Alert archive / Colorado / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Pueblo, CO

June 25, 2017Costilla County, Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this special weather statement at Jun 25, 2017, 3:48 PM MDT for Costilla County, Colorado. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2017, 3:48 PM MDT (21:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 25, 2017, 4:30 PM MDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

County Costilla County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 200 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2017-06-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 58 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2017-06-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
58 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-357 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1692 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 25, 11:59 AM MDT, 3 hours 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 11:59 AM MDT, 3 hours 49 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1159 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 540 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

Latest guidance coming in a bit hotter with respect to precip
chances for the the southern mtns/S I-25 corridor region. Bumped
up pops and qpf for this region for later this afternoon/evening.
\/Hodanish

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 510 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

Currently...

Quite a bit of mid cloudiness was located east of the contdvd this
morning. These clouds are associated with persistent modest upslope
flow combined with weak short waves in the  mid level northwest flow
aloft. Clusters of showers and isold tsra were noted mainly north,
east and south of the fcst area, although a few showers were noted
in the KTAD region. Temps were mild at 3 am, with 50s and 60s in the
valleys and plains, and 30s and 40s in the mtns. Dewpts were
relatively high with 40s in the valleys and 50s most of the plains.

Today...

Short range hires guidance has been having problems this morning as
it has been over forecasting  precip over the plains during the last
several hours. Given latest trends, believe best chance of precip
over the fcst area will be over the far eastern plains and along the
CO/NM border, and this is where I painted the highest pops for this
morning. By this afternoon, as another weak short wave moves towards
the region, showers should initiate over the S mtns and move
southeast later this afternoon. Some shear and CAPE are present, so
a few stonger cells will be possible, mainly along the greater I-25
corridor from Pueblo south to the NM border. Max temps today over
the plains should be about 2-4F warmer than yesterdays highs.

Plains will likely see quite a bit of mid lvl cloudiness today.

Any precip over the higher terrain (w of the s mtns) will be
isolated.

Tonight...

With weak waves continuing to move southeast in the NW flow
aloft, showers and tsra will be possible this evening and
continuing into the early morning hours. The best overall coverage
will be this evening. Mountains for the most part will remain
dry, especially west of the s mtns. \/Hodanish

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 510 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

Main longer term meteorological issues continue to be relatively
active conditions in combination with generally near to below
seasonal temperatures into Monday night as a passing upper
disturbance interacts with the daily heating cycle and adequate
atmospheric moisture/surface boundaries.

The highest potential for strong to marginally severe thunderstorms
as well as cells containing locally heavy rain should noted along
and near the I-25 corridor from Monday into Monday night(which
matches well with the Storm Prediction Center's latest Day 2
Severe Outlook).

Overall, it still appears that return to drier(although isolated
storms will be possible at times) and warmer conditions should be
noted from Tuesday night into late week as varying degrees of
eastern Colorado lee-side surface troughing tends to dry the
airmass over the majority of the forecast district.

Also, a brief-lived northerly-northeasterly surface surge is
projected to move across eastern sections of the forecast district
Thursday night, allowing for cooler maximum temperatures on
Friday in combination with somewhat enhanced precipitation
potential from Thursday evening into Friday night.

Coolest temperatures during the longer term over the forecast
district are anticipated Monday and then again on Friday with
warmest conditions expected Tuesday and Wednesday and then again
on Saturday with maximum temperatures nearing or exceeding the 90F
threshold over eastern portions each of these days.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1159 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

 KCOS and KPUB will see -tsra in the vicinity from 21Z and 02Z
respectively, possible very brief MVFR conditions. KALS should
see dry weather and fairly light winds. In addition, there will
be a chance for light fog and low cigs in the earlier morning at
KCOS and KPUB.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...HODANISH
AVIATION...TM
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 11:52 AM MDT, 3 hours 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1152 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-261800-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1152 AM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will occur, mainly from the
eastern mountains into the plains, with the best chance being
across the southern Sangre de Cristos Mountains, southern I-25
corridor, and Raton Mesa. A few of the storms may be marginally
severe, with hail around quarter size and winds gusts to 60 mph.
Cloud to ground lightning will be the other risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Monday and Tuesday, a few storms will be marginally severe, with
hail around quarter size, wind gusts around 60 mph, locally heavy
rainfall and lightning. The favored locations for those storms
will be the I-25 corridor and plains.

