Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 4, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Apr 23, 2017, 10:05 AM EDT for Cumberland County, North Carolina. It took effect at Apr 25, 2017, 8:51 AM EDT. It was in force for 67 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 23, 2017, 10:05 AM EDT (14:05 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 25, 2017, 8:51 AM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 28, 2017, 3:42 AM EDT
- In force
- 67 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Cumberland County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Little River at Manchester (MANN7). The gauge peaked at 17.23 ft at Apr 25, 2017, 3:00 AM EDT.
- Action stage
- 16 ft
- Minor stage
- 18 ft
- Moderate stage
- 24 ft
- Major stage
- 27 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02103000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
814
WGUS42 KRAH 231405
FLWRAH
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County
Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-240205-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T1600Z-170426T1330Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T1600Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0130Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Deep River At Moncure.
* from Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday morning, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 1.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
Tuesday early afternoon and continue to rise to near 9.3 feet by
Tuesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely
upstream of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of
highway 421 in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway
421 in Chatham county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the
base of the river gage housing, but is confined to woods and
pasture immediately adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 1.5 Sun 09 AM 1.8 8.4 8.4 7.6 5.5
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$
NCC001-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0002.170425T0748Z-170426T1518Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170425T0748Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0318Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Haw River At Haw River.
* from late Monday night to Wednesday morning, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 2.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
Tuesday morning and continue to rise to near 20.0 feet by Tuesday
early afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right
bank opposite the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Haw River
Haw River 18 2.4 Sun 09 AM 13.5 19.4 14.8 9.8 7.4
&&
LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
3604 7944 3613 7954
$$
NCC037-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T1245Z-170427T0234Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T1245Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1434Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Haw River Near Bynum.
* from Tuesday morning to Wednesday evening, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 3.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
Tuesday morning and continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by Tuesday
evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It
floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Haw River
Bynum 11 3.6 Sun 09 AM 7.5 10.9 11.3 8.5 6.9
&&
LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
3585 7930
$$
NCC051-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170426T1036Z-170428T0742Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170426T1036Z.170427T0000Z.170427T1942Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Lower Little River At Manchester.
* from Wednesday morning to late Thursday night, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 19.3 feet by
Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 6.8 Sun 09 AM 7.0 10.6 18.3 18.8 16.1
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
NCC069-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T0900Z-170427T1342Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T0900Z.170426T1800Z.170427T0142Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tar River At Louisburg.
* from late Tuesday night to Thursday morning, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
Wednesday morning and continue to rise to near 20.5 feet by
Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main
Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated
along the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Tar River
Louisburg 20 5.2 Sun 09 AM 7.3 15.0 20.3 18.0 11.5
&&
LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
3606 7830 3613 7838
$$
NCC065-240204-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0824Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0824Z.170428T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Tar River At Tarboro.
* from late Thursday night until further notice, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 3.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
Friday morning and continue to rise to near 19.6 feet by Friday
morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel
Street in east Tarboro.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Tar River
Tarboro 19 3.0 Sun 09 AM 3.2 5.0 11.8 16.3 19.6
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$5 follow-up statements
412
WGUS82 KRAH 240146
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County
Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T0925Z-170426T1630Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T0925Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0430Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Deep River At Moncure.
* from late Monday night to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 1.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning
and continue to rise to near 9.7 feet by Tuesday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421
in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river
gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately
adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 1.5 Sun 09 PM 1.8 9.3 8.5 7.7 5.6
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$
NCC001-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.170424T2321Z-170426T1635Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170424T2321Z.170425T1200Z.170426T0435Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River At Haw River.
* from Monday evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
evening and continue to rise to near 20.8 feet by Tuesday
morning.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right
bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water
treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Haw River
Haw River 18 4.2 Sun 09 PM 10.6 20.8 15.7 10.8 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
3604 7944 3613 7954
$$
NCC037-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0900Z-170427T0234Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0900Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1434Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River Near Bynum.
