Alert archive / New Jersey / Small Craft Advisories in 2017

Small Craft Advisory 85, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

November 6, 2017

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this small craft advisory at Nov 6, 2017, 3:08 AM EST. It took effect at Nov 6, 2017, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 6, 2017, 3:08 AM EST (08:08 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 6, 2017, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 7, 2017, 3:36 PM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

The text

As transmitted.

835 
WHUS71 KPHI 060808
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
308 AM EST MON NOV 6 2017

ANZ453>455-062115-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.171107T0000Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
308 AM EST MON NOV 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
  AND DELAWARE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS GUST EXPECTED THIS EVENING BEHIND A
  COLD FRONT. SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
  NIGHT.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE
  WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-062115-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.171107T0000Z-171107T0700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
308 AM EST MON NOV 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS GUST EXPECTED THIS EVENING BEHIND A 
  COLD FRONT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-062115-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
308 AM EST MON NOV 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL 
  NEW JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS GUST EXPECTED THIS EVENING BEHIND A 
  COLD FRONT. SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY
  NIGHT.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE
  WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
116 
WHUS71 KPHI 062155
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
455 PM EST MON NOV 6 2017

ANZ451-452-071100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171107T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
455 PM EST MON NOV 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF OCEAN AND ATLANTIC
  COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING
  NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TUESDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-071100-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.171107T0000Z-171107T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
455 PM EST MON NOV 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WATCH, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY 
  AND DELAWARE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING
  NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TUESDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-071100-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
455 PM EST MON NOV 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF MONMOUTH COUNTY NEW 
  JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING
  NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH THE 
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TUESDAY NIGHT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-431-070700-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.171107T0000Z-171107T0700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
455 PM EST MON NOV 6 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT

* SEAS...2 TO 3 FEET.

* TIMING...STRONGEST WINDS GUST EXPECTED THIS EVENING BEHIND A
  COLD FRONT.

* OUTLOOK...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TUESDAY
  NIGHT WITH NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TO GUST TO 25 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
994 
WHUS71 KPHI 070655
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
155 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

ANZ431-072000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-171107T0700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.171107T2100Z-171108T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
155 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-072000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-171107T0700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.171107T2100Z-171108T1700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
155 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
NOON EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-072000-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171108T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
155 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF MONMOUTH COUNTY NEW 
  JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING
  NORTHEAST TODAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ451-452-072000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171107T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
155 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF OCEAN AND ATLANTIC 
  COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING
  NORTHEAST TODAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-072000-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-171107T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
155 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY 
  AND DELAWARE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING
  NORTHEAST TODAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
327 
WHUS71 KPHI 070812
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
312 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

ANZ451-452-072115-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171107T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
312 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF OCEAN AND ATLANTIC 
  COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING 
  NORTHEAST TODAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH THE 
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-072115-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-171107T2300Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
312 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY 
  AND DELAWARE.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING 
  NORTHEAST TODAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT WITH THE 
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-072115-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171108T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
312 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OFF MONMOUTH COUNTY NEW 
  JERSEY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT, BECOMING
  NORTHEAST TODAY, THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH THE
  POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS UP TO 30 KT TONIGHT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-072115-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.171107T2100Z-171108T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
312 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-072115-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.171107T2100Z-171108T1700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
312 AM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
523 
WHUS71 KPHI 072036
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
336 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2017



ANZ452-080945-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171107T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0032.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
336 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC 
  COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING
  CONTINUING INTO THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ453>455-080945-
/O.CAN.KPHI.SC.Y.0085.000000T0000Z-171107T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.GL.W.0032.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
336 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATION...THE DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY ATLANTIC 
  COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...6 TO 9 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING
  CONTINUING INTO THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ451-080945-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171108T2300Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.A.0021.171107T2300Z-171108T1100Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
336 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
GALE WATCH.

* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...5 TO 8 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-080945-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.171107T2036Z-171108T2300Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
336 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...LOWER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-080945-
/O.EXT.KPHI.SC.Y.0086.171107T2036Z-171108T1700Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
336 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...UPPER DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450-080945-
/O.CON.KPHI.SC.Y.0084.000000T0000Z-171108T2300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
336 PM EST TUE NOV 7 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTAL WATERS.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...SEAS COULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE 5 FEET THROUGH MUCH 
  OF THE WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 5, 8:29 PM EST, 6 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 5, 8:29 PM EST, 6 hours 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
829 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move through the region tomorrow. High pressure
will build into the Northeast behind the cold front as it sags
southward into the Southeast. Waves of low pressure will develop
along the front and move northeast off the coast of the Carolinas
through much of the week. A strong cold front will sweep across the
Eastern Seaboard late this week, with the coldest air of the season
so far left in its wake.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...

