       18   7.7 Mon 09 AM  10.6  17.9  18.4  16.0  13.7


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC069-250240-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1720Z-170427T0655Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1720Z.170426T1800Z.170426T1855Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night, or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main 
  Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated 
  along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street. 
  Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
  Street.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Tar River
 Louisburg        20   5.6 Mon 10 AM  13.6  19.1  17.3  11.5   8.2


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

NCC065-250240-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170429T0430Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170429T0430Z.170429T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from late Friday night until further notice, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 3.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 19.3 feet by Saturday morning.
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
  River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Tar River
 Tarboro          19   3.2 Mon 10 AM   5.1  10.8  14.9  17.5  19.3


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$

KDS
043 
WGUS82 KRAH 250256
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017





...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties

  Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County

  Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

  Rocky River Near Norwood affecting Anson and Stanly Counties

  Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County

  Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County

  Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC057-059-251456-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170426T2212Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1012Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At 10:00 PM Monday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Several homes along the river begin to flood.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Flooding closes Sowers Road near Linwood and 
  Hollywood Drive at Grub Ferry road. A campground on Hannah Ferry 
  Road is flooded. Flooding also threatens the pumping station at 
  Davidson, Incorporated.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The upper campsites at the Thousand Trails 
  Preserve off US64 begin to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Lower level primitive campsites at the 
  Thousand Trails Preserve off US64 begin to flood.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Yadkin River
  Yadkin Col  18  20.4 Mon 10 PM    23.4  16.3   8.0   7.4   6.7


&&

LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
          3575 8054 3598 8045         

$$

NCC037-105-251456-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T1552Z-170427T2100Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T1552Z.170426T0600Z.170427T0900Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Deep River At Moncure.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At  9:45 PM Monday the stage was 3.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow late 
  morning and continue to rise to near 9.9 feet by early Wednesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
  of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421 
  in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
  county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river 
  gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately 
  adjacent to the river.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Cape Fear
  Moncure      9   3.6 Mon 10 PM     7.9   9.6   8.8   6.0   4.5


&&

LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
          3554 7939                   

$$

NCC001-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170426T1650Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170425T0721Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0450Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River At Haw River.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by tomorrow afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding reaches the 
  base of the water treatment plant building.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right 
  bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water 
  treatment plant. 


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
  Haw River   18  14.9 Mon 10 PM    20.4  15.1   9.6   7.1   5.5


&&

LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
          3604 7944 3613 7954         

$$

NCC037-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0451Z-170427T1048Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0451Z.170426T0000Z.170426T2248Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Haw River Near Bynum.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by after midnight 
  tomorrow and continue to rise to near 14.4 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but 
  flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and 
  pastureland along the river.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It 
  floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Haw River
  Bynum       11  10.6 Mon 10 PM    12.7  13.1   9.2   7.2   6.2


&&

LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
          3585 7930                   

$$

NCC051-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170425T1251Z-170428T0508Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170425T1251Z.170426T0600Z.170427T1708Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* from Tuesday morning to late Thursday night, or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  morning and continue to rise to near 20.3 feet by early Wednesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in 
  Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Lower Little River
  Manchester  18  14.2 Mon 10 PM    17.8  20.2  18.6  15.7  13.7


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

NCC007-167-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170426T0352Z/
/NRWN7.1.ER.170425T0900Z.170425T1200Z.170425T1552Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Rocky River Near Norwood.
* At 10:45 PM Monday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  and continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by tomorrow morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. There is significant 
  overflow into adjacent pasture and lowlands.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river gage site is inundated and 
  inaccessible.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Rocky River
  Norwood     20  17.2 Mon 11 PM    21.1  13.3   4.7   4.3   4.0


&&

LAT...LON 3525 8027 3521 8015 3519 8004 3511 8009
          3515 8028                   

$$

NCC069-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1548Z-170427T0809Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1548Z.170426T1800Z.170426T2009Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday morning to late Wednesday night, or until the 
  warning is cancelled.
* At  9:46 PM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding begins in 
  Pruitt and Shannon Villages on the east side of town.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main 
  Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated 
  along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street. 
  Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
  Street.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Tar River
  Louisburg   20   7.8 Mon 10 PM    11.1  19.6  17.3  11.3   8.5


&&

LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
          3606 7830 3613 7838         

$$

NCC065-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0000Z.170429T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 10:15 PM Monday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  evening and continue to rise to near 22.5 feet by Saturday early 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins in Tarboro. River 
  Road is underwater and flooding begins on east Wilson and St David 
  Streets.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel 
  Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
  River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.

