Severe Thunderstorm Warning 798, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
325 PM CDT Tue Aug 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and very humid conditions over Oklahoma and western north
Texas will help fuel strong storms this afternoon and evening.
Very heavy rain is expected with the stronger storms, which may
lead to areas of flooding if storms train or slow down
sufficiently. There is not enough confidence in flooding to
warrant a Flood Watch in this case. Persistent cloud cover has
maintained a relatively stable area over southwest Oklahoma and
much of north Texas, so this area will see mainly showers, with
only a few weak thunderstorms. The stronger storms should be
limited to central and north-central Oklahoma this
afternoon/evening.

Over the next several days, a series of mid/upper-level waves will
pass over the region, causing periodic increases/decreases in rain
chances. One of the stronger waves passes overhead tomorrow and
tomorrow night, bringing the highest rain chances to the area,
along with a risk of additional severe storms. This will be
followed by a brief break (lower rain chances) before additional
waves arrive. The more subtle waves are very difficult for models
(and us) to forecast beyond a day or two, so the rain forecast is
fairly "broadbrushed" until the final significant wave moves
through Friday night.

Both of the stronger waves will be associated with surface
fronts, but no major changes in temperatures are expected.

CmS
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  74  91  71  90 /  60  40  70  10
Hobart OK         73  94  71  92 /  40  20  60  20
Wichita Falls TX  77  95  73  93 /  50  30  50  30
Gage OK           71  89  65  89 /  30  20  10  10
Ponca City OK     74  90  69  89 /  60  60  60  10
Durant OK         77  92  75  90 /  20  30  50  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

03/23

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1102 AM CDT Tue Aug 15 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-161615-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1102 AM CDT Tue Aug 15 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible over central and northern
OK this afternoon and evening. A few of these storms may become
strong to severe with a threat of damaging wind gusts and hail.
Very heavy rainfall may also result in localized flooding.

Thunderstorm chances will increase across southern Oklahoma and
western north Texas through tonight. Localized heavy rainfall will
be the main threat with these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible each day through Sunday. A few
strong to severe storms will be possible across northern into
central sections of Oklahoma Wednesday evening.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
427 PM CDT TUE AUG 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SE STILLWATER         36.10N 97.04W
08/15/2017  E60 MPH          PAYNE              OK   PUBLIC

            50-60 MPH. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. NO
            DAMAGE REPORTED.

&&

MAD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Norman OK
430 PM CDT TUE AUG 15 2017

OKZ030-031-152200-
Pottawatomie OK-Seminole OK-
430 PM CDT TUE AUG 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR northeastern Pottawatomie and
northeastern Seminole Counties Until 500 PM CDT...

AT 429 PM CDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Little, moving
northeast at 20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Hail up to one-half inch diameter...
Wind gusts to 50 MPH...
Minor flooding in areas of poor drainage...

Locations impacted include...
Seminole, Cromwell, Little and Centerview.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

&&

LAT...LON 3523 9664 3538 9672 3546 9664 3546 9663
      3540 9662 3539 9661 3541 9659 3539 9655
      3539 9653 3544 9657 3545 9655 3546 9654
      3543 9651 3543 9649 3546 9648 3546 9645
      3531 9644
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 226DEG 18KT 3533 9664

BRB

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