* from late Monday night to Wednesday evening, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 3.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning
and continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by Tuesday evening.The river
will fall below flood stage by late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It
floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Haw River
Bynum 11 3.7 Sun 09 PM 5.5 11.4 11.3 8.7 7.1
&&
LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
3585 7930
$$
NCC051-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170426T1545Z-170428T0200Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170426T1545Z.170427T0000Z.170427T1400Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* from Wednesday morning to Thursday evening, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM Sunday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Wednesday
morning and continue to rise to near 18.6 feet by Wednesday
evening. The river will fall below flood stage by late Thursday
morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 6.8 Sun 08 PM 6.9 10.0 17.5 18.2 15.6
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
NCC069-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1720Z-170427T0655Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1720Z.170426T1800Z.170426T1855Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night, or until the
warning is cancelled.
* At 8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main
Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated
along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street.
Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
Street.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Tar River
Louisburg 20 5.3 Sun 09 PM 7.0 13.6 19.1 17.3 11.5
&&
LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
3606 7830 3613 7838
$$
NCC065-241346-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0000Z.170429T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 9:15 PM Sunday the stage was 3.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday
evening and continue to rise to near 21.9 feet by Friday evening.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel
Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Tar River
Tarboro 19 3.1 Sun 09 PM 3.2 5.8 12.8 17.4 21.0
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$296
WGUS82 KRAH 240950
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina..
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County
Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-242150-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T0925Z-170426T1630Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T0925Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0430Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Deep River At Moncure.
* from late tonight to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 4:45 AM Monday the stage was 1.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow
and continue to rise to near 9.7 feet by tomorrow early
afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421
in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river
gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately
adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 1.5 Mon 05 AM 1.8 9.3 8.5 7.7 5.6
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$
NCC001-242150-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0002.170424T2321Z-170426T1635Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170424T2321Z.170425T1200Z.170426T0435Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River At Haw River.
* from this evening to Wednesday afternoon, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 4:45 AM Monday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening
and continue to rise to near 20.8 feet by tomorrow morning.The
river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right
bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water
treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Haw River
Haw River 18 7.6 Mon 05 AM 10.6 20.8 15.7 10.8 8.0
&&
LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
3604 7944 3613 7954
$$
NCC037-242150-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0900Z-170427T0234Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0900Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1434Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River Near Bynum.
* from late tonight to Wednesday evening, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 4:45 AM Monday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow
and continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by tomorrow evening.The
river will fall below flood stage by late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It
floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Haw River
Bynum 11 4.5 Mon 05 AM 5.5 11.4 11.3 8.7 7.1
&&
LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
3585 7930
$$
NCC051-242149-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170426T1545Z-170428T0200Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170426T1545Z.170427T0000Z.170427T1400Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* from Wednesday morning to Thursday evening, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 5:30 AM Monday the stage was 6.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Wednesday
morning and continue to rise to near 18.6 feet by Wednesday
evening.The river will fall below flood stage by late Thursday
morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 6.8 Mon 05 AM 6.9 10.0 17.5 18.2 15.6
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
NCC069-242149-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1720Z-170427T0655Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1720Z.170426T1800Z.170426T1855Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night, or until the
warning is cancelled.
* At 4:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main
Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated
along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street.
Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
Street.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Tar River
Louisburg 20 5.4 Mon 05 AM 7.0 13.6 19.1 17.3 11.5
&&
LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
3606 7830 3613 7838
$$
NCC065-242149-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0000Z.170429T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
550 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 5:15 AM Monday the stage was 3.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday
evening and continue to rise to near 21.9 feet by Friday evening.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel
Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Tar River
Tarboro 19 3.0 Mon 05 AM 3.2 5.8 12.8 17.4 21.0
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$912
WGUS82 KRAH 241441
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County
Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County
Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County
Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC037-105-250241-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T2248Z-170428T0936Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T2248Z.170427T0600Z.170427T2136Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Deep River At Moncure.
* from Tuesday evening to late Thursday night, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9:45 AM Monday the stage was 1.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
evening and continue to rise to near 9.8 feet by early Thursday
morning.The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday
afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421
in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river
gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately
adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 1.6 Mon 10 AM 7.7 9.3 9.7 7.4 4.8
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$
NCC001-250241-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.170424T2352Z-170426T1054Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170424T2352Z.170425T1200Z.170425T2254Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River At Haw River.