&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


             FLD  OBSERVED                   FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY TIME     Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Tar River
  Tarboro     19   4.0 Mon 10 PM     5.6  12.6  17.4  20.6  22.4


&&

LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
          3590 7756 3593 7761         

$$
511 
WGUS82 KRAH 251420
FLSRAH


FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1020 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not 
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.

&&

NCC051-251450-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170428T0508Z/
/MANN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Little River At Manchester.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 17.2 feet. The 
  river will fall to around 10 feet late this week.


&&

The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.


                 FLD  OBSERVED                FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION         STG  STG  DAY TIME    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Little River
 Manchester       18  15.1 Tue 10 AM  12.1  10.7  10.3   9.7   9.2


&&

LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
          3519 7910 3521 7898         

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 23, 6:55 AM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 23, 6:55 AM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
655 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will settle near the South Carolina border today. A
strong low pressure system will slowly cross the region through
Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /Today/...
As of 355 AM Sunday...

A significant period of wet weather starts today. The latest surface
map shows that the cold front is now settling over far northern SC
and SE NC, where it is projected to linger through tonight.
Meanwhile, the potent mid-upper low centered over the MO Bootheel is
expected to drift across W TN into N AL today, with a series of weak
perturbations in the downstream SW steering flow tracking across NC
helping to instigate numerous to widespread showers over our area,
where PW values that are already approaching the 80th percentile
will rise further today. Given this deep moisture, also observed on
experimental GOES-16 water vapor imagery and blended TPW imagery,
the waves of weak DPVA, strengthening moist upglide  through the 290-
300K depth up and over the stable cool pool nosing in from the
north, and increasing low level moisture transport, categorical pops
are more than warranted. Model guidance is in fairly good agreement
on a scenario of steady light to periodically moderate rain today,
and expect rainfall amounts through nightfall of around a third of
an inch in the SE CWA to an inch and a third in the N and W CWA.
While any flooding today should be localized and mostly minor, this
rainfall will help saturate the soils, increasing runoff potential
for later rainfall, and a few rises on area creeks are likely. With
a trend to thick cloud cover areawide and cooler air wedging in from
the north, expect highs no better than the mid 50s NW ranging to the
upper 60s SE, a diurnal rise of just around 5-10 degrees in most
places. -GIH

&&

.SHORT TERM /Sunday night through Tuesday/...
As of 455 AM Sunday...

...Flood Watch remains in effect from midnight tonight through 800
AM Tuesday...

Tonight-Mon night: The areal extent and intensity of showers will
ramp up beginning tonight, peaking midday Mon through Mon evening,
as we see a continued increase in PW (reaching near daily records,
around 1.5"), upper divergence (on the east side of the upper
cyclone), and low level moisture transport (nearly 200 g/kg,
associated with a strengthening 925 mb long-fetch ESE jetlet,
originating with a jet near the Bahamas), with falling mid level
heights and increasing DPVA. These factors appear to be the most
ideally juxtaposed in the vertical over southern NC Mon morning
through Mon evening, focusing first on the southern Mountains and
Foothills, then shifting to the central and southern Coastal Plain
and SE NC. While the models differ somewhat on exact amounts, they
all agree on this overall pattern and evolution, including the NCAR
ensemble, MPAS, and SREF. Will continue with the flood watch in
place, with categorical chances for periods of moderate to heavy
rainfall, with the heaviest rainfall potential where we see
contributions from convection, most probable near the lingering
frontal zone where moist upglide will be strongest and moisture most
available. Have raised storm total rainfall amounts to 3.8-4.7",
based on latest model guidance and increasing confidence in heavy
rainfall totals. While our antecedent conditions are somewhat dry,
the potential for deep layer ascent compounded by the anomalously
high PW, along with today's rain to help saturate the soil, will
likely cause many of our creeks to rise enough to allow water to
spill onto roads, and urban/street flooding is likely to be a big
problem through Mon night, irrespective of initial soil conditions
and unremarkable flash flood guidance ahead of the event. Regarding
the chance for storms, models are suggesting minimal CAPE confined
to the SE CWA through Mon, shifting to the Coastal Plain Mon night,
although deep layer shear values will be favorable (30-40 kts) with
rich low level vorticity near the boundary, where surface-3 km
helicity values are projected to exceed 300 m2/s2. So if we can
manage to achieve higher potential instability, a few storms could
certainly become strong to severe with a risk of damaging winds,
hail, and perhaps a brief tornado, focusing Mon evening into the
early overnight hours. Expect lows tonight not too far below today's
highs, from around 50 to the lower 50s. Highs Mon from the upper 50s
NW to the lower 70s SE, which should get into the warm sector. Lows
Mon night 50-60, with decreasing precip chances late from west to
east as the low exits. -GIH

The upper low begins to lift up the coast early Tuesday, with wrap
around rainshowers, mainly in the east, due to strongly convergent
low level flow. These showers will be gradually diminishing
throughout the day as the low departs, ending over nearly all but
the northern coastal plain by sunset. Cloudiness and northerly low
level flow will hamper wedge airmass scouring, especially in the
west, so temperature moderation will be delayed another day, with
highs in the mid 60s across the north to perhaps very low 70s along
the southern tier counties. -mlm

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 330 AM EDT Saturday...

