Alert archive / New Jersey / Special Marine Warnings in 2017

Special Marine Warning 103, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

July 23, 2017

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this special marine warning at Jul 23, 2017, 4:40 PM EDT. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 23, 2017, 4:40 PM EDT (20:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 23, 2017, 5:45 PM EDT
In force
65 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.0 in
Wind
34.0 mph

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-07-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 651 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2017-07-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 27 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
651 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-99 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
853 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

218 
WHUS51 KPHI 232040
SMWPHI
ANZ430-431-453-454-232145-
/O.NEW.KPHI.MA.W.0103.170723T2040Z-170723T2145Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
440 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
  DELAWARE BAY...
  COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20
  NM...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 439 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
  WATERSPOUTS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BRANDYWINE
  SHOAL LIGHT TO BROWN SHOAL LIGHT TO NEAR OVERFALLS SHOAL...MOVING
  EAST AT 10 KNOTS.

  HAZARD...WATERSPOUTS AND WIND GUSTS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY 
           HAZARDOUS SEAS. SMALL CRAFT COULD BE DAMAGED IN BRIEFLY 
           HIGHER WINDS AND SUDDENLY HIGHER WAVES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  FIVE FATHOMS BUOY...BUOY 2FB...BROWN SHOAL LIGHT...BUOY 4FB...
  BUOY 3FB...FOURTEEN FOOT BANK LIGHT...SLAUGHTER BEACH...
  CAPE HENLOPEN...CAPE MAY POINT...BRANDYWINE SHOAL LIGHT...
  OCEAN CITY REEF...WILDWOOD...OVERFALLS SHOAL...THE LUMP...
  CAPE MAY REEF...SEA ISLE CITY...BUOY 2MS AND WILDWOOD REEF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY AS GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES ARE
EXPECTED.

THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF CAUGHT ON THE
OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED
METAL OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3897 7534 3900 7535 3919 7490 3912 7483
      3910 7489 3898 7495 3898 7494 3897 7491
      3927 7465 3927 7469 3922 7473 3926 7473
      3929 7465 3919 7450 3898 7444 3884 7448
      3865 7472 3884 7525 3897 7537
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 262DEG 12KT 3900 7512 3894 7509 3887 7496 

WATERSPOUT...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.00IN
WIND...>34KTS

$$

JRK
2 follow-up statements
244 
FZUS71 KPHI 232119
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
519 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

ANZ430-232126-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MA.W.0103.000000T0000Z-170723T2145Z/
519 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...THE SPECIAL MARINE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE AFFECTED AREAS WERE...
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE...
 UPPER DELAWARE BAY...

THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA AND NO LONGER 
POSE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO BOATERS.

LAT...LON 3908 7517 3919 7490 3912 7483 3909 7490
      3899 7495 3897 7491 3920 7470 3913 7448
      3900 7444 3887 7447 3882 7451 3867 7470
      3884 7499 3895 7513 3905 7519
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 246DEG 11KT 3907 7505 3900 7498 3889 7475 

$$

ANZ431-453-454-232145-
/O.CON.KPHI.MA.W.0103.000000T0000Z-170723T2145Z/
519 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM...
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE...

AT 516 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR BRANDYWINE SHOAL LIGHT TO NEAR CAPE MAY POINT TO
NEAR CAPE MAY REEF...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS.

HAZARD...WIND GUSTS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...SMALL CRAFT COULD BE DAMAGED IN BRIEFLY HIGHER WINDS AND 
         SUDDENLY HIGHER WAVES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FIVE FATHOMS BUOY...BUOY 2FB...BUOY 4FB...BUOY 3FB...
FOURTEEN FOOT BANK LIGHT...CAPE MAY POINT...BRANDYWINE SHOAL LIGHT...
WILDWOOD...THE LUMP...CAPE MAY REEF...SEA ISLE CITY...
BUOY 2MS AND WILDWOOD REEF.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY AS GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH WAVES ARE
EXPECTED.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. IF CAUGHT ON THE
OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED
METAL OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3908 7517 3919 7490 3912 7483 3909 7490
      3899 7495 3897 7491 3920 7470 3913 7448
      3900 7444 3887 7447 3882 7451 3867 7470
      3884 7499 3895 7513 3905 7519
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 246DEG 11KT 3907 7505 3900 7498 3889 7475 

HAIL...0.00IN
WIND...>34KTS

$$

JRK
855 
FZUS71 KPHI 232144
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
544 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

ANZ431-453-454-232153-
/O.EXP.KPHI.MA.W.0103.000000T0000Z-170723T2145Z/
544 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...THE SPECIAL MARINE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM EDT...