* from this evening to Wednesday morning, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 9:45 AM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening
and continue to rise to near 21.0 feet by tomorrow morning.The
river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right
bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water
treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Haw River
Haw River 18 9.8 Mon 10 AM 21.0 14.1 10.2 7.6 6.0
&&
LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
3604 7944 3613 7954
$$
NCC037-250241-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0322Z-170427T0515Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0322Z.170425T1800Z.170426T1715Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River Near Bynum.
* from this evening to late Wednesday night, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 9:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tonight and
continue to rise to near 13.3 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The
river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It
floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Haw River
Bynum 11 5.7 Mon 10 AM 12.8 11.7 9.0 7.2 6.2
&&
LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
3585 7930
$$
NCC051-250240-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170426T1251Z-170428T0447Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170426T1251Z.170427T0000Z.170427T1647Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Little River At Manchester.
* from Wednesday morning to late Thursday night, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 9:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Wednesday
morning and continue to rise to near 18.9 feet by Wednesday
evening.The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early
afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 7.7 Mon 09 AM 10.6 17.9 18.4 16.0 13.7
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
NCC069-250240-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1720Z-170427T0655Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1720Z.170426T1800Z.170426T1855Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday afternoon to late Wednesday night, or until the
warning is cancelled.
* At 9:45 AM Monday the stage was 5.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main
Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated
along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street.
Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
Street.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Tar River
Louisburg 20 5.6 Mon 10 AM 13.6 19.1 17.3 11.5 8.2
&&
LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
3606 7830 3613 7838
$$
NCC065-250240-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170429T0430Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170429T0430Z.170429T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from late Friday night until further notice, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 3.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Saturday
morning and continue to rise to near 19.3 feet by Saturday morning.
Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Tar River
Tarboro 19 3.2 Mon 10 AM 5.1 10.8 14.9 17.5 19.3
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$
KDS043
WGUS82 KRAH 250256
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Deep River At Moncure affecting Chatham and Lee Counties
Haw River At Haw River affecting Alamance County
Haw River Near Bynum affecting Chatham County
Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
Rocky River Near Norwood affecting Anson and Stanly Counties
Tar River At Louisburg affecting Franklin County
Tar River At Tarboro affecting Edgecombe County
Yadkin River At Yadkin College affecting Davidson and Davie Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC057-059-251456-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170426T2212Z/
/YADN7.2.ER.170424T1810Z.170426T0000Z.170426T1012Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Yadkin River At Yadkin College.
* At 10:00 PM Monday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by
tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Several homes along the river begin to flood.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Flooding closes Sowers Road near Linwood and
Hollywood Drive at Grub Ferry road. A campground on Hannah Ferry
Road is flooded. Flooding also threatens the pumping station at
Davidson, Incorporated.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, The upper campsites at the Thousand Trails
Preserve off US64 begin to flood.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Lower level primitive campsites at the
Thousand Trails Preserve off US64 begin to flood.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Yadkin River
Yadkin Col 18 20.4 Mon 10 PM 23.4 16.3 8.0 7.4 6.7
&&
LAT...LON 3597 8031 3577 8040 3574 8036 3568 8046
3575 8054 3598 8045
$$
NCC037-105-251456-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0001.170425T1552Z-170427T2100Z/
/MONN7.1.ER.170425T1552Z.170426T0600Z.170427T0900Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Deep River At Moncure.
* from Tuesday morning to Thursday afternoon, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 9:45 PM Monday the stage was 3.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow late
morning and continue to rise to near 9.9 feet by early Wednesday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Flooding is likely upstream
of the gage site along North Plank Road just south of highway 421
in Lee county, and on R Jordan Road north of highway 421 in Chatham
county. At the gage site, flooding reaches the base of the river
gage housing, but is confined to woods and pasture immediately
adjacent to the river.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Cape Fear
Moncure 9 3.6 Mon 10 PM 7.9 9.6 8.8 6.0 4.5
&&
LAT...LON 3567 7910 3563 7907 3559 7904 3546 7935
3554 7939
$$
NCC001-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170426T1650Z/
/HAWN7.1.ER.170425T0721Z.170425T1800Z.170426T0450Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River At Haw River.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow
and continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by tomorrow afternoon.The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding reaches the
base of the water treatment plant building.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, There is significant overflow on the right
bank opposite the water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Overflow begins on both banks at the water
treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Haw River
Haw River 18 14.9 Mon 10 PM 20.4 15.1 9.6 7.1 5.5
&&
LAT...LON 3624 7953 3613 7934 3590 7918 3585 7930
3604 7944 3613 7954
$$
NCC037-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0003.170425T0451Z-170427T1048Z/
/BYNN7.1.ER.170425T0451Z.170426T0000Z.170426T2248Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Haw River Near Bynum.
