Severe Thunderstorm Warning 600, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
216 PM CDT Sun Jul 2 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Rain chances and location of said rain continues to be main
challenge moving forward the next several days.

MCV moving across southwest toward central Oklahoma expected to
be mechanism for development of scattered convection across
portions of central into southeast Oklahoma this afternoon and
evening. Sufficient instability exists for a few marginally severe
storms, but should be more multicell and pulse as wind shear
remains very weak.

As we move through the next several days it will be tough
to really nail down timing and locations, much like today will
likely be driven by small scale features that will not show
themselves on scales that models are able to get a handle on.
Therefore will have to cont to follow the signals the models do
pick up on. The first of which is a minor shortwave that drop
southeast out of the high plains of CO overnight. This will aid in
development of complex of storms that may move back into western
Oklahoma overnight and approach central Oklahoma toward morning.
This feature then continue to drift south/southeast keeping better
rain chances in areas near and northeast of the OKC metro
Tuesday.

Next feature will be shortwave that drops south through Plains
Tuesday night into Wednesday, which may provide one more day with
chance of rain come Wednesday.

After this we begin to come under the influence of upper ridge
that build north and northeast into central Rockies into the
central Plains. This will likely shut off the better rain chances
and leave us with hot and muggy weather by the end of the week
into next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  90  73  90 /  30  30  40  30
Hobart OK         71  93  73  95 /  30  30  30  20
Wichita Falls TX  74  95  75  96 /  20  30  20  20
Gage OK           69  93  68  93 /  30  20  40  20
Ponca City OK     70  88  71  87 /  40  30  60  40
Durant OK         74  91  74  91 /  60  30  20  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

26/30

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
431 PM CDT Sun Jul 2 2017

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-032145-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
431 PM CDT Sun Jul 2 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Isolated severe storms will remain possible through Sunday evening
east of areas from Enid to Oklahoma City to Waurika. Very high
instability has developed which have allowed storms to strengthen
very quickly. The initial line of storms will move east out of the
area with the potential for redevelopment of strong to severe
storms through the early evening. The main threat will be
damaging winds of 70 mph and hail up to the size of half dollars.
Locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning will also be
possible affecting outdoor activities today.

Late tonight, additional showers and thunderstorms will move
into western Oklahoma from the high plains with the potential of
marginally severe thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall and
frequent lightning will be possible as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Scattered thunderstorms are possible Monday though Thursday at
times. Strong to marginally severe storms will be possible again
on Monday and Tuesday, mainly across northern and central
Oklahoma.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Norman OK
451 PM CDT SUN JUL 2 2017

OKZ032-042-043-022215-
Coal OK-Pontotoc OK-Hughes OK-
451 PM CDT SUN JUL 2 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR Coal...eastern Pontotoc and
Hughes Counties Until 515 PM CDT...

AT 450 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were along a line extending from
near Wetumka to near Tupelo, moving northeast at 35 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Wind gusts to 50 MPH...
Minor flooding in areas of poor drainage...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning...

LAT...LON 3514 9601 3512 9601 3512 9603 3509 9606
      3506 9607 3505 9609 3461 9609 3447 9651
      3450 9651 3451 9655 3489 9651 3491 9649
      3512 9649 3512 9644 3529 9644 3529 9598
      3515 9598
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 242DEG 30KT 3525 9627 3457 9646

..speg.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 2 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S ADA                 34.76N 96.66W
07/02/2017                   PONTOTOC           OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LARGE TREE DOWNED AND ACROSS THE ROAD NEAR
            PINE ST & CRADDOCK RD. RELAYED BY EM.

&&

JP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Norman OK
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 2 2017

OKZ046-050-022230-
Love OK-Carter OK-
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 2 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR northwestern Love and southern
Carter Counties Until 530 PM CDT...

AT 452 PM CDT, strong thunderstorms were along a line extending from
near Wilson to 6 miles west of Leon, moving east at 25 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
Hail up to the size of nickels...
Wind gusts to 50 MPH...
Minor flooding in areas of poor drainage...
Frequent cloud to ground lightning...

LAT...LON 3382 9720 3389 9731 3385 9733 3388 9733
      3382 9737 3383 9745 3384 9746 3389 9745
      3391 9747 3392 9750 3390 9756 3398 9756
      3398 9754 3400 9755 3422 9755 3436 9704
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 260DEG 20KT 3417 9745 3385 9754

..speg.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
513 PM CDT SUN JUL 2 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             COURTNEY                33.94N 97.51W
07/02/2017  E1.00 INCH       LOVE               OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JP