THE AFFECTED AREAS WERE... 
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM...
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE...

THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKENED. HOWEVER, MARINERS CAN STILL EXPECT 
GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 30 KNOTS...LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES...LIGHTNING 
STRIKES...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR 
IMMEDIATELY UNTIL THIS STORM PASSES.


LAT...LON 3908 7517 3919 7490 3912 7483 3909 7490
      3899 7495 3897 7491 3920 7470 3913 7448
      3900 7444 3887 7447 3882 7451 3867 7470
      3884 7499 3895 7513 3905 7519
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 262DEG 12KT 3908 7494 3901 7487 3890 7464 

$$

JRK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special marine warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special marine warning went out at Jul 23, 4:32 PM EDT, 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 23, 4:32 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
432 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary extended from the southern Great Lakes to
our region this afternoon. Low pressure will ride eastward along
the front and it should pass through our area on Monday. A
second low will follow on Monday night and Tuesday as the
boundary sinks slowly to the south. High pressure is forecast to
build down from the northwest for the middle part of the week.
A cold front from the northwest is anticipated to arrive on
Friday. The front is expected to move slowly to our southeast
over the weekend as areas of low pressure travel along it.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
**A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for the I-95 corridor and
areas to the north and west for tonight through early Monday
morning.**

A nice break from the heat of the past couple days today as a
boundary sank southward through the region, bringing in a cooler
easterly flow. Areas along Delmarva remained below the boundary
and remained a bit warmer (and moister) with a southwesterly
flow all day.

Convection has started firing up this afternoon, mainly in the
vicinity of the (essentially) stalled boundary. This will be the
main focus area, especially this afternoon and early evening,
for convection to develop and sustain itself. Convection will
remain scattered across the area through this evening. This
first round will lose some of its oomph as the sun sets and it
loses some of the much needed lift it needs to be sustained.
Areas to the north and east of the boundary are little more
stable due to the continued onshore flow and will see less
activity (if any) this afternoon and early evening.

The boundary may move slightly north tonight but will remain
nearly stationary into Monday. A low pressure system will
develop along the boundary and move into our area late tonight.
Heavy rain and thunderstorms will accompany the system. This
second batch of rain is more problematic than the convection we
will see this afternoon and evening. A good swatch of 1-2 inches
of rain fell last night. We have not had ample time to dry out
so the ground will be unable to absorb nearly as much
precipitation as it otherwise would. Models have trended wetter
with the latest runs and put a bullseye, or more of a heavy
swath, of rain across our area. The focus looks to be more along
the I-95 corridor but some of the models show a slight shift to
the north and west of I-95. With PWATS still running around
1.5-2.0 inches across the region, we will have plenty of
moisture to feed into showers and thunderstorms and torrential
rainfall will occur. While the models are outputting pretty
high, and what look like unreasonable, amounts it seems likely
that a good 2-4 inch rainfall will occur within our CWA. A lack
of strong flow at the surface and aloft shows that storms may
not move very quickly (or at all), enhancing the flash flood
threat.

With higher confidence that flash flooding will occur somewhere
in the CWA, we have issued a Flash Flood Watch for the I-95
corridor and areas to the north and west through Monday morning.

Temperatures have certainly been cooler today than of late but
expect a decent amount of cloud cover to remain over the region
through tonight. This will keep the temperatures more moderate
overnight tonight. Expect lows to range from the upper 60s
across the southern Poconos to the low to mid 70s across the
region.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
The boundary remains in the area with the low pressure system
moving through the region on Monday. A cold front will drop down
from the the north on Monday, taking its time as it makes its
way through our area. A continued chance for showers exists
through much of the day with a chance for some thunderstorms as
well. Heavy rain will remain a threat in some of the stronger
showers and in thunderstorms.

Some clearing may occur during the afternoon, mainly southern
areas, with more clearing expected towards evening.