* until Thursday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by after midnight
tomorrow and continue to rise to near 14.4 feet by tomorrow
evening. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, The river widens up to 800 feet across, but
flooding remains confined to extensive stretches of woods and
pastureland along the river.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, The river widens up to 400 feet across. It
floods pasturelands on the right bank and woodlands on the left.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Haw River
Bynum 11 10.6 Mon 10 PM 12.7 13.1 9.2 7.2 6.2
&&
LAT...LON 3590 7918 3582 7911 3576 7905 3569 7916
3585 7930
$$
NCC051-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0004.170425T1251Z-170428T0508Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.170425T1251Z.170426T0600Z.170427T1708Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Little River At Manchester.
* from Tuesday morning to late Thursday night, or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 10:30 PM Monday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by tomorrow
morning and continue to rise to near 20.3 feet by early Wednesday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early
afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 14.2 Mon 10 PM 17.8 20.2 18.6 15.7 13.7
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
NCC007-167-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170426T0352Z/
/NRWN7.1.ER.170425T0900Z.170425T1200Z.170425T1552Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Rocky River Near Norwood.
* At 10:45 PM Monday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow
and continue to rise to near 21.1 feet by tomorrow morning. The
river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. There is significant
overflow into adjacent pasture and lowlands.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, The river gage site is inundated and
inaccessible.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Rocky River
Norwood 20 17.2 Mon 11 PM 21.1 13.3 4.7 4.3 4.0
&&
LAT...LON 3525 8027 3521 8015 3519 8004 3511 8009
3515 8028
$$
NCC069-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0005.170426T1548Z-170427T0809Z/
/LOUN7.1.ER.170426T1548Z.170426T1800Z.170426T2009Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Louisburg.
* from Wednesday morning to late Wednesday night, or until the
warning is cancelled.
* At 9:46 PM Monday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Flooding begins in
Pruitt and Shannon Villages on the east side of town.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor flood stage. Banks overflow at Main
Street. River Bend Park is flooded and storm drains are inundated
along the river.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Bankfull in the vicinity of Main Street.
Minor flooding begins in River Bend Park 0.1 miles upstream of Main
Street.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Tar River
Louisburg 20 7.8 Mon 10 PM 11.1 19.6 17.3 11.3 8.5
&&
LAT...LON 3616 7835 3611 7828 3595 7818 3590 7820
3606 7830 3613 7838
$$
NCC065-251455-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0006.170428T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TARN7.1.ER.170428T0000Z.170429T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1056 PM EDT Mon Apr 24 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
the Tar River At Tarboro.
* from Thursday evening until further notice, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 10:15 PM Monday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday
evening and continue to rise to near 22.5 feet by Saturday early
afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flooding begins in Tarboro. River
Road is underwater and flooding begins on east Wilson and St David
Streets.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins south of Daniel
Street in east Tarboro.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Minor flooding begins. The Riverside Park and
River Road at the US64 bridge flood.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Action stage. The river is bankfull.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
Tar River
Tarboro 19 4.0 Mon 10 PM 5.6 12.6 17.4 20.6 22.4
&&
LAT...LON 3597 7760 3593 7748 3577 7751 3573 7757
3590 7756 3593 7761
$$511
WGUS82 KRAH 251420
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1020 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-251450-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170428T0508Z/
/MANN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Little River At Manchester.