High pressure well to the NE will continue to produce an onshore
flow tonight across our area. A continuation of low clouds and
perhaps a scattered shower (mostly north) can be expected in this
pattern. It will remain mild and humid overnight with lows only
dropping into the mid 50s (north) and closer to 60 across Delmarva
and metro Philadelphia. Winds will be mostly E or SE this evening,
but then switch around to S or SW by dawn. Breaks in the clouds
this evening have allowed patchy fog to form over parts of New
Jersey. This fog should linger into overnight before the focus
in fog shifts further northwest closer to the warm front and
moister environment. The latest HRRR and RAP model runs do
continue to bring isolated showers through most of the region,
which is reflected in the latest update.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
There will be plenty of clouds across the area Monday morning. Winds
will increase as the cold front to the west approaches. Showers will
be moving in across the wrn counties early, then they will spread
eastward through the day. Pops are generally in the low categorical
range in most areas. It will (likely) be the mildest day of the week
with highs in the 60s (north) and low 70s (south/east) before the
front arrives. Winds will be mostly SW at 10 to 15 mph during the
morning, and then shift to W or NW by evening. There is a small
chc for a tstm with the front, but overall we will just have
slgt chc or chc pops for that at best.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Unusually poor model agreement continues in the long term. A
very low-confidence forecast, to say the least.

Model disagreement starts right from the get-go, with the 12Z
NAM showing that Tuesday may be fairly wet across most of the
area (but particularly along/south of I-76). The 12Z GFS is
farther south, and the 12Z ECMWF splits the difference. However,
its QPF is on the higher side (though not as high as the NAM).
The CMC has also trended a bit north and a bit slower as well.
WPC noted some question marks regarding the progression of a
positively-tilted trough moving through the central U.S. during
this period and its influence on downstream surface waves, and
until these uncertainties are resolved, expect fairly large
swings model run to model run with QPF placement/magnitudes.
Notably, the just-now-arriving 18Z NAM continues its bullish QPF
(1-2 inches Tuesday and Tuesday night) but considerably farther
south (Delmarva versus SE PA and central NJ in 12Z NAM).

Strength of the NAM/CMC surface features and resultant QPF has
me worried, though the pattern is more favorable to weaker
phenomena (generally zonal flow). PoPs/QPF were a blend of the
operational models, but weighted toward the middle-ground
solutions of the GFS (dry) and ECMWF (wetter). I did incorporate
the NAM/CMC as well, given the uncertainty with timing and storm
totals. This may end up being a much more significant
precipitation event than Monday's action, but confidence is
extremely low on the details at this point.

With cold frontal passage Monday and Monday night, temperatures
will be considerably colder on Tuesday and Wednesday, with highs
near to slightly below seasonal averages. Some inherent lack of
confidence should be assumed given the uncertainty with
precipitation coverage/timing.

Aforementioned trough in the central U.S. makes its move east
Thursday, kicked by a potent northern-stream vort max in the
Upper Midwest. Timing discrepancies remain with this trough, but
these differences have lowered during the past 24 hours of
simulations. It looks like the strongest large-scale lift and
low-level focus (i.e., the cold front) will be south of the
region by this point, and the flow is progressive enough to keep
any developing surface lows fast-moving and mostly away from the
area. There are, however, some hints at some sparse
precipitation coverage farther north between the southern-stream
and northern-stream systems. As such, needed to keep some PoPs
for the region Wednesday and Thursday, but these gradually lower
with time. The CMC looks quite bullish with rain during this
period, but I could not discount it entirely owing to the
potential phasing of the two systems. Nevertheless, the farther
south depictions of the GFS/ECMWF leave me skeptical regarding
much if any precipitation Wednesday night and Thursday.
Generally kept slight-chance PoPs for this time frame.
Temperatures on Thursday so far look similar to Tuesday and
Wednesday.

The bottom falls out on Friday (give-or-take), as the northern-
stream trough sends an arctic front surging southeastward. GFS
has finally caught on to the ECMWF "cold"-wagon, but timing
discrepancies in frontal passage are severe, with the GFS
(unusually) on the slow side. MEX-MOS for Philly has 62 Friday;
EC-MOS has 50. Similar discrepancies exist Friday night, but by
Saturday, both are embracing the cold. Suspect a hard freeze is
in store at least one of the two nights (Friday night or
Saturday night), and no doubt this will be the coldest air of
the season so far. Mentioned this in the HWO (given potential
for frost/freeze products for locations still in the growing
season).

