Severe Thunderstorm Warning 174, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
225 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Thunderstorms will accompany the encroachment of a cold front
this afternoon and early evening.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
The late  afternoon update featured further adjustments to near
term POPs as per the latest radar and high res model trends.
Insolation in the wake of morning clouds and weak convection has
destabilized the Upper Ohio airspace under an encroaching upper
trough. Given the available boundary layer moisture with that
warming, convection is likely to continue developing along the
associated weak surface reflection/reinforcing front emerging
off the Great Lakes. Pockets of dry aloft with marginal shear
are expected to maintain severe potential for wind gusts and
hail until passage of the system early this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Building high pressure in the wake of the aforementioned system
will result in a dry and seasonable Sunday with slightly lower
dewpoints/humidity.

Warm, moist advection with flat ridging in advance of a midwestern
shortwave as per the latest model solutions indicate increased
humidity with a rapid temperature moderation above the averages
for Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The aforementioned midwest trough/associated front are likely to
provide the next precip chance by Tuesday. Eastern CONUS troughing
is then forecast to support temperatures a few degrees under
the averages for the remainder of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Numerous thunderstorms can be expected as a cold front crosses
the region this afternoon/early evening. VCTS and tempo TS were
included for terminals with the most likely timing.

VFR will return in the wake of the showers and thunderstorms,
although with clearing and winds calming, some pre-dawn fog
could develop. This will likely be dependent on the extent and
amount of rainfall this evening.

Surface flow will generally remain from the west at 10kts with
occasional gusts to 15kts. Winds will then calm tonight as high
pressure begins to build in.

.Outlook...
Widespread restriction potential returns with a late Tue/early
Wed cold front.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
247 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

MDZ001-WVZ012-021-509>514-201900-
Garrett-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
247 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Maryland and northern
West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-
031-073>076-WVZ001>004-201900-
Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson-Muskingum-
Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Mercer-Venango-Forest-Lawrence-Butler-
Clarion-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-Indiana-Washington-Greene-
Westmoreland-Westmoreland Ridges-Fayette-Fayette Ridges-Hancock-
Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-
247 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 457 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, northwest
Pennsylvania, southwest Pennsylvania, west central Pennsylvania,
western Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia and northern panhandle
of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
 conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
227 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

OHZ048-057-191900-
Coshocton-Muskingum-
227 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND GUSTY WIND
WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN COSHOCTON AND NORTHERN MUSKINGUM COUNTIES...

At 227 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Frazeysburg, or
15 miles west of Coshocton, moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 45 mph and hail up to the size of nickels are
possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Coshocton...                      West Lafayette...
Dresden...                        Frazeysburg...
Conesville...                     Plainfield...
Otsego...                         New Guilford...
Cooperdale...

This storm may intensify, so monitor local radio or television
stations for additional information and possible warnings from the
National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4030 8219 4035 8172 4015 8171 4015 8172
      4008 8172 4011 8219 4024 8218 4024 8220
TIME...MOT...LOC 1827Z 267DEG 28KT 4021 8214

Fries

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
247 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0221 PM     HAIL             3 WSW NEW PHILADELPHIA  40.47N  81.49W
08/19/2017  M1.75 INCH       TUSCARAWAS         OH   SOCIAL MEDIA

0221 PM     HAIL             3 WSW NEW PHILADELPHIA  40.47N  81.50W
08/19/2017  M1.00 INCH       TUSCARAWAS         OH   TRAINED SPOTTER

0226 PM     HAIL             NEW PHILADELPHIA        40.49N  81.44W
08/19/2017  E1.00 INCH       TUSCARAWAS         OH   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1702015
EVENT NUMBER PBZ1702016
EVENT NUMBER PBZ1702017