* At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 17.2 feet. The
river will fall to around 10 feet late this week.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
Little River
Manchester 18 15.1 Tue 10 AM 12.1 10.7 10.3 9.7 9.2
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 23, 6:55 AM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 23, 6:55 AM EDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 655 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017 .SYNOPSIS... A cold front will settle near the South Carolina border today. A strong low pressure system will slowly cross the region through Tuesday. && .NEAR TERM /Today/... As of 355 AM Sunday... A significant period of wet weather starts today. The latest surface map shows that the cold front is now settling over far northern SC and SE NC, where it is projected to linger through tonight. Meanwhile, the potent mid-upper low centered over the MO Bootheel is expected to drift across W TN into N AL today, with a series of weak perturbations in the downstream SW steering flow tracking across NC helping to instigate numerous to widespread showers over our area, where PW values that are already approaching the 80th percentile will rise further today. Given this deep moisture, also observed on experimental GOES-16 water vapor imagery and blended TPW imagery, the waves of weak DPVA, strengthening moist upglide through the 290- 300K depth up and over the stable cool pool nosing in from the north, and increasing low level moisture transport, categorical pops are more than warranted. Model guidance is in fairly good agreement on a scenario of steady light to periodically moderate rain today, and expect rainfall amounts through nightfall of around a third of an inch in the SE CWA to an inch and a third in the N and W CWA. While any flooding today should be localized and mostly minor, this rainfall will help saturate the soils, increasing runoff potential for later rainfall, and a few rises on area creeks are likely. With a trend to thick cloud cover areawide and cooler air wedging in from the north, expect highs no better than the mid 50s NW ranging to the upper 60s SE, a diurnal rise of just around 5-10 degrees in most places. -GIH && .SHORT TERM /Sunday night through Tuesday/... As of 455 AM Sunday... ...Flood Watch remains in effect from midnight tonight through 800 AM Tuesday... Tonight-Mon night: The areal extent and intensity of showers will ramp up beginning tonight, peaking midday Mon through Mon evening, as we see a continued increase in PW (reaching near daily records, around 1.5"), upper divergence (on the east side of the upper cyclone), and low level moisture transport (nearly 200 g/kg, associated with a strengthening 925 mb long-fetch ESE jetlet, originating with a jet near the Bahamas), with falling mid level heights and increasing DPVA. These factors appear to be the most ideally juxtaposed in the vertical over southern NC Mon morning through Mon evening, focusing first on the southern Mountains and Foothills, then shifting to the central and southern Coastal Plain and SE NC. While the models differ somewhat on exact amounts, they all agree on this overall pattern and evolution, including the NCAR ensemble, MPAS, and SREF. Will continue with the flood watch in place, with categorical chances for periods of moderate to heavy rainfall, with the heaviest rainfall potential where we see contributions from convection, most probable near the lingering frontal zone where moist upglide will be strongest and moisture most available. Have raised storm total rainfall amounts to 3.8-4.7", based on latest model guidance and increasing confidence in heavy rainfall totals. While our antecedent conditions are somewhat dry, the potential for deep layer ascent compounded by the anomalously high PW, along with today's rain to help saturate the soil, will likely cause many of our creeks to rise enough to allow water to spill onto roads, and urban/street flooding is likely to be a big problem through Mon night, irrespective of initial soil conditions and unremarkable flash flood guidance ahead of the event. Regarding the chance for storms, models are suggesting minimal CAPE confined to the SE CWA through Mon, shifting to the Coastal Plain Mon night, although deep layer shear values will be favorable (30-40 kts) with rich low level vorticity near the boundary, where surface-3 km helicity values are projected to exceed 300 m2/s2. So if we can manage to achieve higher potential instability, a few storms could certainly become strong to severe with a risk of damaging winds, hail, and perhaps a brief tornado, focusing Mon evening into the early overnight hours. Expect lows tonight not too far below today's highs, from around 50 to the lower 50s. Highs Mon from the upper 50s NW to the lower 70s SE, which should get into the warm sector. Lows Mon night 50-60, with decreasing precip chances late from west to east as the low exits. -GIH The upper low begins to lift up the coast early Tuesday, with wrap around rainshowers, mainly in the east, due to strongly convergent low level flow. These showers will be gradually diminishing throughout the day as the low departs, ending over nearly all but the northern coastal plain by sunset. Cloudiness and northerly low level flow will hamper wedge airmass scouring, especially in the west, so temperature