Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Pueblo, CO

051 
WWUS55 KPUB 230048
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
648 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

COC009-230115-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-170623T0115Z/
Baca CO-
648 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BACA COUNTY...

At 647 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 10 miles west of 
Elkhart, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Baca County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature's leading
killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to
be struck by lightning.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10229 3712 10220 3714 10204 3700 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0047Z 284DEG 21KT 3707 10196 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KT

067 
WWUS55 KPUB 230100
SVSPUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
700 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

COC009-230110-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-170623T0115Z/
Baca CO-
700 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BACA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.  However gusty winds and
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3700 10229 3712 10220 3714 10204 3700 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0059Z 284DEG 21KT 3705 10186 

$$

KT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
310 PM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 309 PM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

...Some Severe Storms Later Today Then Much Cooler Tomorrow...

Currently...

At 230 pm, boundary/cold front extended wnw-ese across the northern
part of the CWA. This boundary extended from El Paso county into ne
Prowers county, and was slowly moving southward. A lone supercell
was noted along it across ec El Paso county. Additional weaker
convection was also noted along the boundary.

Elsewhere, isolated high based convection was noted over the mtns
and valleys. and this convection was producing gusty winds at KALS.

Temperatures were once again hot along and s of the boundary on the
plains, with readings of 100F in Pueblo at 230 pm.

Rest of Today...

main concern is the possibility of severe convection along and north
of the boundary which is expected to extend across the greater east
central CO region the rest of the afternoon. Latest SPCDY1 still has
this area in slight for the rest of today. CAPE and shear will be
sufficient for rotating storms, and any storm interacting with a
boundary which has been "cooking" for most of the day will have to
be watched for enhanced low level rotation.

It is possible that additional strong convection could redevelop
late this afternoon or evening over the lower elevations of the
Pikes Peak region as shear and CAPE should increase as flow becomes
upslope behind the boundary.

Tonight...

Cold front will move south down the plains this evening. This storm
will keep scattered showers and thunderstorms to continue during the
early part of the evening, some of which may be strong to locally
severe.

Later tonight, expect skies to be cloud over with low cigs
developing during the early morning hours. Some light precip will be
possible. Towards sunrise, a 2ndry surge of colder air will move
south and this will increase the chance of light rain, especially
along the mtns/plains interface-I25 corridor region.

Tomorrow...

An unseasonably cold air mass will be over the area. Skies will
likely be cloudy over the plains during the morning lasting possibly
into the afternoon time period. Some rain will also be likely along
the greater I-25 corridor region during the morning. High temps will
be much colder, with readings only in the 60s and L70s across the
plains.

Some thunder will be possible tomorrow, but it will be relegated to
the higher elevations of the southern Sangre De Cristo mtns.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 309 PM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

Friday night through Monday...Models agree on keeping an upper ridge
of high pressure firmly in place over the desert sw over the
weekend, before it starts to break down on Monday. This will keep
Colorado under nw flow aloft, while at the surface the flow will be
more northeasterly as a couple of cool surges push cooler and more
moist air into eastern CO. This will provide the fuel for a good
shot of aftn and eve convection each day, with the focus areas being
the higher terrain as well as the far eastern plains along the
Kansas border. Expect max temps each aftn to climb into the mid 70s
to lower 80s for most areas.

Tuesday through Thursday...The GFS and EC models agree on the upper
ridge breaking down on Mon, allowing for more of a westerly zonal
flow across the region through midweek. Temps are forecast to climb
back up into the 80s for the high valleys, and 90s for the eastern
plains. Convection is expected to be much more isolated through the
week, with a few showers over the mts peaks each aftn as well as a
few storms possible across the far east, depending on where the
dryline ends up. Moore

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 309 PM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

Some thunder will be possible this afternoon and early evening at
KCOS and KPUB. Gusty winds with high based convection will be
possible at KALS.

the main concern will be later tonight at KCOS and KPUB as a cold
front moves south. Upslope flow will develop and expect MVFR/IFR
cigs to develop late tonight and tomorrow morning. Some rainshowers
will also be possible. Conditions should improve late tomorrow
morning or early afternoon.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...HODANISH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1134 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

COZ058>089-093>099-231745-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Ft-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Ft-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Ft-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Ft-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County above 9000Ft-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Ft-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide below 10000 Ft-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Ft-
Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Ft-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Ft-
Northwestern Fremont County  Above 8500Ft-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft-
Wet Mountains above 10000 Ft-
Teller County/Rampart Range above 7500fT/Pike's Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Ft-Pikes Peak above 11000 Ft-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Ft-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Ft-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1134 AM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

One or two strong to severe thunderstorms are possible over the
Plains this afternoon and evening, mainly along and east of a
Calhan to La Junta to Kim line. Lightning, hail in excess of one
inch in diameter and wind gusts over 60 mph are possible.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible in the mountains. the
primary threat will be cloud to ground lightning.

Warm temperatures will cause snow melt to continue across the
high country, which will maintain fast flows in streams and rivers
across southern Colorado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

From Friday into Tuesday, isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms are anticipated with lightning, wind gusts around 50
mph and small hail the primary storm threats, although a few
storms capable of producing hail around the size of quarters, wind
gusts around 60 mph and locally heavy rainfall at times will also be
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible late this afternoon and evening over all of the plains.

Hodanish

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo Co
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

COZ084-085-222030-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Ft-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Ft-
INCLUDING Black Forest, Colorado Springs, and Peterson AFB
121 PM MDT Thu Jun 22 2017

A cold front moving south and west across El Paso county this
afternoon will help produce scattered showers and thunderstorms
over the next few hours. Storms will produce lightning and gusty
winds winds up to 50 mph, with only brief rainfall expected through
230 pm mdt.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
159 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

COZ070-071-074-222045-
Southern Sangre De Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Ft CO-
Southern San Luis Valley CO-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
159 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALAMOSA...CENTRAL
COSTILLA AND EASTERN CONEJOS COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM MDT...

At 158 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Alamosa, moving southeast at 30 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Alamosa, San Luis, Blanca, San Acacio, Alamosa East and Fort Garland.

LAT...LON 3740 10594 3756 10584 3738 10528 3714 10543
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 296DEG 25KT 3745 10581

28

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
332 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0153 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NW SCHRIEVER AFB      38.85N 104.57W
06/22/2017                   EL PASO            CO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            2 POWER POLES DOWN.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
359 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

COZ072-073-077>079-222230-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000Ft CO-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Ft CO-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Ft CO-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains above 11000 Ft CO-
359 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN FREMONT...CENTRAL CUSTER
AND EAST CENTRAL SAGUACHE COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM MDT...

At 359 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Crestone, or 44 miles north of Alamosa, moving east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Silver Cliff and Westcliffe.

LAT...LON 3799 10568 3814 10577 3829 10543 3804 10532
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 252DEG 22KT 3809 10565

mw

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
508 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

COZ096-222345-
Eastern Kiowa County CO-
508 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN KIOWA COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM MDT...

At 508 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles north of Brandon, or 14 miles southwest of Cheyenne Wells,
moving east at 30 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Kiowa
County.

LAT...LON 3854 10260 3862 10257 3862 10205 3860 10204
      3850 10205
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 275DEG 26KT 3863 10246

mw

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
625 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

COZ099-230115-
Springfield Vicinity/Baca County CO-
625 PM MDT THU JUN 22 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BACA COUNTY UNTIL
715 PM MDT...

At 625 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles northwest of Elkhart, moving southeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern Baca
County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3699 10226 3700 10227 3724 10217 3726 10204
      3700 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 302DEG 17KT 3710 10211

KT