Highs will rebound slightly and dewpoints should start to drop,
although that may be a slower process. It will still feel
humid, especially across Delmarva and extreme southern New
Jersey. Expect highs to be in the lower 90s from
I-95/Philadelphia and points to the south and in the mid to
upper 80s through central New Jersey. Lehigh Valley, Pocono and
northern New Jersey will remain cooler with highs in the 70s to
around 80.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
A chance of showers and thunderstorms will linger into Monday
night. Based on the latest model guidance, drying may be delayed
a bit. It now appears as though the mid level short wave trough
from the northwest will not arrive until late Tuesday. As a
result, we will keep some clouds and a slight chance of showers
for Tuesday.

Dry air is anticipated to follow the mid level trough for
Tuesday night through Wednesday night.

A cold front is expected to approach from the northwest on
Thursday and it should pass through our region on Friday. We
will indicate an increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms
at that time.

The forward progress of the front is expected to slow over the
weekend as waves of low pressure travel along the boundary. We
will continue to carry a mainly dry forecast for Saturday and
Sunday, but that could change if the front starts to trend
toward being even less progressive.

Temperatures are expected to be seasonable during the period
from Monday night through Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Scattered convection across the region through tonight with
showers continuing through the overnight hours. Periods of heavy
rain with IFR conditions possible, especially from KILG/KPHL
and terminals to the north and west. Timing remains an issue but
best time frame for convection this evening is between 23Z-04Z
with lower confidence in convection overnight. There remains the
potential for strong to severe storms today with gusty to
damaging downburst winds and torrential rainfall.

VFR/MVFR conditions have prevailed through much of the day and
we should see mainly VFR conditions at the terminals outside of
showers and convection. Conditions will deteriorate as storms
arrive and ceilings and visibilities will remain MVFR, possibly
IFR, through much of the night and into Monday morning.
Conditions will be slow to improve on Monday but are expected to
return to VFR by late morning/early afternoon.

Winds...Easterly winds at the terminals today have remained
light, around 10 knots or less across the region. Winds will
become light and variable overnight and then become mainly west
to northwest for KPHL/KILG/KMIV/KACY/KRDG and more north to
northeast for KTTN and KABE for Monday. Winds speeds are
expected to remain around 10 knots or less.

OUTLOOK...
Monday night...Conditions lowering to MVFR and possibly IFR. A
chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Tuesday...MVFR and IFR conditions possible in the early
morning, then VFR.

Tuesday night through Wednesday night...Mainly VFR.

Thursday...Mainly VFR. A chance of afternoon showers and
thunderstorms.

Thursday night and Friday...MVFR and IFR conditions are
possible in showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-advisory conditions are expected to continue on the area
waters through Monday. Seas are 2 to 4 feet on the ocean and
around 2 to 3 feet on the Delaware Bay. While seas are expected
to remain below 5 feet, they may near 5 feet late tonight/early
Monday, mainly our northernmost waters. Additionally, winds will
pick up some overnight our of the east in response to a surface
low moving over the area and a tightening pressure gradient.
The gradient doesn't look to fully wrap up until the surface low
is to the east of our area. Winds may gusty briefly near 25
knots but confidence is low that a small craft advisory will be
needed.

Showers and thunderstorms will impact the area waters through
tonight, with locally higher seas and gusty winds.

OUTLOOK...
Monday night through Friday...No marine headlines are
anticipated.

RIP CURRENTS...
A moderate risk for risk currents is expected to continue
through this evening for the New Jersey beaches. A low risk
remains for the Delaware beaches. Similar conditions are
expected to continue for Monday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
There is Coastal Flood Advisory in effect for this evening's
high tide along the New Jersey and Delaware coasts and along
Delaware Bay.

An onshore flow along the coast from Sandy Hook down to around
Atlantic City almost guarantees minor flooding for the New
Jersey coast. Conditions may be a bit marginal for Delaware.

The astronomical tides will remain high for Monday evening's
high tide and another Coastal Flood Advisory may be needed at
that time.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
Dew point readings at KDOV continue to measure too high
compared to surrounding locations and should be treated as
unrepresentative of the area.