Then, isolated storms, with cloud to ground lightning, wind gusts
around 50 mph, and small hail are expected during the afternoons
and evenings Wednesday through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible this afternoon and tonight, mainly across the I-25
corridor and the Raton Mesa.

13/13

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 25, 2:08 PM MDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
208 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

COZ081-082-085-252100-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below
7400 Ft CO-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft CO-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between 7500 And
11000 Ft CO-
208 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN FREMONT...
SOUTHEASTERN TELLER AND SOUTHWESTERN EL PASO COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM
MDT...

At 207 PM MDT, amateur radio operators reported a thunderstorm near
Pikes Peak, or 11 miles west of Colorado Springs, moving southeast
at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Southwestern Colorado Springs, Fountain, Manitou Springs, Pikes Peak
and Fort Carson.

LAT...LON 3878 10517 3891 10501 3868 10469 3855 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 313DEG 24KT 3880 10502

tlm
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 2:33 PM MDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
233 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

COZ067>071-252115-
Southern San Luis Valley CO-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft CO-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft CO-
233 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALAMOSA...SOUTHERN
RIO GRANDE AND NORTH CENTRAL CONEJOS COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM MDT...

At 231 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms
across the eastern flank of eastern San Juan Mountains south of Del
Norte and Monte Vista, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
mountains and adjacent foothills in Rio Grande and Conejos Counties.

LAT...LON 3756 10665 3766 10649 3738 10591 3714 10614
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 288DEG 30KT 3758 10649

tlm
Local storm report, Jun 25, 3:00 PM MDT, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
300 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HEAVY RAIN       19 S HOLLY              37.79N 102.19W
06/25/2017  M1.50 INCH       PROWERS            CO   PUBLIC

            1.5" RAINFALL IN ~10 MINUTES. ALSO 0.5"
            HAIL.

&&
Local storm report, Jun 25, 3:32 PM MDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
332 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0325 PM     TORNADO          2 NE WALSH              37.41N 102.25W
06/25/2017                   BACA               CO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BRIEF TORNADO REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.

&&
Local storm report, Jun 25, 3:39 PM MDT, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
339 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             9 N SUGAR CITY          38.35N 103.69W
06/25/2017  M1.75 INCH       CROWLEY            CO   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 3:48 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
348 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

COZ071-252230-
Southern San Luis Valley CO-
348 PM MDT SUN JUN 25 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN COSTILLA COUNTY
UNTIL 430 PM MDT...

At 344 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Mesita, or 24 miles north of Questa. This storm was nearly
stationary.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Mesita, San Pablo, Jaroso, Sanchez Reservoir and Garcia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3703 10575 3718 10568 3716 10537 3700 10546
      3699 10567
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 295DEG 3KT 3707 10565

BL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 25, 12:59 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBProwers46 min
Jun 25, 1:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBProwers45 min
Jun 25, 2:05 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBProwers40 min
Jun 25, 2:08 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBTeller52 min
Jun 25, 2:33 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBConejos, Rio Grande42 min
Jun 25, 2:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Prowers25 min
Jun 25, 2:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Crowley, Kiowa, Otero51 min
Jun 25, 3:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Prowers55 min
Jun 25, 3:25 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBaca35 min
Jun 25, 3:43 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPUBBaca47 min
Jun 25, 3:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Otero18 min
Jun 25, 4:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas44 min
Jun 25, 4:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca47 min
Jun 25, 4:34 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBBaca26 min
Jun 25, 4:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBPueblo46 min
Jun 25, 4:52 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBLas Animas38 min
Jun 25, 5:18 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBBaca27 min
Jun 25, 5:23 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementPUBPueblo37 min
Jun 25, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca29 min
Jun 25, 5:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas32 min
Jun 25, 5:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas35 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Colorado, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.