Lingering showers will be ending in the northeast by around midnight
Tuesday night as the upper low lifts northeast and off the Delmarva
peninsula by Wednesday morning. The lows will be in the mid 50s. We
then see dry weather with a rapid warmup though the end of the week
as shortwave ridging and return flow settle along the eastern CONUS.
Highs will approach 80 on Wednesday...then climb into the mid and
upper 80s Thursday through Saturday. Mins will be mostly in the 60s
mid to late week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Sunday through Friday/...
As of 655 AM Sunday...

High confidence in poor aviation conditions over the next 24 hours,
With IFR conditions common in all locations except mostly MVFR at
FAY. A cold front dropped southward into and through NC this past
evening, and is now settling near the NC/SC state line. This front
will remain stretched across northern SC and southeast NC through
the next 24 hours, while surface low pressure drifts slowly from
northern AL toward southwest NC, and strong mid level low pressure
passes over the Mid South. This will all keep unsettled weather over
central NC, with deep moisture leading to low cigs, lowest at
INT/GSO, through tonight, with periods of MVFR to IFR rain, most
widespread at INT/GSO but likely everywhere. Surface winds will be
mainly from the NE at 10-15 kts gusting to 15-20 kts infrequently
through Sunday night. While winds aloft (4000-5000 ft AGL) will be
strengthening from the SE late today through tonight to 25-35 kts,
however the shift of winds in the vertical from NE to SE through the
low levels will not meet low level wind shear criteria, although it
may make handling of small aircraft difficult.

Looking beyond 12z Mon: Poor aviation conditions will continue to
dominate through Monday night as the deep low pressure system slowly
crosses the region, with periods of rain through Mon, tapering down
from south to north Mon night, and persistent low MVFR/IFR cigs and
vsbys. Cigs should rise gradually to MVFR areawide Tue as the mid
level low slowly departs the area, then trend to VFR Tue night
lasting through Fri with a drier air mass and deep SW flow, although
a few afternoon showers are possible Thu/Fri. -GIH

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 310 AM Sunday...

...A Flood Watch is in effect through 800 AM Tuesday...

Rain has begun to saturate soils in the northwest Piedmont with 1/2
to 1 inch of rain on Saturday in the Triad. Rain will continue to
spread across the area as isentropic upglide (looking at the 295K
isentrope analysis as representative) increases with strengthening
southeast low level flow today. Even modest rain rates will produce
hefty amounts, and given that we have categorical PoPs for ~48 hrs,
our 3-4 inch storm total forecast looks reasonable...perhaps even
conservative.

Flooding will be likely on smaller creeks and streams since we will
have periods of convectively enhanced rain covering smaller areas.
Our larger mainstem river basins will take longer to saturate, and
will begin to rise more quickly after we prime the basins with the
first couple of inches of rain. Thus river flooding will become more
likely on Monday and could linger into midweek. Based on our
expected rainfall distribution at this time, the Haw river would be
particularly prone to minor flooding above Lake Jordan, but any of
the mainstem rivers could reach minor flood stage, especially given
just a bit more rain than currently forecast. On a positive note, we
were on the cusp of drought conditions beginning to have more
significant impact across the area due to rainfall deficit over the
late winter and spring, so this event will provide at least a couple
of weeks' respite.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-
073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Hartfield
NEAR TERM...Hartfield
SHORT TERM...Hartfield/MLM
LONG TERM...MLM
AVIATION...Hartfield
HYDROLOGY...MLM
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 23, 5:13 AM EDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
513 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-240900-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-
Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-
Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
513 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

An isolated strong storm or two is possible Monday afternoon and
evening over southeast North Carolina, mainly along and southeast of
a line from Raeford to Fayetteville to Goldsboro. Strong damaging
wind gusts and hail will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Monday through Monday night.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHChatham, Lee71 hr
Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHAlamance3 days
Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHChatham4 days
Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHFranklin5 days
Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHEdgecombe11 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.