There are hints of a fairly potent system developing late in the
forecast period (Sunday into early next week), with the GFS
developing a strong low off the Carolina coast Monday morning
with widespread precip in the Mid-Atlantic and the ECMWF a
little bit weaker (but the 00Z run had a stronger/slower/farther
west system). Meanwhile, the CMC has nothing near the intensity
of either. For now, enough of a risk for some mention of PoPs
Sunday, with some moderation in temperatures by this point.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Overnight:

A lot of uncertainty in this period of the TAF forecast. Right
now ceilings are highly variable in many locations from the TAF
sites near I-95 and points southeast. Enough clearing is even
present for fog formation at KACY and KMIV. The general trend of
lowering ceilings through the remainder of the evening into the
overnight is reflected though suspect it will continue to be a
indirect route to get there. A little more certainty is
beginning to evolve for a period of IFR ceilings at most TAF
sites for a few just before sunrise. Fog has the potential to
develop overnight at the remainder of the TAF sites as well
overnight.

Monday: Probably VFR/MVFR until the showers associated with the
cold front arrive. Timing is likely to be closer to 15Z for KRDG
and closer to 20-21Z for KACY.

OUTLOOK...
Monday night:  Conditions may improve to VFR with winds generally
north 5 to 15 kts. However, there are indications that another
system will move in late in the night, with sub-VFR conditions
returning, especially south of KPHL, where a chance of showers may
persist. Confidence very low.

Tuesday and Tuesday night: A chance of rain, especially near and
south of KPHL, with sub-VFR conditions possible. North to northeast
winds 5 to 15 kts. Confidence well below average.

Wednesday: Residual sub-VFR conditions possible early with rain
gradually ending, but conditions may improve to VFR by late morning
or afternoon. Northeast winds 5 to 15 kts. Confidence well below
average.

Wednesday night and Thursday:  Mainly VFR with light northeast
winds. Confidence below average.

Thursday night and Friday: Winds becoming northwest as a cold front
moves through the area. Winds may be gusty Friday afternoon.
Conditions mainly VFR. Confidence average.

&&

.MARINE...

Winds will remain relaxed this evening, but then increase
overnight as the next cold front approaches from the W. Given
seas have fallen below five feet in the southern waters we
allowed the SCA to expire for the Delaware and southern New
Jersey coastal waters, Seas will linger around five feet
further north where an SCA is still in effect.

OUTLOOK...
Monday night through Wednesday:  Seas may hover around advisory
thresholds through the period. Northeast winds may gust to around 25
kts late Monday night after a cold front moves through the Atlantic
waters. Northeast winds may again approach advisory levels late
Tuesday night and Wednesday as well. A chance of rain through the
period, but especially Tuesday afternoon and night.

Wednesday night through Friday: Conditions generally below advisory
levels. There is a slight chance of showers Wednesday night and
Thursday, but this period is more likely to be generally fair.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
No new advisory issuances today.

Todays morning early afternoon tides were unexpectedly even higher
than the modeled departures. We're going to run a positive bias on
the surge through Wednesday,  knowing that tomorrow may end up a
little less of a positive departure than we're modeling but we're
trying to get back on target with our forecast tonight.

The Monday high tide cycles should remain just below minor threshold.

Tuesday and Wednesdays late morning midday high tide cycles will be
different as onshore flow develops, possibly enhanced by one or
two waves of weak low pressure scooting seaward from a latitude
somewhere to our south (off the VA/NC coast). As of now we're
expecting the need to issue advisories for one or both of those
tide cycles, at least for Ocean County southward to the DE
Atlantic waters of Sussex County DE and a bit up into lower DE
Bay.

Thursday late morning may also present a close call for minor flood
tidal inundation flooding ,but maximum daily astronomical tides
are slowly decreasing and so the threat should decrease
Thursday, barring an unforeseen gale.

So as of now...we're monitoring departures for the next 36 hours...
but not issuing any new advisories today.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Monday for ANZ450>452.

&&

Synopsis...CMS
Near Term...Gaines/O'Hara
Short Term...O'Hara
Long Term...CMS
Aviation...CMS/Gaines
Marine...CMS/Gaines/O'Hara
Tides/Coastal Flooding...
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 5, 4:09 PM EST, 10 hours 59 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
409 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-015>019-PAZ054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106-062115-
New Castle-Cecil-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-
Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-
Northwestern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
409 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Delaware, northeast
Maryland, central New Jersey, northern New Jersey, northwest New
Jersey, southern New Jersey, east central Pennsylvania, northeast
Pennsylvania and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

A hard freeze may occur for much of the area Friday or Saturday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ430-431-450>455-062115-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
409 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters and
Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-062115-
Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-
Eastern Monmouth-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-
409 PM EST Sun Nov 5 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, southern
Delaware, central New Jersey, northern New Jersey and southern New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible during the Tuesday and Wednesday
morning high tides.

A hard freeze may occur for much of the area Friday or Saturday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

CMS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 6, 4:50 AM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Middlesex, Monmouth and 1 more7 hr
Nov 6, 3:51 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean22 hr
Nov 6, 4:55 PM ESTGale WatchPHI23 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New Jersey, 2017Every small craft advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.