moderation will be delayed another day, with highs in the mid 60s across the north to perhaps very low 70s along the southern tier counties. -mlm && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 330 AM EDT Saturday... Lingering showers will be ending in the northeast by around midnight Tuesday night as the upper low lifts northeast and off the Delmarva peninsula by Wednesday morning. The lows will be in the mid 50s. We then see dry weather with a rapid warmup though the end of the week as shortwave ridging and return flow settle along the eastern CONUS. Highs will approach 80 on Wednesday...then climb into the mid and upper 80s Thursday through Saturday. Mins will be mostly in the 60s mid to late week. && .AVIATION /12Z Sunday through Friday/... As of 655 AM Sunday... High confidence in poor aviation conditions over the next 24 hours, With IFR conditions common in all locations except mostly MVFR at FAY. A cold front dropped southward into and through NC this past evening, and is now settling near the NC/SC state line. This front will remain stretched across northern SC and southeast NC through the next 24 hours, while surface low pressure drifts slowly from northern AL toward southwest NC, and strong mid level low pressure passes over the Mid South. This will all keep unsettled weather over central NC, with deep moisture leading to low cigs, lowest at INT/GSO, through tonight, with periods of MVFR to IFR rain, most widespread at INT/GSO but likely everywhere. Surface winds will be mainly from the NE at 10-15 kts gusting to 15-20 kts infrequently through Sunday night. While winds aloft (4000-5000 ft AGL) will be strengthening from the SE late today through tonight to 25-35 kts, however the shift of winds in the vertical from NE to SE through the low levels will not meet low level wind shear criteria, although it may make handling of small aircraft difficult. Looking beyond 12z Mon: Poor aviation conditions will continue to dominate through Monday night as the deep low pressure system slowly crosses the region, with periods of rain through Mon, tapering down from south to north Mon night, and persistent low MVFR/IFR cigs and vsbys. Cigs should rise gradually to MVFR areawide Tue as the mid level low slowly departs the area, then trend to VFR Tue night lasting through Fri with a drier air mass and deep SW flow, although a few afternoon showers are possible Thu/Fri. -GIH && .HYDROLOGY... As of 310 AM Sunday... ...A Flood Watch is in effect through 800 AM Tuesday... Rain has begun to saturate soils in the northwest Piedmont with 1/2 to 1 inch of rain on Saturday in the Triad. Rain will continue to spread across the area as isentropic upglide (looking at the 295K isentrope analysis as representative) increases with strengthening southeast low level flow today. Even modest rain rates will produce hefty amounts, and given that we have categorical PoPs for ~48 hrs, our 3-4 inch storm total forecast looks reasonable...perhaps even conservative. Flooding will be likely on smaller creeks and streams since we will have periods of convectively enhanced rain covering smaller areas. Our larger mainstem river basins will take longer to saturate, and will begin to rise more quickly after we prime the basins with the first couple of inches of rain. Thus river flooding will become more likely on Monday and could linger into midweek. Based on our expected rainfall distribution at this time, the Haw river would be particularly prone to minor flooding above Lake Jordan, but any of the mainstem rivers could reach minor flood stage, especially given just a bit more rain than currently forecast. On a positive note, we were on the cusp of drought conditions beginning to have more significant impact across the area due to rainfall deficit over the late winter and spring, so this event will provide at least a couple of weeks' respite. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043- 073>078-083>086-088-089. && SYNOPSIS...Hartfield NEAR TERM...Hartfield SHORT TERM...Hartfield/MLM LONG TERM...MLM AVIATION...Hartfield HYDROLOGY...MLM
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 23, 5:13 AM EDT, 4 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Raleigh NC 513 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-240900- Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance- Orange-Durham-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake- Johnston-Wilson-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Harnett-Wayne-Anson- Richmond-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson- 513 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. An isolated strong storm or two is possible Monday afternoon and evening over southeast North Carolina, mainly along and southeast of a line from Raeford to Fayetteville to Goldsboro. Strong damaging wind gusts and hail will be possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed Monday through Monday night.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Chatham, Lee | 71 hr |
| Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Alamance | 3 days |
| Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Chatham | 4 days |
| Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Franklin | 5 days |
| Apr 23, 10:05 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Edgecombe | 11 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.