Hamburg NJ transmitter is off the air. No known rts.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for PAZ054-055-060>062-
     070-071-101>106.
NJ...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NJZ001-007>010-012-
     013-015>019.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 AM EDT Monday for NJZ012>014-
     020>027.
DE...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for DEZ001.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 AM EDT Monday for DEZ002>004.
MD...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for MDZ008.
MARINE...None.

&&

Synopsis...Iovino
Near Term...Meola
Short Term...Meola
Long Term...Iovino
Aviation...Iovino/Meola
Marine...Iovino/Meola
Tides/Coastal Flooding...Iovino
Equipment...Staff
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 23, 4:30 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

NJZ001-007>010-015-019-PAZ054-055-061-062-105-106-242030-
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-
Northwestern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Lehigh-Northampton-Upper Bucks-
Lower Bucks-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey, northern
New Jersey, northwest New Jersey, southern New Jersey, east central
Pennsylvania, northeast Pennsylvania and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for a severe thunderstorm Monday, along with heavy
rain and possible localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NJZ012-013-242030-
Middlesex-Western Monmouth-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey and
northern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for a severe thunderstorm Monday, along with heavy
rain and possible localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NJZ020-027-242030-
Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

Thunderstorms may produce poor drainage flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for a severe thunderstorm Monday, along with heavy
rain and possible localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>018-PAZ060-070-071-101>104-242030-
New Castle-Cecil-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Berks-Delaware-Philadelphia-
Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Delaware, northeast
Maryland, southern New Jersey, east central Pennsylvania and
southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Thunderstorms may produce damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for a severe thunderstorm Monday, along with heavy
rain and possible localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

MDZ012-015-019-020-242030-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms may produce damaging winds and/or poor drainage
flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for a severe thunderstorm Monday, along with heavy
rain and possible localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

DEZ002>004-NJZ021>023-242030-
Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, southern
Delaware and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

Thunderstorms may produce damaging winds and/or poor drainage
flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for a severe thunderstorm Monday, along with heavy
rain and possible localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NJZ014-026-242030-
Eastern Monmouth-Coastal Ocean-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Jersey and
southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

There is a moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip
currents.

Thunderstorms may produce poor drainage flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for a severe thunderstorm Monday, along with heavy
rain and possible localized flooding.

A moderate risk for the development of dangerous rip currents is
expected on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

NJZ024-025-242030-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

There is a moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip
currents.

Thunderstorms may produce damaging winds and/or poor drainage
flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for a severe thunderstorm Monday, along with heavy
rain and possible localized flooding.

A moderate risk for the development of dangerous rip currents is
expected on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

ANZ450-451-242030-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms may produce wind gusts over 34 knots.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms may produce wind gusts over 34 knots.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

ANZ430-431-452>455-242030-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
430 PM EDT Sun Jul 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms may produce wind gusts over 34 knots.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms may produce wind gusts over 34 knots.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 23, 3:14 PM EDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
314 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 WNW SHERWOOD          38.77N  76.33W
07/23/2017  M42 MPH          TALBOT             MD   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1701106

FRANCK
Local storm report, Jul 23, 3:18 PM EDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
318 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SW PARADISE ISLAND    38.90N  76.36W
07/23/2017  M47 MPH          QUEEN ANNE'S       MD   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1701107

FRANCK
Local storm report, Jul 23, 3:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
319 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0256 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SE CRESCENDO          38.78N  76.28W
07/23/2017  M42 MPH          TALBOT             MD   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1701108

FRANCK
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 3:27 PM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
327 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-232000-
Kent-New Castle-Cecil-Kent-
327 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN NEW CASTLE...
NORTHWESTERN KENT COUNTIES IN DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN KENT AND
SOUTHEASTERN CECIL COUNTIES IN MARYLAND...

At 325 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Cecilton, or 11
miles southeast of Aberdeen Proving Ground, moving southeast at 20
mph.

Locations impacted include...
Cecilton, Warwick, Sassafras, Massey, Kennedyville, Townsend and
Galena.

These storms will contain gusty winds up to 45 mph, torrential
downpours and occasional cloud to ground lightning.

Locally heavy rainfall will lead to ponding of water on roadways and
poor visibility at times this afternoon. Poor drainage flooding
could also develop.

Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3943 7599 3945 7601 3948 7593 3940 7569
      3936 7564 3927 7581 3924 7597 3939 7605
TIME...MOT...LOC 1925Z 306DEG 17KT 3939 7593

JRK
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 3:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
331 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

DEZ003-MDZ019-020-232015-
Inland Sussex-Talbot-Caroline-
331 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN SUSSEX...
SOUTHEASTERN TALBOT AND SOUTHERN CAROLINE COUNTIES...

At 330 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Hambleton to Trappe to near
Cambridge. Movement was east at 30 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Seaford, Laurel, Delmar, Federalsburg, Bridgeville, Trappe, Preston,
Smithville, Agner, Choptank, Hambleton, Windyhill, Blades and Bethel.

These storms have weakened below severe limits but will still
contain gusty winds up to 45 mph, torrential downpours and
occasional cloud to ground lightning.

Locally heavy rainfall will lead to ponding of water on roadways and
poor visibility. Poor drainage flooding could also develop.

Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3864 7571 3869 7577 3868 7580
      3870 7580 3871 7584 3868 7594 3863 7598
      3860 7599 3857 7604 3863 7608 3862 7612
      3871 7617 3878 7582 3880 7556 3845 7557
TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 264DEG 24KT 3869 7611 3866 7605 3854 7603

JRK
Special weather statement, Jul 23, 4:15 PM EDT, 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
415 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-NJZ016-021-PAZ102-232045-
Kent-New Castle-Cecil-Kent-Salem-Cumberland-Eastern Chester-
415 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NEW CASTLE...NORTHERN
KENT...NORTHEASTERN KENT...EASTERN CECIL...WEST CENTRAL CUMBERLAND...
SOUTHWESTERN SALEM AND SOUTHERN CHESTER COUNTIES...

At 413 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Glasgow to near Smyrna to near
Dover Base Housing. Movement was variable with each storm but
generally drifting to the east at 10 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Wilmington, Dover, Newark, Middletown, Elkton, Pennsville, Smyrna,
Elsmere, New Castle, Salem, Clayton, Delaware City, Cheswold,
Newport, Stanton, Glasgow, Bohemias Mills, Newport Meadows, Dover
Speedway and Saint Georges.

These storms will contain gusty winds up to 45 mph, torrential
downpours and occasional cloud to ground lightning.

Locally heavy rainfall will lead to ponding of water on roadways and
poor visibility. Poor drainage flooding may occur with localized
rainfall amounts of one to three inches.

Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 3969 7585 3981 7559 3970 7553 3964 7560
      3960 7561 3959 7560 3960 7558 3957 7557
      3959 7554 3962 7557 3967 7551 3930 7530
      3935 7534 3930 7543 3921 7540 3907 7540
      3907 7546 3942 7586
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 240DEG 12KT 3963 7577 3935 7558 3917 7543

JRK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 8:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIOcean25 min
Jul 22, 10:52 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset4 hr
Jul 23, 12:01 AM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more25 hr
Jul 23, 3:16 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex and 6 more15 hr
Jul 23, 3:43 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI92 min
Jul 23, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICape May, Cumberland26 min
Jul 23, 4:39 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICape May, Cumberland, Salem4 hr
Jul 23, 4:26 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIChester3 hr
Jul 23, 4:48 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIChester, Delaware4 hr
Jul 23, 5:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIDelaware23 min
Jul 23, 6:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIDelaware37 min
Jul 23, 6:53 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIChester, Delaware14 hr
Jul 23, 7:20 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBerks, Chester, Montgomery6 hr
Jul 23, 7:41 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIBucks, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia6 hr
Jul 22, 10:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICaroline, Talbot72 min
Jul 22, 11:26 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICaroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot4 hr
Jul 23, 2:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICaroline, Kent, Queen Anne's, Talbot67 min
Jul 23, 2:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHICaroline, Queen Anne's, Talbot43 min
Jul 23, 2:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICecil52 min
Jul 23, 3:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICecil33 min
Jul 23, 3:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIDorchester44 min
Jul 23, 3:53 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICecil, Kent4 hr
Jul 23, 5:40 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICecil4 hr
Jul 23, 5:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICecil28 min
Jul 23, 6:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICecil38 min
Jul 23, 6:26 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHICecil4 hr

Nearby

Special Marine Warnings in New Jersey, 2017Every special marine warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.