Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

311 
WWUS51 KPBZ 131937
SVSPBZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
337 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2017

OHC019-029-131946-
/O.EXP.KPBZ.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-170613T1945Z/
Columbiana OH-Carroll OH-
337 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR COLUMBIANA AND NORTHERN
CARROLL COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 345 PM EDT...
                
The storm that prompted the warning has weakened below severe limits
and no longer pose an immediate threat to life and property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 4065 8124 4072 8124 4072 8120 4073 8120
      4073 8109 4072 8108 4065 8092 4051 8116
      4065 8131
TIME...MOT...LOC 1936Z 310DEG 13KT 4064 8116 

$$
34

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
1235 PM EDT Tue Jun 13 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Periodic rain chances return for the rest of the week with
several crossing disturbances.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
With noon update, updated pops to account for coverage in
thunderstorms increasing slightly more than expected across
southeastern Ohio. However, the bulk of the rainfall so far has
remained south of the forecast area. Showers and thunderstorms
are also expected to develop along a cold front moving through
New York into Pennsylvania, but so far nothing has developed
locally along the front, with all rain well northeast of the
region. Any showers and thunderstorms that develop this
afternoon should be pulse in nature considering how light winds
are both at the surface and aloft. While this should limit any
severe potential, the light wind speeds also mean that any storm
that does develop will move slowly and produce a good bit of
rain in any one location.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The front is progged to become stationary tonight as it becomes
oriented NW-SE from Central OH to Wrn PA. Shower/tstm coverage
should decrease with diminishing instability and shortwave
support.

Upper ridging is expected to develop ahead of another advancing
Plains shortwave Wed. This could help limit precip coverage near
the front initially, though with building instability and weak
convergence in vicinity of the front maintained the likely POPs
for areas S of I 80. Weak flow and moderate instability should
limit the severe weather potential, though locally heavy
rainfall is possible with slow moving storms. Agree with SPC's
limited marginal potential of strong-severe storms.

Activity should decrease Wed night before becoming more numerous
Thursday as the Plains shortwave advances across the region. Any
severe potential should be limited with moderate instability and
little shear, with locally heavy rainfall again possible. The
wave should exit by Friday morning with decreasing POPs.
Temperatures should average 5-10 degrees above seasonal levels.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Broad upper troughing from the Midwest to the NE CONUS should
maintain periodic shower/thunderstorm chances through the period
as shortwaves rotate through the trough. Above seasonal average
temperatures are expected to continue.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Showers and storms have developed in the unstable airmass over
eastern OH/western WV earlier than originally anticipated this
morning, with support from a shortwave over WV. While most of
this is remaining south of the terminals, have bumped up the
timing of VCTS at ZZV and will tempo restrictions as confidence
increases. Meanwhile, cold front will start to sag southward
over the region this afternoon, allowing for further
thunderstorm development. While VFR conditions will prevail,
brief IFR restrictions are possible with heavy rain and gusty
winds. Convection should diminish after sunset, but some patchy
fog may be possible at any terminal that experiences a storm.
Will leave this mention out for now and reevaluate with the 18z
issuance.

.Outlook...
Restrictions from showers and thunderstorms are possible
Wednesday and Thursday as upper ridging weakens and a trough
approaches.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
431 AM EDT Tue Jun 13 2017

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029-031-073>076-WVZ001>004-012-021-509>514-140845-
Garrett-Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson-
Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Mercer-Venango-Forest-
Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-Indiana-
Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Westmoreland Ridges-Fayette-
Fayette Ridges-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
431 AM EDT Tue Jun 13 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Maryland, east
central Ohio, northwest Pennsylvania, southwest Pennsylvania, west
central Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia
and northern panhandle of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday will pose a
concern for flash flooding and occasional severe weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
147 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2017

OHZ039-048-058-131815-
Guernsey-Tuscarawas-Coshocton-
147 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WIND WILL AFFECT
NORTH CENTRAL GUERNSEY...NORTHEASTERN COSHOCTON AND SOUTHERN
TUSCARAWAS COUNTIES...

At 146 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Sugarcreek, or
9 miles southwest of Dover, moving southeast at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 55 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Newcomerstown...                  Gnadenhutten...
Tuscarawas...                     Baltic...
Port Washington...                Stone Creek...
Gilmore...                        Stillwater...
Bakersville...

This includes  Interstate 77 in Ohio between mile markers 60 and 79.

LAT...LON 4044 8175 4045 8174 4045 8168 4044 8168
      4046 8167 4048 8167 4053 8155 4032 8132
      4018 8162
TIME...MOT...LOC 1746Z 329DEG 12KT 4043 8161

34

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
232 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0217 PM     HAIL             TIPPECANOE              40.27N  81.29W
06/13/2017  E1.00 INCH       HARRISON           OH   PUBLIC

            HAIL AT LEAST THE SIZE OF A QUARTER ALONG NORRIS ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1701539

KRAMAR